| Conference: Patriot | Region: Northeast | State: NY | Coach: Jim Nagle |
Colgate Drops OT Heartbreaker to No. 5 Notre Dame
NOTRE DAME, Ind. – A Peter Christman (Simsbury, Conn./Westminster School) goal with 1:28 left in the first overtime period gave No. 5 Notre Dame an 8-7 victory over No. 10 Colgate in NCAA Tournament first-round play at a rainy Alumni Field on Sunday afternoon. The sixth-seeded Fighting Irish will now play in the NCAA Tournament quarterfinals for the fourth time in program history. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/16 | A | Denver | 5- | 15 | -10 | -1 | | 1.64 | -9.15 | |
2/24 | A | Ohio State | 6- | 13 | -7 | -4 | | 1.64 | -2.78 | |
2/28 | H | Saint Joseph's | 10- | 4 | 6 | 9 | | -1.64 | -2.76 | |
3/02 | A | Canisius | 12- | 11 | 1 | 3 | | 1.64 | -1.90 | |
3/08 | A | Holy Cross | 15- | 5 | 10 | 5 | ++ | 1.64 | 4.51 | |
3/11 | H | Vermont | 15- | 5 | 10 | 7 | + | -1.64 | 3.17 | |
3/18 | A | Duke | 7- | 15 | -8 | -9 | | 1.64 | 0.81 | |
3/23 | H | Navy | 3- | 8 | -5 | 1 | | -1.64 | -6.36 | |
3/29 | A | Army | 9- | 13 | -4 | -2 | | 1.64 | -1.89 | |
4/05 | H | Lehigh | 5- | 3 | 2 | 7 | | -1.64 | -4.56 | |
4/08 | A | Binghamton | 9- | 7 | 2 | 2 | | 1.64 | 0.24 | |
4/12 | H | Lafayette | 15- | 4 | 11 | 8 | + | -1.64 | 2.91 | |
4/19 | A | Bucknell | 11- | 9 | 2 | -1 | + | 1.64 | 2.85 | |
4/25 | N | Navy | 12- | 9 | 3 | 0 | + | 0.00 | 3.28 | |
4/27 | N | Bucknell | 13- | 9 | 4 | 1 | + | 0.00 | 3.20 | |
5/03 | H | Syracuse | 12- | 11 | 1 | -3 | ++ | -1.64 | 4.40 | |
5/11 | A | Notre Dame | 7- | 8 | -1 | -5 | ++ | 1.64 | 4.05 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
2/16 | A | Denver | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
3/08 | A | Holy Cross | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
3/11 | H | Vermont | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
4/12 | H | Lafayette | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.06 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 31.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 12 |
| Local Poll Vote | 113. | | Local Poll Rank | 10 |
| Local Power Rating | 92.73 | | Local Power Rank | 15 |
| Local SOS Rating | 91.77 | | Local SOS Rank | 17 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.59 | | Local RPI Rank | 10 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 2 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.25 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 14 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 15 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.3 |
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