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Colgate Raiders (11-6)

Conference: Patriot

Region: Northeast

State: NY

Coach: Jim Nagle

Colgate Drops OT Heartbreaker to No. 5 Notre Dame

NOTRE DAME, Ind. � A Peter Christman (Simsbury, Conn./Westminster School) goal with 1:28 left in the first overtime period gave No. 5 Notre Dame an 8-7 victory over No. 10 Colgate in NCAA Tournament first-round play at a rainy Alumni Field on Sunday afternoon. The sixth-seeded Fighting Irish will now play in the NCAA Tournament quarterfinals for the fourth time in program history. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
2/16	at Denver (10-7)	Great Western	92.2	17	L	5-	15		0.00
2/24	at Ohio State (11-5)	Great Western	96.0	11	L	6-	13		0.00
2/28	SAINT JOSEPH'S (4-11)	Metro Atlanti	85.8		W	10-	4		0.00
3/02	at Canisius (10-6)	Metro Atlanti	88.4		W	12-	11	ot	0.00
3/08	at Holy Cross (5-9)	Patriot	85.8		W	15-	5		0.00
3/11	VERMONT (5-11)	America East	87.7		W	15-	5		0.00
3/18	at Duke (17-1)	ACC	99.9	1	L	7-	15		0.00
3/23	NAVY (10-5)	Patriot	93.5	14	L	3-	8		0.00
3/29	at Army (9-6)	Patriot	93.4	19	L	9-	13		0.00
4/05	LEHIGH (6-9)	Patriot	88.0		W	5-	3		0.00
4/08	at Binghamton (4-8)	America East	89.5		W	9-	7		0.00
4/12	LAFAYETTE (4-9)	Patriot	86.5		W	15-	4		0.00
4/19	at Bucknell (10-5)	Patriot	92.2		W	11-	9		0.00
4/25	vs. Navy # (10-5)	Patriot	93.5	14	W	12-	9		-0.35
4/27	vs. Bucknell # (10-5)	Patriot	92.2		W	13-	9		0.00
5/03	SYRACUSE (13-2)	Independent	97.8	3	W	12-	11		-0.90
5/11	at Notre Dame (14-2)	Great Western	96.4	5	L	7-	8	ot	0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			92.1						-1.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/16	A	Denver	5-	15	-10	-1	–––	1.70	-9.27
2/24	A	Ohio State	6-	13	-7	-5	–	1.70	-2.08
2/28	H	Saint Joseph's	10-	4	6	9	–	-1.70	-2.94
3/02	A	Canisius	12-	11	1	3	–	1.70	-2.32
3/08	A	Holy Cross	15-	5	10	6	++	1.70	4.25
3/11	H	Vermont	15-	5	10	7	+	-1.70	3.01
3/18	A	Duke	7-	15	-8	-8		1.70	0.22
3/23	H	Navy	3-	8	-5	1	––	-1.70	-6.00
3/29	A	Army	9-	13	-4	-2		1.70	-1.83
4/05	H	Lehigh	5-	3	2	7	––	-1.70	-4.65
4/08	A	Binghamton	9-	7	2	2		1.70	-0.09
4/12	H	Lafayette	15-	4	11	8	+	-1.70	3.18
4/19	A	Bucknell	11-	9	2	-1	+	1.70	2.68
4/25	N	Navy	12-	9	3	-1	+	0.00	3.70
4/27	N	Bucknell	13-	9	4	1	+	0.00	2.98
5/03	H	Syracuse	12-	11	1	-4	++	-1.70	4.91
5/11	A	Notre Dame	7-	8	-1	-5	++	1.70	4.23
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/16	A	Denver	5-	15	0.00
3/08	A	Holy Cross	15-	5	0.00
3/11	H	Vermont	15-	5	0.00
4/12	H	Lafayette	15-	4	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.06

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	28.00	Local TSI Rank	11
Local Poll Vote	113.	Local Poll Rank	10
Local Power Rating	93.00	Local Power Rank	15
Local SOS Rating	92.08	Local SOS Rank	14
Local RPI Rating	0.59	Local RPI Rank	10
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	5
Local Quality Win Rating	-1.25	Local Quality Win Rank	14
Local Loss Rating	1.20	Local Loss Rank	19
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-6	Ave Goal diff (all )	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-6	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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