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Cal Poly - SLO Mustangs (7-8)

Conference: WCLL 1Region: CentralState: CACoach: Aaron Myers

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Colorado State Dealt Tough Loss by Cal Poly

Santa Maria, California - A game that started out like it would be another victory for #8 Colorado State Rams turned out to be a tough wake-up call as they were upset by then 19th ranked Cal Poly Mustangs. This was a game in which the ball rolled in favor of Cal Poly.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore QWF
1/31CHICO STATE (10-8)WCLL 178.822W7- 5 -0.16  
2/09UC SAN DIEGO (1-10)WCLL 176.3W10- 6 0.00  
2/15at Arizona State (16-4)WCLL 184.86L9-10 0.00  
2/16at Arizona (6-10)WCLL 179.0W8- 7 0.00  
2/23at UC Santa Barbara (11-7)WCLL 182.611L5-11 0.00  
3/01at Sonoma State (12-4)WCLL 184.88L7-12 0.00  
3/08NORTHEASTERN (6-10)PCLL 177.6W13- 9 0.00  
3/15CALIFORNIA (10-6)WCLL 179.6W10- 9 0.00  
3/23UTAH (7-9)RMLC 178.819W10- 8 -0.28  
3/25at Colorado (3-7)RMLC 180.520L2-10 0.00  
3/27at Colorado State (12-7)RMLC 183.87L4- 8 0.00  
4/05at Chapman (19-2)WCLL 187.42L6-13 0.00  
4/12at Stanford (12-4)WCLL 179.024L5- 9 0.00  
4/13at St. Mary's (CA) (4-10)WCLL 167.8W19- 3 0.00  
4/19SANTA CLARA (9-6)WCLL 179.723L9-10 0.00  
 79.1     -0.44  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
1/31HChico State7-52   3       -1.68       -0.50
2/09HUC San Diego10-64   5       -1.68       -1.04
2/15AArizona State9-10-1   -7       ++1.68       5.85
2/16AArizona8-71   -1       +1.68       2.00
2/23AUC Santa Barbara5-11-6   -5       1.68       -1.41
3/01ASonoma State7-12-5   -7       1.68       1.79
3/08HNortheastern13-94   4       -1.68       0.24
3/15HCalifornia10-91   2       -1.68       -0.75
3/23HUtah10-82   3       -1.68       -0.51
3/25AColorado2-10-8   -2       ––1.68       -5.50
3/27AColorado State4-8-4   -6       1.68       1.84
4/05AChapman6-13-7   -9       +1.68       2.39
4/12AStanford5-9-4   -1       1.68       -2.99
4/13ASt. Mary's (CA)19-316   10       ++1.68       5.81
4/19HSanta Clara9-10-1   2       -1.68       -2.69
         4.510.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/13ASt. Mary's (CA)19-3-5.81
10-goal correction: -0.39

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 70.00   Local TSI Rank 22
Local Poll Vote n/a   Local Poll Rank n/a
Local Power Rating 79.67   Local Power Rank 21
Local SOS Rating 79.14   Local SOS Rank 9
Local RPI Rating 0.51   Local RPI Rank 35
Local Trend Rating 4.00   Local Trend Rank 79
Local Quality Win Rating -0.44   Local Quality Win Rank 38
Local Loss Rating 1.60   Local Loss Rank 79
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 7-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -4.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -4.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.7



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