| Conference: WCLL 2 | Region: North | State: CA | Coach: Ari Mello |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
1/26 | at Stanford (12-4) | WCLL 1 | 79.0 | | L | 1- | 16 | | 0.00 |
2/16 | at St. Mary's (CA) (4-10) | WCLL 1 | 67.8 | | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.00 |
2/17 | CAL LUTHERAN (1-9) | WCLL 2 | 54.4 | | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.00 |
3/01 | SAN JOSE STATE (3-9) | WCLL 2 | 55.8 | | W | 14- | 5 | | 0.00 |
3/09 | UNLV (5-3) | WCLL 2 | 62.0 | | W | 13- | 12 | ot | 0.00 |
4/06 | UOP (1-6) | WCLL 2 | 52.0 | | W | 25- | 7 | | 0.00 |
4/11 | at UCLA (3-11) | WCLL 1 | 72.7 | | L | 7- | 8 | | 0.00 |
4/12 | at Fullerton State (5-9) | WCLL 2 | 59.4 | | W | 13- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/13 | at Pepperdine (7-6) | WCLL 2 | 64.7 | | W | 14- | 7 | | 0.00 |
5/04 | vs. Biola # (10-5) | WCLL 2 | 69.3 | 19 | L | 3- | 15 | | 0.00 |
5/13 | vs. Dayton # (13-4) | CCLA 2 | 74.4 | 5 | L | 8- | 15 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 64.6 | | | | | | 0.00 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
1/26 | A | Stanford | 1- | 16 | -15 | -15 | | 1.59 | | -0.13 |
2/16 | A | St. Mary's (CA) | 11- | 9 | 2 | -4 | ++ | 1.59 | | 5.67 |
2/17 | H | Cal Lutheran | 14- | 3 | 11 | 13 | | -1.50 | -1.84 | |
3/01 | H | San Jose State | 14- | 5 | 9 | 11 | – | -1.50 | -2.42 | |
3/09 | H | UNLV | 13- | 12 | 1 | 5 | –– | -1.50 | -4.20 | |
4/06 | H | UOP | 25- | 7 | 18 | 15 | + | -1.50 | 2.82 | |
4/11 | A | UCLA | 7- | 8 | -1 | -9 | +++ | 1.59 | | 7.57 |
4/12 | A | Fullerton State | 13- | 4 | 9 | 5 | ++ | 1.50 | 4.15 | |
4/13 | A | Pepperdine | 14- | 7 | 7 | 0 | +++ | 1.50 | 7.47 | |
5/04 | N | Biola | 3- | 15 | -12 | -4 | ––– | 0.00 | -8.43 | |
5/13 | N | Dayton | 8- | 15 | -7 | -9 | | 0.00 | 1.72 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -0.73 | 13.10 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
1/26 | A | Stanford | 1- | 16 | 0.13 |
2/17 | H | Cal Lutheran | 14- | 3 | 1.84 |
4/06 | H | UOP | 25- | 7 | -2.82 |
5/04 | N | Biola | 3- | 15 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.10 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 96.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 29 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 65.72 | | Local Power Rank | 29 |
| Local SOS Rating | 64.60 | | Local SOS Rank | 46 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.58 | | Local RPI Rank | 18 |
| Local Trend Rating | 3.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 58 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 16 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -4.0 |
|
