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Dayton Flyers (13-4)

Conference: CCLA 2Region: SouthState: OHCoach: Charlie Mark

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore QWF
2/09vs. Ball State # (1-10)CCLA 164.5W25- 4 0.00  
2/16at Mt. St. Joseph (D-III) (0-0) L6-15 0.00  
3/01at Purdue (4-6)CCLA 172.0W13-122ot0.00  
3/29CARNEGIE MELLON (1-8)CCLA 257.0W26- 3 0.00  
3/29HARDING (10-4)GRLC 266.910W15-11 -0.64  
4/05vs. St. John's (MN) # (12-4)UMLL 272.44W15- 9 -0.88  
4/06at St. Thomas (16-3)UMLL 275.43L9-18 0.00  
4/12at Grove City (5-5)CCLA 263.9W12- 5 0.00  
4/16TAYLOR (3-6)CCLA 260.4W18- 8 0.00  
4/18MIAMI U. (4-6)CCLA 170.4W19-10 0.00  
4/19ROSE-HULMAN (0-4)CCLA 241.5W35- 2 0.00  
4/27EMORY (7-4)SELC 271.98W19-12 -0.72  
5/02vs. Calvin # (8-2)CCLA 270.7W13-10 0.00  
5/03vs. Grand Valley State # (20-2)CCLA 278.22L13-16 0.00  
5/13vs. UC Santa Cruz # (7-4)WCLL 265.7W15- 8 0.00  
5/14vs. St. John's (MN) # (12-4)UMLL 272.44W17- 9 -0.88  
5/16vs. Westminster # (16-3)RMLC 279.91L6-10 0.00  
# Neutral site 67.8     -3.12  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/09NBall State25-421   10       +++0.00       11.10
2/16AMt. St. Joseph (D-III)6-15              
3/01APurdue13-121   1       1.59       0.19
3/29HCarnegie Mellon26-323   19       ++-1.50       4.03
3/29HHarding15-114   9       ––-1.50       -5.07
4/05NSt. John's (MN)15-96   2       +0.00       3.98
4/06ASt. Thomas9-18-9   -2       –––1.50       -6.55
4/12AGrove City12-57   9       –1.50       -2.07
4/16HTaylor18-810   16       ––-1.50       -5.57
4/18HMiami U.19-109   6       +-1.59       3.34
4/19HRose-Hulman35-233   34       -1.50       -1.47
4/27HEmory19-127   4       +-1.50       3.00
5/02NCalvin13-103   4       0.00       -0.76
5/03NGrand Valley State13-16-3   -4       0.00       0.72
5/13NUC Santa Cruz15-87   9       0.00       -1.72
5/14NSt. John's (MN)17-98   2       ++0.00       5.98
5/16NWestminster6-10-4   -5       0.00       1.46
         -4.0614.63

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/09NBall State25-411.10
3/29HCarnegie Mellon26-3-4.03
4/16HTaylor18-85.57
4/19HRose-Hulman35-21.47
10-goal correction: -0.48

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 0.00   Local TSI Rank 4
Local Poll Vote 549.   Local Poll Rank 5
Local Power Rating 74.44   Local Power Rank 5
Local SOS Rating 67.83   Local SOS Rank 15
Local RPI Rating 0.67   Local RPI Rank 2
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 23
Local Quality Win Rating -3.12   Local Quality Win Rank 3
Local Loss Rating 0.60   Local Loss Rank 20
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 13-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -0.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.7



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