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Duke Blue Devils (17-1)

Conference: ACC

Region: Southeast

State: NC

Coach: John Danowski

Danowski Sets Scoring Mark as #1 Duke Downs Loyola

DURHAM, N.C. -- Duke's Matt Danowski became the NCAA's all-time leading scorer with a two-goal, five-assist performance as the top-ranked and top-seeded Blue Devils posted a 12-7 victory over 18th-ranked Loyola on Saturday afternoon in opening round action of the 2008 NCAA Men's Lacrosse Tournament held at Koskinen Stadium in Durham, N.C. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*			QWF
2/16	BUCKNELL (10-5)	Patriot	92.2		W	16-	4	0.00
2/23	VERMONT (5-11)	America East	87.7		W	19-	7	0.00
3/01	MARYLAND (10-5)	ACC	95.0	8	W	15-	7	-0.65
3/05	LEHIGH (6-9)	Patriot	88.0		W	16-	5	0.00
3/08	at Loyola (7-7)	ECAC	94.2	18	W	21-	8	-0.15
3/11	PRESBYTERIAN (0-11)	Independent	78.3		W	18-	4	0.00
3/15	NORTH CAROLINA (8-6)	ACC	93.7	9	W	19-	9	-0.60
3/18	COLGATE (11-6)	Patriot	93.0	10	W	15-	7	-0.55
3/22	at Georgetown (9-4)	ECAC	94.4	11	L	7-	11	0.00
3/25	HARVARD (6-8)	Ivy League	92.2		W	10-	3	0.00
3/29	vs. Dartmouth # (7-7)	Ivy League	90.5		W	16-	9	0.00
4/05	JOHNS HOPKINS (9-5)	Independent	95.9	4	W	17-	6	-0.85
4/12	at Virginia (13-3)	ACC	94.8	2	W	19-	9	-0.95
4/19	vs. Army # (9-6)	Patriot	93.4	19	W	10-	6	-0.10
4/25	vs. North Carolina # (8-6)	ACC	93.7	9	W	17-	6	-0.60
4/27	at Virginia (13-3)	ACC	94.8	2	W	11-	9	-0.95
5/04	ST. JOHN'S (2-11)	ECAC	87.8		W	16-	9	0.00
5/10	LOYOLA (7-7)	ECAC	94.2	18	W	12-	7	-0.15
5/18	vs. Ohio State # (11-5)	Great Western	96.0	11		-
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			92.6					-5.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/16	H	Bucknell	16-	4	12	9	+	-1.70	2.76
2/23	H	Vermont	19-	7	12	14		-1.70	-1.51
3/01	H	Maryland	15-	7	8	6		-1.70	1.80
3/05	H	Lehigh	16-	5	11	13	–	-1.70	-2.17
3/08	A	Loyola	21-	8	13	3	+++	1.70	9.53
3/11	H	Presbyterian	18-	4	14	23	–––	-1.70	-9.07
3/15	H	North Carolina	19-	9	10	7	+	-1.70	2.60
3/18	H	Colgate	15-	7	8	8		-1.70	-0.22
3/22	A	Georgetown	7-	11	-4	4	–––	1.70	-7.50
3/25	H	Harvard	10-	3	7	9	–	-1.70	-2.07
3/29	N	Dartmouth	16-	9	7	9	–	0.00	-2.19
4/05	H	Johns Hopkins	17-	6	11	6	++	-1.70	5.41
4/12	A	Virginia	19-	9	10	2	+++	1.70	7.88
4/19	N	Army	10-	6	4	6	–	0.00	-2.05
4/25	N	North Carolina	17-	6	11	6	++	0.00	5.30
4/27	A	Virginia	11-	9	2	2		1.70	-0.12
5/04	H	St. John's	16-	9	7	14	–––	-1.70	-6.52
5/10	H	Loyola	12-	7	5	7		-1.70	-1.87
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/16	H	Bucknell	16-	4	-2.00
2/23	H	Vermont	19-	7	1.51
3/05	H	Lehigh	16-	5	2.17
3/08	A	Loyola	21-	8	-3.00
3/11	H	Presbyterian	18-	4	9.07
3/15	H	North Carolina	19-	9	0.00
4/05	H	Johns Hopkins	17-	6	-1.00
4/12	A	Virginia	19-	9	0.00
4/25	N	North Carolina	17-	6	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.32

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	-14.00	Local TSI Rank	1
Local Poll Vote	200.	Local Poll Rank	1
Local Power Rating	99.90	Local Power Rank	1
Local SOS Rating	92.56	Local SOS Rank	9
Local RPI Rating	0.67	Local RPI Rank	1
Local Trend Rating	0.00	Local Trend Rank	1
Local Quality Win Rating	-5.55	Local Quality Win Rank	1
Local Loss Rating	0.20	Local Loss Rank	1
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-1	Ave Goal diff (all )	8.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	7.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	7-0	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	8.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-1	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.7


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