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Elizabethtown Blue Jays (6-8)

Conference: Middle Atlantic

Region: South

State: PA

Coach: Terry Corcoran

Elizabethtown College 9, Manhattanville College 6

ELIZABETHTOWN, Pa. --- Junior Ryan McCafferty (Orlando, FL/Boone) fired home five goals on five shots to lead Elizabethtown College to a 9-6 win over Manhattanville College in Middle Atlantic Conference men's lacrosse action on Saturday afternoon. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
3/02	at Denison (14-3)	North Coast	91.7	12	L	6-	23
3/06	vs. Susquehanna # (3-12)	Landmark	75.7		W	14-	4
3/08	IMMACULATA (3-10)	Pennsylvania	70.7		W	15-	8
3/13	at Washington College (14-4)	Centennial	90.2	5	L	5-	17
3/15	LASELL (10-7)	Pilgrim	81.0		L	2-	3
3/20	at Moravian (4-12)	Landmark	72.8		L	12-	13	ot
3/26	MESSIAH (11-6)	Middle Atlant	83.9		L	7-	10
3/29	OHIO WESLEYAN (10-7)	North Coast	88.0		L	3-	10
4/05	at Widener (10-8)	Middle Atlant	84.4		L	4-	15
4/09	DESALES (7-9)	Middle Atlant	74.9		W	13-	5
4/12	MANHATTANVILLE (8-8)	Middle Atlant	75.2		W	9-	6
4/19	at Fairleigh Dickinson (4-10)	Middle Atlant	80.0		L	9-	10	3ot
4/23	LYCOMING (10-6)	Middle Atlant	82.5		W	11-	8
4/26	at King's (4-9)	Middle Atlant	75.3		W	17-	9
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			79.6

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/02	A	Denison	6-	23	-17	-14	–	2.04	-2.70
3/06	N	Susquehanna	14-	4	10	4	+++	0.00	6.28
3/08	H	Immaculata	15-	8	7	11	–	-2.04	-3.77
3/13	A	Washington College	5-	17	-12	-13		2.04	0.90
3/15	H	Lasell	2-	3	-1	0		-2.04	-1.48
3/20	A	Moravian	12-	13	-1	5	––	2.04	-5.53
3/26	H	Messiah	7-	10	-3	-2		-2.04	-0.53
3/29	H	Ohio Wesleyan	3-	10	-7	-7		-2.04	-0.45
4/05	A	Widener	4-	15	-11	-7	–	2.04	-3.92
4/09	H	DeSales	13-	5	8	7		-2.04	1.42
4/12	H	Manhattanville	9-	6	3	6	–	-2.04	-3.23
4/19	A	Fairleigh Dickinson	9-	10	-1	-3		2.04	1.63
4/23	H	Lycoming	11-	8	3	-1	++	-2.04	4.02
4/26	A	King's	17-	9	8	2	++	2.04	5.95
									-1.42	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/02	A	Denison	6-	23	2.70
3/06	N	Susquehanna	14-	4	0.00
3/13	A	Washington College	5-	17	-0.90
4/05	A	Widener	4-	15	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.20

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	252.00	Local TSI Rank	83
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	79.39	Local Power Rank	85
Local SOS Rating	79.56	Local SOS Rank	80
Local RPI Rating	0.47	Local RPI Rank	85
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	11
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.60	Local Loss Rank	80
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-8	Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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