| Conference: Region XX | | State: MD | Coach: Brian Duncan |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/01 | ARMY PREP (11-2) | Other | 84.9 | | L | 7- | 12 | | 0.00 |
3/04 | at Navy JV (8-0) | Other | 83.4 | | L | 5- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/08 | vs. Naval Academy Prep # (6-4) | Other | 83.8 | | L | 6- | 16 | | 0.00 |
3/15 | ONONDAGA (16-2) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 12- | 13 | | 0.00 |
3/18 | MONROE (10-6) | Region III | 76.1 | 8 | W | 16- | 9 | | -0.30 |
3/28 | at Suffolk (9-7) | Region XV | 75.4 | 7 | W | 7- | 2 | | -0.40 |
4/02 | at Howard (11-3) | Region XX | 78.4 | 5 | L | 11- | 12 | | 0.00 |
4/05 | NASSAU (12-3) | Region XV | 83.8 | 1 | W | 11- | 9 | | -1.00 |
4/08 | ANNE ARUNDEL (4-10) | Region XX | 75.2 | 9 | L | 8- | 9 | | 0.00 |
4/11 | at Catonsville (6-8) | Region XX | 72.2 | | W | 20- | 9 | | 0.00 |
4/16 | at Harford (1-12) | Region XX | 63.9 | | W | 18- | 9 | | 0.00 |
4/18 | MONTGOMERY (2-11) | Region XX | 58.1 | | W | 19- | 0 | | 0.00 |
4/26 | at Herkimer (15-3) | Region III | 81.8 | 3 | L | 14- | 17 | | 0.00 |
5/02 | at Catonsville (6-8) | Region XX | 72.2 | | W | 17- | 11 | | 0.00 |
5/04 | vs. Howard # (11-3) | Region XX | 78.4 | 5 | W | 12- | 9 | | -0.60 |
5/10 | vs. Herkimer # (15-3) | Region III | 81.8 | 3 | W | 17- | 10 | | -0.80 |
5/11 | at Nassau (12-3) | Region XV | 83.8 | 1 | L | 6- | 11 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 76.6 | | | | | | -3.10 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/01 | H | Army Prep | 7- | 12 | -5 | -3 | | -0.77 | | -1.58 |
3/04 | A | Navy JV | 5- | 8 | -3 | -3 | | 0.77 | | 0.43 |
3/08 | N | Naval Academy Prep | 6- | 16 | -10 | -3 | ––– | 0.00 | | -6.93 |
3/15 | H | Onondaga | 12- | 13 | -1 | -4 | + | -0.35 | 2.85 | |
3/18 | H | Monroe | 16- | 9 | 7 | 5 | + | -0.35 | 2.01 | |
3/28 | A | Suffolk | 7- | 2 | 5 | 5 | | 0.35 | 0.06 | |
4/02 | A | Howard | 11- | 12 | -1 | 2 | – | 0.35 | -2.91 | |
4/05 | H | Nassau | 11- | 9 | 2 | -3 | ++ | -0.35 | 4.75 | |
4/08 | H | Anne Arundel | 8- | 9 | -1 | 6 | ––– | -0.35 | -6.90 | |
4/11 | A | Catonsville | 20- | 9 | 11 | 8 | + | 0.35 | 2.80 | |
4/16 | A | Harford | 18- | 9 | 9 | 16 | ––– | 0.35 | -7.43 | |
4/18 | H | Montgomery | 19- | 0 | 19 | 23 | – | -0.35 | -3.96 | |
4/26 | A | Herkimer | 14- | 17 | -3 | -1 | | 0.35 | -1.57 | |
5/02 | A | Catonsville | 17- | 11 | 6 | 8 | – | 0.35 | -2.20 | |
5/04 | N | Howard | 12- | 9 | 3 | 2 | | 0.00 | 0.74 | |
5/10 | N | Herkimer | 17- | 10 | 7 | -1 | +++ | 0.00 | 8.08 | |
5/11 | A | Nassau | 6- | 11 | -5 | -3 | | 0.35 | -1.55 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -5.25 | -8.08 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/08 | N | Naval Academy Prep | 6- | 16 | 0.00 |
4/11 | A | Catonsville | 20- | 9 | -1.00 |
4/18 | H | Montgomery | 19- | 0 | 3.96 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.17 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 3.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 3 |
| Local Poll Vote | 32. | | Local Poll Rank | 4 |
| Local Power Rating | 80.71 | | Local Power Rank | 4 |
| Local SOS Rating | 76.55 | | Local SOS Rank | 2 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.62 | | Local RPI Rank | 4 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 8 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -3.10 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 4 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.00 | | Local Loss Rank | 9 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 3-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 0.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 5-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
|
