| Conference: Region III | | State: NY | Coach: Rich Dommer |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/04 | at Army JV (3-7) | Other | 73.2 | | W | 17- | 11 | | 0.00 |
3/20 | HOWARD (11-3) | Region XX | 78.4 | 5 | W | 21- | 10 | | -0.60 |
3/26 | at Cayuga (1-14) | Region III | 56.0 | | W | 33- | 4 | | 0.00 |
3/31 | COBLESKILL (7-7) | Region III | 66.2 | | W | 19- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/05 | MONROE (10-6) | Region III | 76.1 | 8 | W | 13- | 10 | | -0.30 |
4/07 | at Finger Lakes (10-10) | Region III | 65.8 | | W | 19- | 6 | | 0.00 |
4/08 | at Mohawk Valley (4-9) | Region III | 60.5 | | W | 20- | 1 | | 0.00 |
4/12 | at Onondaga (16-2) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | W | 24- | 19 | | -1.00 |
4/15 | DELHI (5-8) | Region III | 62.5 | | W | 27- | 6 | | 0.00 |
4/19 | NASSAU (12-3) | Region XV | 83.8 | 1 | L | 11- | 13 | | 0.00 |
4/21 | at Alfred State (8-6) | Region III | 66.1 | | W | 29- | 11 | | 0.00 |
4/22 | BROOME (10-5) | Region III | 68.8 | 10 | W | 17- | 8 | | -0.10 |
4/24 | at Hudson Valley (14-5) | Region III | 72.9 | 6 | W | 17- | 5 | | -0.50 |
4/26 | ESSEX (9-8) | Region XX | 80.7 | 4 | W | 17- | 14 | | -0.70 |
4/29 | FINGER LAKES (10-10) | Region III | 65.8 | | W | 19- | 5 | | 0.00 |
5/03 | MONROE (10-6) | Region III | 76.1 | 8 | W | 10- | 6 | | -0.30 |
5/04 | ONONDAGA (16-2) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 8- | 14 | | 0.00 |
5/10 | vs. Essex # (9-8) | Region XX | 80.7 | 4 | L | 10- | 17 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 71.2 | | | | | | -3.50 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/04 | A | Army JV | 17- | 11 | 6 | 8 | | 0.77 | | -1.81 |
3/20 | H | Howard | 21- | 10 | 11 | 4 | +++ | -0.35 | 7.31 | |
3/26 | A | Cayuga | 33- | 4 | 29 | 25 | + | 0.35 | 3.53 | |
3/31 | H | Cobleskill | 19- | 5 | 14 | 16 | | -0.35 | -1.89 | |
4/05 | H | Monroe | 13- | 10 | 3 | 6 | – | -0.35 | -3.07 | |
4/07 | A | Finger Lakes | 19- | 6 | 13 | 16 | – | 0.35 | -2.66 | |
4/08 | A | Mohawk Valley | 20- | 1 | 19 | 21 | | 0.35 | -1.94 | |
4/12 | A | Onondaga | 24- | 19 | 5 | -3 | +++ | 0.35 | 8.46 | |
4/15 | H | Delhi | 27- | 6 | 21 | 20 | | -0.35 | 1.38 | |
4/19 | H | Nassau | 11- | 13 | -2 | -2 | | -0.35 | -0.33 | |
4/21 | A | Alfred State | 29- | 11 | 18 | 15 | + | 0.35 | 2.61 | |
4/22 | H | Broome | 17- | 8 | 9 | 13 | –– | -0.35 | -4.31 | |
4/24 | A | Hudson Valley | 17- | 5 | 12 | 9 | + | 0.35 | 3.42 | |
4/26 | H | Essex | 17- | 14 | 3 | 1 | | -0.35 | 1.57 | |
4/29 | H | Finger Lakes | 19- | 5 | 14 | 16 | – | -0.35 | -2.35 | |
5/03 | H | Monroe | 10- | 6 | 4 | 6 | – | -0.35 | -2.07 | |
5/04 | H | Onondaga | 8- | 14 | -6 | -3 | – | -0.35 | -3.24 | |
5/10 | N | Essex | 10- | 17 | -7 | 1 | ––– | 0.00 | -8.08 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -1.67 | -1.81 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/20 | H | Howard | 21- | 10 | -1.00 |
3/26 | A | Cayuga | 33- | 4 | -3.53 |
3/31 | H | Cobleskill | 19- | 5 | 1.89 |
4/07 | A | Finger Lakes | 19- | 6 | 2.66 |
4/08 | A | Mohawk Valley | 20- | 1 | 1.94 |
4/15 | H | Delhi | 27- | 6 | -1.38 |
4/21 | A | Alfred State | 29- | 11 | -2.61 |
4/24 | A | Hudson Valley | 17- | 5 | -2.00 |
4/29 | H | Finger Lakes | 19- | 5 | 2.35 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.09 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 5.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 4 |
| Local Poll Vote | 41. | | Local Poll Rank | 3 |
| Local Power Rating | 81.79 | | Local Power Rank | 3 |
| Local SOS Rating | 71.23 | | Local SOS Rank | 8 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.66 | | Local RPI Rank | 3 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 9 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -3.50 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 3 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 3 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 15-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 9.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 3-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 0.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 7-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.0 |
|
