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Hofstra Pride (10-6)

Conference: Colonial

Region: Northeast

State: NY

Coach: Seth Tierney

No. 4 Johns Hopkins Handles No. 16 Hofstra to Advance

BALTIMORE, MD - Senior midfielder Paul Rabil (Gaithersburg, MD/DeMatha) scored a game-high four goals and host Johns Hopkins used a 6-0 run to break open a close game as the fifth-seeded Blue Jays knocked off Hofstra, 10-4, in the first round of the 2008 NCAA Men's Lacrosse Tournament Sunday afternoon. The win, which avenges an 8-7 overtime loss at Hofstra during the regular season, is the sixth straight for the Blue Jays, who improve to 9-5 and will play Navy in the NCAA Quarterfinals next Saturday at Navy. Hofstra had a four-game winning streak snapped and ends the season at 10-6. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
2/23	at Massachusetts (5-9)	ECAC	90.3		L	4-	8		0.00
3/01	BROWN (11-3)	Ivy League	92.0	13	W	7-	6		-0.40
3/08	JOHNS HOPKINS (9-5)	Independent	95.9	4	W	8-	7	ot	-0.85
3/15	at Princeton (7-6)	Ivy League	92.8	20	L	6-	11		0.00
3/21	TOWSON (5-9)	Colonial	90.1		W	13-	8		0.00
3/25	ARMY (9-6)	Patriot	93.4	19	L	7-	8		0.00
3/29	at Drexel (13-4)	Colonial	92.1	15	L	8-	9	2ot	0.00
4/05	SACRED HEART (7-5)	Colonial	88.1		W	20-	3		0.00
4/09	at Villanova (5-10)	Colonial	88.5		W	7-	6	2ot	0.00
4/12	DELAWARE (9-7)	Colonial	91.3		W	11-	8		0.00
4/19	at North Carolina (8-6)	ACC	93.7	9	L	9-	13		0.00
4/22	at Stony Brook (7-7)	America East	91.4		W	14-	13		0.00
4/26	at Robert Morris (4-11)	Colonial	86.3		W	13-	12		0.00
4/30	DELAWARE (9-7)	Colonial	91.3		W	9-	7		0.00
5/03	at Drexel (13-4)	Colonial	92.1	15	W	10-	9	ot	-0.30
5/11	at Johns Hopkins (9-5)	Independent	95.9	4	L	4-	10		0.00
* Click the score for the game story.			91.8						-1.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/23	A	Massachusetts	4-	8	-4	1	––	1.70	-4.95
3/01	H	Brown	7-	6	1	2		-1.70	-1.16
3/08	H	Johns Hopkins	8-	7	1	-2	+	-1.70	2.55
3/15	A	Princeton	6-	11	-5	-2	–	1.70	-3.00
3/21	H	Towson	13-	8	5	4		-1.70	1.08
3/25	H	Army	7-	8	-1	1		-1.70	-1.62
3/29	A	Drexel	8-	9	-1	-1		1.70	0.46
4/05	H	Sacred Heart	20-	3	17	7	+++	-1.70	10.07
4/09	A	Villanova	7-	6	1	2		1.70	-1.44
4/12	H	Delaware	11-	8	3	3		-1.70	0.47
4/19	A	North Carolina	9-	13	-4	-3		1.70	-0.86
4/22	A	Stony Brook	14-	13	1	-1		1.70	1.64
4/26	A	Robert Morris	13-	12	1	5	––	1.70	-4.12
4/30	H	Delaware	9-	7	2	3		-1.70	-0.53
5/03	A	Drexel	10-	9	1	-1	+	1.70	2.46
5/11	A	Johns Hopkins	4-	10	-6	-5		1.70	-1.05
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	Sacred Heart	20-	3	-7.00
10-goal correction: -0.44

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	50.00	Local TSI Rank	16
Local Poll Vote	48.	Local Poll Rank	16
Local Power Rating	92.01	Local Power Rank	23
Local SOS Rating	91.81	Local SOS Rank	20
Local RPI Rating	0.57	Local RPI Rank	12
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	7
Local Quality Win Rating	-1.55	Local Quality Win Rank	11
Local Loss Rating	1.20	Local Loss Rank	21
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-6	Ave Goal diff (all )	0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-5	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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