| Conference: GRLC 2 | Region: South | State: AR | Coach: Mark Bates |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/22 | A | Hendrix (D-III) | 8- | 10 | | | | | | |
2/23 | H | St. Louis U. | 14- | 11 | 3 | 1 | | -1.50 | 1.53 | |
3/14 | H | Memphis | 19- | 5 | 14 | 8 | +++ | -1.59 | | 6.17 |
3/15 | H | Missouri State | 10- | 13 | -3 | 1 | | -1.59 | | -3.52 |
3/29 | A | Dayton | 11- | 15 | -4 | -9 | ++ | 1.50 | 5.07 | |
3/30 | N | Carnegie Mellon | 25- | 2 | 23 | 10 | +++ | 0.00 | 13.10 | |
4/05 | H | Southwestern | 16- | 10 | 6 | -2 | +++ | -1.50 | 7.89 | |
4/11 | A | Washington - St. Louis | 17- | 1 | 16 | 13 | + | 1.50 | 3.28 | |
4/12 | A | DePaul | 9- | 8 | 1 | 6 | | 1.50 | -4.63 | |
4/18 | N | Missouri S&T | 16- | 9 | 7 | 11 | | 0.00 | -4.03 | |
4/19 | N | Rockhurst | 11- | 4 | 7 | 19 | | 0.00 | 11.56 | |
5/03 | N | Wheaton (IL) | 19- | 8 | 11 | 6 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.40 | |
5/03 | N | Dordt College | 10- | 6 | 4 | 2 | | 0.00 | 1.68 | |
5/13 | N | Western Oregon | 5- | 21 | -16 | -7 | | 0.00 | -9.15 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 8.58 | 2.65 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/14 | H | Memphis | 19- | 5 | -4.00 |
3/30 | N | Carnegie Mellon | 25- | 2 | 13.10 |
4/11 | A | Washington - St. Louis | 17- | 1 | -3.28 |
5/03 | N | Wheaton (IL) | 19- | 8 | -1.00 |
5/13 | N | Western Oregon | 5- | 21 | 6.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -1.10 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 90.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 26 |
| Local Poll Vote | 402. | | Local Poll Rank | 10 |
| Local Power Rating | 66.87 | | Local Power Rank | 26 |
| Local SOS Rating | 62.47 | | Local SOS Rank | 69 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.61 | | Local RPI Rank | 11 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 9 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.64 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 19 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 11 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.3 |
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