| Conference: Region III | | State: NY | Coach: Roger Manion |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/11 | at Tompkins Cortland (3-9) | Region III | 58.5 | | W | 17- | 6 | | 0.00 |
3/14 | vs. Army Prep # (11-2) | Other | 84.9 | | L | 1- | 19 | | 0.00 |
3/18 | at Harford (1-12) | Region XX | 63.9 | | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.00 |
3/20 | at Montgomery (2-11) | Region XX | 58.1 | | W | 13- | 0 | | 0.00 |
3/22 | at Catonsville (6-8) | Region XX | 72.2 | | W | 13- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/26 | at Dean (0-10) | Region III | 51.1 | | W | 21- | 2 | | 0.00 |
4/03 | at Broome (10-5) | Region III | 68.8 | 10 | L | 5- | 7 | | 0.00 |
4/05 | ONONDAGA (16-2) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 9- | 17 | | 0.00 |
4/09 | COBLESKILL (7-7) | Region III | 66.2 | | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.00 |
4/11 | at Delhi (5-8) | Region III | 62.5 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.00 |
4/13 | at Genesee (5-9) | Region III | 60.1 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/15 | at Mohawk Valley (4-9) | Region III | 60.5 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.00 |
4/17 | MONROE (10-6) | Region III | 76.1 | 8 | W | 10- | 8 | | -0.30 |
4/19 | JEFFERSON (8-7) | Region III | 64.3 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/20 | at Finger Lakes (10-10) | Region III | 65.8 | | W | 13- | 9 | | 0.00 |
4/24 | HERKIMER (15-3) | Region III | 81.8 | 3 | L | 5- | 17 | | 0.00 |
4/27 | CAYUGA (1-14) | Region III | 56.0 | | W | 20- | 1 | | 0.00 |
4/29 | ALFRED STATE (8-6) | Region III | 66.1 | | W | 19- | 7 | | 0.00 |
5/03 | vs. Onondaga # (16-2) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 9- | 19 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 66.6 | | | | | | -0.30 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/11 | A | Tompkins Cortland | 17- | 6 | 11 | 14 | – | 0.35 | -2.97 | |
3/14 | N | Army Prep | 1- | 19 | -18 | -12 | –– | 0.00 | | -5.96 |
3/18 | A | Harford | 9- | 5 | 4 | 9 | –– | 0.35 | -4.59 | |
3/20 | A | Montgomery | 13- | 0 | 13 | 14 | | 0.35 | -1.42 | |
3/22 | A | Catonsville | 13- | 8 | 5 | 0 | ++ | 0.35 | 4.64 | |
3/26 | A | Dean | 21- | 2 | 19 | 21 | – | 0.35 | -2.43 | |
4/03 | A | Broome | 5- | 7 | -2 | 4 | –– | 0.35 | -5.69 | |
4/05 | H | Onondaga | 9- | 17 | -8 | -12 | + | -0.35 | 3.69 | |
4/09 | H | Cobleskill | 11- | 7 | 4 | 7 | – | -0.35 | -2.96 | |
4/11 | A | Delhi | 14- | 2 | 12 | 10 | | 0.35 | 2.00 | |
4/13 | A | Genesee | 14- | 4 | 10 | 12 | – | 0.35 | -2.40 | |
4/15 | A | Mohawk Valley | 15- | 3 | 12 | 12 | | 0.35 | -0.01 | |
4/17 | H | Monroe | 10- | 8 | 2 | -3 | ++ | -0.35 | 4.86 | |
4/19 | H | Jefferson | 15- | 4 | 11 | 9 | + | -0.35 | 2.05 | |
4/20 | A | Finger Lakes | 13- | 9 | 4 | 7 | – | 0.35 | -2.73 | |
4/24 | H | Herkimer | 5- | 17 | -12 | -9 | – | -0.35 | -3.42 | |
4/27 | H | Cayuga | 20- | 1 | 19 | 17 | | -0.35 | 1.76 | |
4/29 | H | Alfred State | 19- | 7 | 12 | 7 | ++ | -0.35 | 4.85 | |
5/03 | N | Onondaga | 9- | 19 | -10 | -12 | + | 0.00 | 2.04 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -2.74 | -5.96 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/11 | A | Tompkins Cortland | 17- | 6 | 2.97 |
3/14 | N | Army Prep | 1- | 19 | 5.96 |
3/20 | A | Montgomery | 13- | 0 | 1.42 |
3/26 | A | Dean | 21- | 2 | 2.43 |
4/11 | A | Delhi | 14- | 2 | -2.00 |
4/13 | A | Genesee | 14- | 4 | 2.40 |
4/15 | A | Mohawk Valley | 15- | 3 | 0.01 |
4/19 | H | Jefferson | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
4/24 | H | Herkimer | 5- | 17 | 2.00 |
4/27 | H | Cayuga | 20- | 1 | -1.76 |
4/29 | H | Alfred State | 19- | 7 | -2.00 |
5/03 | N | Onondaga | 9- | 19 | -2.04 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.44 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 28.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 8 |
| Local Poll Vote | 21. | | Local Poll Rank | 6 |
| Local Power Rating | 72.86 | | Local Power Rank | 9 |
| Local SOS Rating | 66.61 | | Local SOS Rank | 14 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.54 | | Local RPI Rank | 8 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 11 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.30 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 8 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 5 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 7.0 |
|
