| Conference: Empire 8 | Region: North | State: NY | Coach: Jeff Long |
#2 Cortland Runs by #7 Ithaca, Advances to Title Game
CORTLAND, N.Y. - Senior Billy Fuchs (Merrick/Sanford H. Calhoun) and junior Joey Morgan (Putnam Valley) each scored four goals to lead the nationally second-ranked Cortland men's lacrosse team to a dominant 16-5 win versus seventh-ranked Ithaca in the NCAA Division III Semifinals Sunday afternoon at the SUNY Cortland Stadium Complex. The Red Dragons won their 14th consecutive game and improved to 18-1 on the season and advance to the Division III title game against Salisbury. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/24 | A | Lycoming | 21- | 10 | 11 | 6 | ++ | 2.04 | 5.38 | |
3/01 | A | Scranton | 13- | 8 | 5 | 7 | | 2.04 | -1.66 | |
3/05 | A | Oneonta | 17- | 4 | 13 | 5 | +++ | 2.04 | 7.79 | |
3/10 | A | Whittier | 12- | 7 | 5 | 4 | | 2.04 | 1.04 | |
3/12 | N | Drew | 21- | 10 | 11 | 7 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.24 | |
3/19 | A | Alfred | 13- | 5 | 8 | 8 | | 2.04 | 0.04 | |
3/22 | H | Cortland | 9- | 8 | 1 | -2 | + | -2.04 | 3.08 | |
3/26 | A | St. John Fisher | 12- | 7 | 5 | 4 | | 2.04 | 0.97 | |
3/29 | A | RIT | 10- | 11 | -1 | 1 | | 2.04 | -1.50 | |
4/02 | H | Utica College | 16- | 6 | 10 | 12 | | -2.04 | -1.52 | |
4/05 | H | Nazareth | 10- | 9 | 1 | 4 | | -2.04 | -3.36 | |
4/09 | H | Union | 9- | 10 | -1 | 6 | | -2.04 | -6.77 | |
4/12 | A | Hartwick | 15- | 11 | 4 | 5 | | 2.04 | -1.23 | |
4/19 | H | Stevens | 13- | 7 | 6 | 5 | | -2.04 | 1.21 | |
4/22 | A | Elmira | 14- | 9 | 5 | 9 | | 2.04 | -3.83 | |
4/25 | H | St. John Fisher | 17- | 9 | 8 | 8 | | -2.04 | -0.11 | |
4/27 | H | RIT | 12- | 9 | 3 | 5 | | -2.04 | -1.58 | |
5/10 | H | Williams | 17- | 10 | 7 | 3 | ++ | -2.04 | 4.32 | |
5/14 | H | Western New England | 13- | 12 | 1 | 3 | | -2.04 | -1.93 | |
5/18 | A | Cortland | 5- | 16 | -11 | -6 | | 2.04 | -4.84 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -0.27 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
2/24 | A | Lycoming | 21- | 10 | -1.00 |
3/05 | A | Oneonta | 17- | 4 | -3.00 |
3/12 | N | Drew | 21- | 10 | -1.00 |
4/02 | H | Utica College | 16- | 6 | 1.52 |
5/18 | A | Cortland | 5- | 16 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.12 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 21.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 6 |
| Local Poll Vote | 232. | | Local Poll Rank | 7 |
| Local Power Rating | 90.12 | | Local Power Rank | 10 |
| Local SOS Rating | 84.76 | | Local SOS Rank | 20 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.66 | | Local RPI Rank | 5 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 15 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.60 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 10 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 8 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 17-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 3-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.0 |
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