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Johns Hopkins Blue Jays (9-5)

Conference: Independent

Region: Southeast

State: MD

Coach: Dave Pietramala

No. 4 Johns Hopkins Handles No. 16 Hofstra to Advance

BALTIMORE, MD - Senior midfielder Paul Rabil (Gaithersburg, MD/DeMatha) scored a game-high four goals and host Johns Hopkins used a 6-0 run to break open a close game as the fifth-seeded Blue Jays knocked off Hofstra, 10-4, in the first round of the 2008 NCAA Men's Lacrosse Tournament Sunday afternoon. The win, which avenges an 8-7 overtime loss at Hofstra during the regular season, is the sixth straight for the Blue Jays, who improve to 9-5 and will play Navy in the NCAA Quarterfinals next Saturday at Navy. Hofstra had a four-game winning streak snapped and ends the season at 10-6. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
2/23	ALBANY (8-8)	America East	93.8		W	10-	5		0.00
3/01	vs. Princeton # (7-6)	Ivy League	92.8	20	W	14-	9		-0.05
3/04	UMBC (12-4)	America East	92.6	6	W	10-	8		-0.75
3/08	at Hofstra (10-6)	Colonial	92.0	16	L	7-	8	ot	0.00
3/15	SYRACUSE (13-2)	Independent	97.8	3	L	13-	14	ot	0.00
3/22	at Virginia (13-3)	ACC	94.8	2	L	12-	13	ot	0.00
3/29	NORTH CAROLINA (8-6)	ACC	93.7	9	L	8-	13		0.00
4/05	at Duke (17-1)	ACC	99.9	1	L	6-	17		0.00
4/12	MARYLAND (10-5)	ACC	95.0	8	W	10-	4		-0.65
4/19	at Navy (10-5)	Patriot	93.5	14	W	12-	5		-0.35
4/23	TOWSON (5-9)	Colonial	90.1		W	16-	7		0.00
4/28	MOUNT ST. MARY'S (2-12)	Metro Atlanti	84.8		W	12-	1		0.00
5/03	at Loyola (7-7)	ECAC	94.2	18	W	9-	6		-0.15
5/11	HOFSTRA (10-6)	Colonial	92.0	16	W	10-	4		-0.25
5/17	at Navy (10-5)	Patriot	93.5	14		-
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			93.9						-2.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/23	H	Albany	10-	5	5	4		-1.70	1.42
3/01	N	Princeton	14-	9	5	3	+	0.00	2.05
3/04	H	UMBC	10-	8	2	5	–	-1.70	-2.75
3/08	A	Hofstra	7-	8	-1	2	–	1.70	-2.55
3/15	H	Syracuse	13-	14	-1	-1		-1.70	0.28
3/22	A	Virginia	12-	13	-1	-2		1.70	0.77
3/29	H	North Carolina	8-	13	-5	4	–––	-1.70	-8.51
4/05	A	Duke	6-	17	-11	-6	––	1.70	-5.41
4/12	H	Maryland	10-	4	6	2	+	-1.70	3.69
4/19	A	Navy	12-	5	7	0	+++	1.70	6.77
4/23	H	Towson	16-	7	9	7		-1.70	1.83
4/28	H	Mount St. Mary's	12-	1	11	13	–	-1.70	-2.05
5/03	A	Loyola	9-	6	3	0	+	1.70	3.42
5/11	H	Hofstra	10-	4	6	5		-1.70	1.05
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	A	Duke	6-	17	1.00
4/28	H	Mount St. Mary's	12-	1	2.05
10-goal correction: 0.22

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	-5.00	Local TSI Rank	4
Local Poll Vote	167.	Local Poll Rank	4
Local Power Rating	95.91	Local Power Rank	5
Local SOS Rating	93.89	Local SOS Rank	2
Local RPI Rating	0.62	Local RPI Rank	6
Local Trend Rating	0.00	Local Trend Rank	2
Local Quality Win Rating	-2.20	Local Quality Win Rank	8
Local Loss Rating	1.00	Local Loss Rank	11
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-5	Ave Goal diff (all )	2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-4	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-5	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.7


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