| Conference: North Coast | Region: South | State: OH | Coach: Doug Misarti |
No. 13 Denison Prevails Over No. 19 Kenyon
The nation's top-ranked defense knew it would be tested on Saturday afternoon. Kenyon was coming off a conference win over Ohio Wesleyan on Sunday and had hopes of securing their second North Coast Athletic Conference championship with a win today. Denison, who has been on a tear of late, averaging 17.9 goals per game during their eight-game winning streak, has moved up to No. 13 in the latest national coaches poll and boasts arguably the hottest goalie in the country in senior Alex Baruch (Richmond, Va./St. Christopher's). [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/02 | A | Sewanee | 22- | 6 | 16 | 11 | ++ | 2.04 | 5.32 | |
3/08 | A | Dickinson | 6- | 15 | -9 | -3 | | 2.04 | -6.38 | |
3/12 | A | Roanoke | 14- | 11 | 3 | -5 | +++ | 2.04 | 7.54 | |
3/22 | H | Adrian | 15- | 7 | 8 | 9 | | -2.04 | -1.27 | |
3/25 | A | Saint Vincent | 13- | 6 | 7 | 4 | + | 2.04 | 2.64 | |
3/29 | A | Washington & Jefferson | 14- | 10 | 4 | 7 | | 2.04 | -2.86 | |
4/05 | H | Wittenberg | 16- | 5 | 11 | 7 | ++ | -2.04 | 4.28 | |
4/08 | H | Mount St. Joseph | 15- | 3 | 12 | 15 | | -2.04 | -2.91 | |
4/12 | H | Colorado College | 14- | 8 | 6 | 5 | | -2.04 | 0.93 | |
4/20 | H | Ohio Wesleyan | 13- | 11 | 2 | -1 | + | -2.04 | 2.55 | |
4/26 | A | Denison | 2- | 9 | -7 | -8 | | 2.04 | 1.30 | |
4/30 | A | Oberlin | 22- | 14 | 8 | 11 | | 2.04 | -3.30 | |
5/03 | H | Wooster | 7- | 9 | -2 | 2 | | -2.04 | -3.82 | |
5/07 | H | Ohio Wesleyan | 8- | 12 | -4 | -1 | | -2.04 | -3.45 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.58 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/02 | A | Sewanee | 22- | 6 | -5.32 |
4/05 | H | Wittenberg | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
4/08 | H | Mount St. Joseph | 15- | 3 | 2.91 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.24 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 145.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 45 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 85.39 | | Local Power Rank | 42 |
| Local SOS Rating | 80.80 | | Local SOS Rank | 67 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.56 | | Local RPI Rank | 33 |
| Local Trend Rating | 3.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 80 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 17 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.7 |
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