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Lynchburg Hornets (16-3)

Conference: Old DominionRegion: SouthState: VACoach: Steve Koudelka

Previous Year Team Pages:  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

#5 Shoremen Swat #4 Hornets to Advance in NCAAs

CHESTERTOWN, MD -- Senior attackman Chris Read (Baltimore, MD/Boys' Latin) scored five goals and assisted on two others as fifth-ranked host Washington College topped fourth-ranked Lynchburg, 12-9, in an NCAA Division III Men's Lacrosse Tournament second round game this afternoon on Kibler Field at Roy Kirby, Jr. Stadium. The Shoremen improved to 14-3 with the win and advance to play Gettysburg in a quarterfinal game on Wednesday. The Hornets finish their season at 16-3.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
2/23at Salisbury (22-0)Capital94.91L9-10 0.00  
3/02at Ohio Wesleyan (10-7)North Coast88.0W13- 5 0.00  
3/05NEUMANN (3-12)Pennsylvania70.8W25- 1 0.00  
3/08at Haverford (11-5)Centennial88.59L13-14ot0.00  
3/14HENDRIX (0-11)Independent65.5W26- 0 0.00  
3/19at Greensboro (5-10)Independent78.8W17- 4 0.00  
3/22VILLA JULIE (13-4)Capital90.911W14- 8 -0.50  
3/29HOOD (0-17)Capital70.5W26- 4 0.00  
4/02WHITTIER (7-8)Independent84.1W16- 6 0.00  
4/05GUILFORD (2-12)Old Dominion73.8W19- 1 0.00  
4/09RANDOLPH-MACON (7-7)Old Dominion79.6W16- 2 0.00  
4/12at Virginia Wesleyan (11-7)Old Dominion86.2W13- 9 0.00  
4/16WASHINGTON & LEE (9-6)Old Dominion86.9W14- 5 0.00  
4/19at Roanoke (8-6)Old Dominion87.9W18-10 0.00  
4/23at Hampden-Sydney (6-8)Old Dominion83.9W10- 9 0.00  
4/26MARYMOUNT (6-10)Capital79.9W22- 2 0.00  
4/29RANDOLPH-MACON (7-7)Old Dominion79.6W22- 5 0.00  
5/04VIRGINIA WESLEYAN (11-7)Old Dominion86.2W12- 6 0.00  
5/11at Washington College (14-4)Centennial90.25L9-12 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
 81.7     -0.50  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/23ASalisbury9-10-1   -4       +2.04       2.87
3/02AOhio Wesleyan13-58   3       ++2.04       4.95
3/05HNeumann25-124   24       -2.04       -0.27
3/08AHaverford13-14-1   2       2.04       -3.48
3/14HHendrix26-026   30       -2.04       -3.58
3/19AGreensboro17-413   12       2.04       0.80
3/22HVilla Julie14-86   4       -2.04       1.80
3/29HHood26-422   25       -2.04       -2.65
4/02HWhittier16-610   11       -2.04       -0.99
4/05HGuilford19-118   21       -2.04       -3.31
4/09HRandolph-Macon16-214   15       -2.04       -1.48
4/12AVirginia Wesleyan13-94   5       2.04       -0.84
4/16HWashington & Lee14-59   8       -2.04       0.76
4/19ARoanoke18-108   3       ++2.04       4.86
4/23AHampden-Sydney10-91   7       –––2.04       -6.14
4/26HMarymount22-220   15       ++-2.04       4.80
4/29HRandolph-Macon22-517   15       -2.04       1.52
5/04HVirginia Wesleyan12-66   9       -2.04       -2.92
5/11AWashington College9-12-3   1       2.04       -3.78
         -7.080.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/05HNeumann25-10.27
3/14HHendrix26-03.58
3/19AGreensboro17-4-0.80
3/29HHood26-42.65
4/02HWhittier16-60.99
4/05HGuilford19-13.31
4/09HRandolph-Macon16-21.48
4/26HMarymount22-2-4.80
4/29HRandolph-Macon22-5-1.52
10-goal correction: 0.27

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 61.00   Local TSI Rank 16
Local Poll Vote 264.   Local Poll Rank 4
Local Power Rating 93.07   Local Power Rank 3
Local SOS Rating 81.72   Local SOS Rank 58
Local RPI Rating 0.60   Local RPI Rank 16
Local Trend Rating 1.00   Local Trend Rank 18
Local Quality Win Rating -0.50   Local Quality Win Rank 25
Local Loss Rating 0.60   Local Loss Rank 10
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 10.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 6.7



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