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Lynchburg Hornets (16-3)

Conference: Old Dominion

Region: South

State: VA

Coach: Steve Koudelka

#5 Shoremen Swat #4 Hornets to Advance in NCAAs

CHESTERTOWN, MD -- Senior attackman Chris Read (Baltimore, MD/Boys' Latin) scored five goals and assisted on two others as fifth-ranked host Washington College topped fourth-ranked Lynchburg, 12-9, in an NCAA Division III Men's Lacrosse Tournament second round game this afternoon on Kibler Field at Roy Kirby, Jr. Stadium. The Shoremen improved to 14-3 with the win and advance to play Gettysburg in a quarterfinal game on Wednesday. The Hornets finish their season at 16-3. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
2/23	at Salisbury (20-0)	Capital	94.9	1	L	9-	10		0.00
3/02	at Ohio Wesleyan (10-7)	North Coast	88.2		W	13-	5		0.00
3/05	NEUMANN (3-12)	Pennsylvania	71.1		W	25-	1		0.00
3/08	at Haverford (11-5)	Centennial	88.8	9	L	13-	14	ot	0.00
3/14	HENDRIX (0-11)	Independent	65.8		W	26-	0		0.00
3/19	at Greensboro (5-10)	Independent	79.1		W	17-	4		0.00
3/22	VILLA JULIE (13-4)	Capital	91.1	11	W	14-	8		-0.50
3/29	HOOD (0-17)	Capital	70.7		W	26-	4		0.00
4/02	WHITTIER (7-8)	Independent	84.4		W	16-	6		0.00
4/05	GUILFORD (2-12)	Old Dominion	74.1		W	19-	1		0.00
4/09	RANDOLPH-MACON (7-7)	Old Dominion	79.9		W	16-	2		0.00
4/12	at Virginia Wesleyan (11-7)	Old Dominion	86.4		W	13-	9		0.00
4/16	WASHINGTON & LEE (9-6)	Old Dominion	87.1		W	14-	5		0.00
4/19	at Roanoke (8-6)	Old Dominion	88.2		W	18-	10		0.00
4/23	at Hampden-Sydney (6-8)	Old Dominion	84.1		W	10-	9		0.00
4/26	MARYMOUNT (6-10)	Capital	80.2		W	22-	2		0.00
4/29	RANDOLPH-MACON (7-7)	Old Dominion	79.9		W	22-	5		0.00
5/04	VIRGINIA WESLEYAN (11-7)	Old Dominion	86.4		W	12-	6		0.00
5/11	at Washington College (14-4)	Centennial	90.4	5	L	9-	12		0.00
* Click the score for the game story.			81.8						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/23	A	Salisbury	9-	10	-1	-5	+	2.03	3.84
3/02	A	Ohio Wesleyan	13-	5	8	2	++	2.03	5.99
3/05	H	Neumann	25-	1	24	25		-2.03	-0.66
3/08	A	Haverford	13-	14	-1	2	–	2.03	-2.96
3/14	H	Hendrix	26-	0	26	30	–	-2.03	-3.67
3/19	A	Greensboro	17-	4	13	12		2.03	0.96
3/22	H	Villa Julie	14-	8	6	3	+	-2.03	2.73
3/29	H	Hood	26-	4	22	25	–	-2.03	-3.21
4/02	H	Whittier	16-	6	10	11		-2.03	-0.60
4/05	H	Guilford	19-	1	18	21	–	-2.03	-3.27
4/09	H	Randolph-Macon	16-	2	14	15		-2.03	-1.20
4/12	A	Virginia Wesleyan	13-	9	4	4		2.03	-0.34
4/16	H	Washington & Lee	14-	5	9	8		-2.03	1.44
4/19	A	Roanoke	18-	10	8	2	+++	2.03	6.04
4/23	A	Hampden-Sydney	10-	9	1	7	––	2.03	-5.88
4/26	H	Marymount	22-	2	20	15	++	-2.03	4.74
4/29	H	Randolph-Macon	22-	5	17	15		-2.03	1.80
5/04	H	Virginia Wesleyan	12-	6	6	8	–	-2.03	-2.40
5/11	A	Washington College	9-	12	-3	0	–	2.03	-3.34
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/05	H	Neumann	25-	1	0.66
3/14	H	Hendrix	26-	0	3.67
3/19	A	Greensboro	17-	4	-0.96
3/29	H	Hood	26-	4	3.21
4/02	H	Whittier	16-	6	0.60
4/05	H	Guilford	19-	1	3.27
4/09	H	Randolph-Macon	16-	2	1.20
4/26	H	Marymount	22-	2	-4.74
4/29	H	Randolph-Macon	22-	5	-1.80
10-goal correction: 0.27

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	62.00	Local TSI Rank	16
Local Poll Vote	264.	Local Poll Rank	4
Local Power Rating	93.30	Local Power Rank	3
Local SOS Rating	81.84	Local SOS Rank	59
Local RPI Rating	0.60	Local RPI Rank	16
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	18
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.50	Local Quality Win Rank	25
Local Loss Rating	0.60	Local Loss Rank	10
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-3	Ave Goal diff (all )	10.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.7


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