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NCAA Selection Criteria Conf. Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy


Lynchburg Hornets (16-3)

Conference: Old DominionRegion: SouthState: VACoach: Steve Koudelka

#5 Shoremen Swat #4 Hornets to Advance in NCAAs

CHESTERTOWN, MD -- Senior attackman Chris Read (Baltimore, MD/Boys' Latin) scored five goals and assisted on two others as fifth-ranked host Washington College topped fourth-ranked Lynchburg, 12-9, in an NCAA Division III Men's Lacrosse Tournament second round game this afternoon on Kibler Field at Roy Kirby, Jr. Stadium. The Shoremen improved to 14-3 with the win and advance to play Gettysburg in a quarterfinal game on Wednesday. The Hornets finish their season at 16-3.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score* QWF
2/23at Salisbury (20-0)Capital94.91L9-10 0.00  
3/02at Ohio Wesleyan (10-7)North Coast88.2W13- 5 0.00  
3/05NEUMANN (3-12)Pennsylvania71.1W25- 1 0.00  
3/08at Haverford (11-5)Centennial88.89L13-14ot0.00  
3/14HENDRIX (0-11)Independent65.8W26- 0 0.00  
3/19at Greensboro (5-10)Independent79.1W17- 4 0.00  
3/22VILLA JULIE (13-4)Capital91.111W14- 8 -0.50  
3/29HOOD (0-17)Capital70.7W26- 4 0.00  
4/02WHITTIER (7-8)Independent84.4W16- 6 0.00  
4/05GUILFORD (2-12)Old Dominion74.1W19- 1 0.00  
4/09RANDOLPH-MACON (7-7)Old Dominion79.9W16- 2 0.00  
4/12at Virginia Wesleyan (11-7)Old Dominion86.4W13- 9 0.00  
4/16WASHINGTON & LEE (9-6)Old Dominion87.1W14- 5 0.00  
4/19at Roanoke (8-6)Old Dominion88.2W18-10 0.00  
4/23at Hampden-Sydney (6-8)Old Dominion84.1W10- 9 0.00  
4/26MARYMOUNT (6-10)Capital80.2W22- 2 0.00  
4/29RANDOLPH-MACON (7-7)Old Dominion79.9W22- 5 0.00  
5/04VIRGINIA WESLEYAN (11-7)Old Dominion86.4W12- 6 0.00  
5/11at Washington College (14-4)Centennial90.45L9-12 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
 81.8     -0.50  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/23ASalisbury9-10-1   -5       +2.03       3.84
3/02AOhio Wesleyan13-58   2       ++2.03       5.99
3/05HNeumann25-124   25       -2.03       -0.66
3/08AHaverford13-14-1   2       2.03       -2.96
3/14HHendrix26-026   30       -2.03       -3.67
3/19AGreensboro17-413   12       2.03       0.96
3/22HVilla Julie14-86   3       +-2.03       2.73
3/29HHood26-422   25       -2.03       -3.21
4/02HWhittier16-610   11       -2.03       -0.60
4/05HGuilford19-118   21       -2.03       -3.27
4/09HRandolph-Macon16-214   15       -2.03       -1.20
4/12AVirginia Wesleyan13-94   4       2.03       -0.34
4/16HWashington & Lee14-59   8       -2.03       1.44
4/19ARoanoke18-108   2       +++2.03       6.04
4/23AHampden-Sydney10-91   7       ––2.03       -5.88
4/26HMarymount22-220   15       ++-2.03       4.74
4/29HRandolph-Macon22-517   15       -2.03       1.80
5/04HVirginia Wesleyan12-66   8       -2.03       -2.40
5/11AWashington College9-12-3   0       2.03       -3.34
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/05HNeumann25-10.66
3/14HHendrix26-03.67
3/19AGreensboro17-4-0.96
3/29HHood26-43.21
4/02HWhittier16-60.60
4/05HGuilford19-13.27
4/09HRandolph-Macon16-21.20
4/26HMarymount22-2-4.74
4/29HRandolph-Macon22-5-1.80
10-goal correction: 0.27

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 62.00   Local TSI Rank 16
Local Poll Vote 264.   Local Poll Rank 4
Local Power Rating 93.30   Local Power Rank 3
Local SOS Rating 81.84   Local SOS Rank 59
Local RPI Rating 0.60   Local RPI Rank 16
Local Trend Rating 1.00   Local Trend Rank 18
Local Quality Win Rating -0.50   Local Quality Win Rank 25
Local Loss Rating 0.60   Local Loss Rank 10
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 10.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 6.7



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