| Conference: Old Dominion | Region: South | State: VA | Coach: Steve Koudelka |
#5 Shoremen Swat #4 Hornets to Advance in NCAAs
CHESTERTOWN, MD -- Senior attackman Chris Read (Baltimore, MD/Boys' Latin) scored five goals and assisted on two others as fifth-ranked host Washington College topped fourth-ranked Lynchburg, 12-9, in an NCAA Division III Men's Lacrosse Tournament second round game this afternoon on Kibler Field at Roy Kirby, Jr. Stadium. The Shoremen improved to 14-3 with the win and advance to play Gettysburg in a quarterfinal game on Wednesday. The Hornets finish their season at 16-3. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/23 | A | Salisbury | 9- | 10 | -1 | -4 | + | 2.04 | 2.87 | |
3/02 | A | Ohio Wesleyan | 13- | 5 | 8 | 3 | ++ | 2.04 | 4.95 | |
3/05 | H | Neumann | 25- | 1 | 24 | 24 | | -2.04 | -0.27 | |
3/08 | A | Haverford | 13- | 14 | -1 | 2 | | 2.04 | -3.48 | |
3/14 | H | Hendrix | 26- | 0 | 26 | 30 | | -2.04 | -3.58 | |
3/19 | A | Greensboro | 17- | 4 | 13 | 12 | | 2.04 | 0.80 | |
3/22 | H | Villa Julie | 14- | 8 | 6 | 4 | | -2.04 | 1.80 | |
3/29 | H | Hood | 26- | 4 | 22 | 25 | | -2.04 | -2.65 | |
4/02 | H | Whittier | 16- | 6 | 10 | 11 | | -2.04 | -0.99 | |
4/05 | H | Guilford | 19- | 1 | 18 | 21 | | -2.04 | -3.31 | |
4/09 | H | Randolph-Macon | 16- | 2 | 14 | 15 | | -2.04 | -1.48 | |
4/12 | A | Virginia Wesleyan | 13- | 9 | 4 | 5 | | 2.04 | -0.84 | |
4/16 | H | Washington & Lee | 14- | 5 | 9 | 8 | | -2.04 | 0.76 | |
4/19 | A | Roanoke | 18- | 10 | 8 | 3 | ++ | 2.04 | 4.86 | |
4/23 | A | Hampden-Sydney | 10- | 9 | 1 | 7 | | 2.04 | -6.14 | |
4/26 | H | Marymount | 22- | 2 | 20 | 15 | ++ | -2.04 | 4.80 | |
4/29 | H | Randolph-Macon | 22- | 5 | 17 | 15 | | -2.04 | 1.52 | |
5/04 | H | Virginia Wesleyan | 12- | 6 | 6 | 9 | | -2.04 | -2.92 | |
5/11 | A | Washington College | 9- | 12 | -3 | 1 | | 2.04 | -3.78 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -7.08 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/05 | H | Neumann | 25- | 1 | 0.27 |
3/14 | H | Hendrix | 26- | 0 | 3.58 |
3/19 | A | Greensboro | 17- | 4 | -0.80 |
3/29 | H | Hood | 26- | 4 | 2.65 |
4/02 | H | Whittier | 16- | 6 | 0.99 |
4/05 | H | Guilford | 19- | 1 | 3.31 |
4/09 | H | Randolph-Macon | 16- | 2 | 1.48 |
4/26 | H | Marymount | 22- | 2 | -4.80 |
4/29 | H | Randolph-Macon | 22- | 5 | -1.52 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.27 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 61.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 16 |
| Local Poll Vote | 264. | | Local Poll Rank | 4 |
| Local Power Rating | 93.07 | | Local Power Rank | 3 |
| Local SOS Rating | 81.72 | | Local SOS Rank | 58 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.60 | | Local RPI Rank | 16 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 18 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.50 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 25 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 10 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 10.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -1.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 6.7 |
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