| Conference: NESCAC | Region: North | State: VT | Coach: Dave Campbell |
#2 Cortland Nips #8 Middlebury in OT to Gain Final Four
CORTLAND, N.Y. – Senior Adam Hyde (West Seneca/West Seneca East) scored with 39 seconds remaining in overtime to lift the nationally second-ranked Cortland men's lacrosse team to an 11-10 win versus eighth-ranked Middlebury in the NCAA Division III quarterfinals Wednesday afternoon at the SUNY Cortland Stadium Complex. The Red Dragons improved to 17-1 with their 13th straight win and advance to the national semifinals where they will host Ithaca College either Saturday, May 17 or Sunday, May 18. The Panthers closed their season at 13-3 with the loss. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/09 | A | Bates | 14- | 12 | 2 | 2 | | 2.04 | -0.47 | |
3/15 | A | Connecticut College | 3- | 2 | 1 | 2 | | 2.04 | -0.72 | |
3/19 | A | Springfield | 12- | 6 | 6 | 2 | + | 2.04 | 3.87 | |
3/22 | A | Bowdoin | 12- | 11 | 1 | 1 | | 2.04 | 0.35 | |
3/25 | A | Washington & Lee | 15- | 10 | 5 | 2 | + | 2.04 | 3.37 | |
3/29 | H | Colby | 13- | 7 | 6 | 8 | | -2.04 | -2.02 | |
4/02 | H | Williams | 7- | 6 | 1 | 3 | | -2.04 | -2.09 | |
4/05 | A | Amherst | 15- | 13 | 2 | 1 | | 2.04 | 1.42 | |
4/08 | A | Rensselaer | 11- | 8 | 3 | 2 | | 2.04 | 0.78 | |
4/12 | H | Trinity | 5- | 6 | -1 | 6 | | -2.04 | -7.02 | |
4/16 | H | Skidmore | 8- | 5 | 3 | 5 | | -2.04 | -2.26 | |
4/19 | A | Wesleyan | 11- | 8 | 3 | 0 | + | 2.04 | 3.50 | |
4/26 | H | Tufts | 9- | 4 | 5 | 5 | | -2.04 | 0.32 | |
5/03 | H | Williams | 10- | 11 | -1 | 3 | | -2.04 | -4.09 | |
5/10 | H | Bowdoin | 10- | 7 | 3 | 5 | | -2.04 | -1.73 | |
5/14 | A | Cortland | 10- | 11 | -1 | -6 | ++ | 2.04 | 4.74 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -2.06 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
| 10-goal correction: 0.00 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 4.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 5 |
| Local Poll Vote | 208. | | Local Poll Rank | 8 |
| Local Power Rating | 90.54 | | Local Power Rank | 7 |
| Local SOS Rating | 87.09 | | Local SOS Rank | 2 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.65 | | Local RPI Rank | 6 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 49 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.55 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 22 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 11 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.3 |
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