| Conference: Region III | | State: PA | Coach: Joe Ernst |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/01 | at Anne Arundel (4-10) | Region XX | 75.2 | 9 | W | 1- | 0 | | -0.20 |
3/02 | at Delaware Tech. (5-7) | Region XIX | 66.2 | | W | 9- | 7 | | 0.00 |
3/15 | vs. Suffolk # (9-7) | Region XV | 75.4 | 7 | L | 4- | 19 | | 0.00 |
3/22 | BROOME (10-5) | Region III | 68.8 | 10 | L | 4- | 14 | | 0.00 |
3/27 | GENESEE (5-9) | Region III | 60.1 | | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.00 |
4/01 | at Alfred State (8-6) | Region III | 66.1 | | L | 10- | 19 | | 0.00 |
4/05 | MONTGOMERY (2-11) | Region XX | 58.1 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/09 | FINGER LAKES (10-10) | Region III | 65.8 | | L | 11- | 15 | | 0.00 |
4/12 | COBLESKILL (7-7) | Region III | 66.2 | | L | 11- | 13 | | 0.00 |
4/16 | at Cayuga (1-14) | Region III | 56.0 | | W | 17- | 12 | | 0.00 |
4/20 | at Tompkins Cortland (3-9) | Region III | 58.5 | | L | 15- | 21 | | 0.00 |
4/23 | at Monroe (10-6) | Region III | 76.1 | 8 | L | 2- | 18 | | 0.00 |
4/26 | at Onondaga (16-2) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 0- | 29 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 66.4 | | | | | | -0.20 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/02 | A | Delaware Tech. | 9- | 7 | 2 | -5 | +++ | 0.35 | 6.92 | |
3/15 | N | Suffolk | 4- | 19 | -15 | -14 | | 0.00 | -1.17 | |
3/22 | H | Broome | 4- | 14 | -10 | -7 | – | -0.35 | -3.11 | |
3/27 | H | Genesee | 11- | 7 | 4 | 2 | + | -0.35 | 2.17 | |
4/01 | A | Alfred State | 10- | 19 | -9 | -5 | –– | 0.35 | -4.19 | |
4/05 | H | Montgomery | 14- | 4 | 10 | 4 | +++ | -0.35 | 6.15 | |
4/09 | H | Finger Lakes | 11- | 15 | -4 | -4 | | -0.35 | -0.15 | |
4/12 | H | Cobleskill | 11- | 13 | -2 | -4 | + | -0.35 | 2.31 | |
4/16 | A | Cayuga | 17- | 12 | 5 | 5 | | 0.35 | -0.27 | |
4/20 | A | Tompkins Cortland | 15- | 21 | -6 | 3 | ––– | 0.35 | -8.70 | |
4/23 | A | Monroe | 2- | 18 | -16 | -15 | | 0.35 | -1.18 | |
4/26 | A | Onondaga | 0- | 29 | -29 | -24 | –– | 0.35 | -5.34 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -6.57 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/15 | N | Suffolk | 4- | 19 | 1.17 |
3/22 | H | Broome | 4- | 14 | 0.00 |
4/05 | H | Montgomery | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
4/23 | A | Monroe | 2- | 18 | 1.18 |
4/26 | A | Onondaga | 0- | 29 | 5.34 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.64 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 57.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 19 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 61.59 | | Local Power Rank | 19 |
| Local SOS Rating | 66.38 | | Local SOS Rank | 15 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.43 | | Local RPI Rank | 18 |
| Local Trend Rating | 4.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 21 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.20 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 11 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 18 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -5.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -29.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -17.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -17.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -17.0 |
|
