| Conference: Region XV | | State: NY | Coach: Rich Speckmann |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/01 | ARMY JV (3-7) | Other | 73.2 | | W | 7- | 4 | | 0.00 |
3/15 | at Harford (1-12) | Region XX | 63.9 | | W | 18- | 5 | | 0.00 |
3/16 | at Catonsville (6-8) | Region XX | 72.2 | | W | 16- | 7 | | 0.00 |
3/20 | NAVAL ACADEMY PREP (6-4) | Other | 83.8 | | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.00 |
3/22 | ANNE ARUNDEL (4-10) | Region XX | 75.2 | 9 | W | 14- | 6 | | -0.20 |
3/29 | ONONDAGA (16-2) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 9- | 12 | | 0.00 |
4/05 | at Essex (9-8) | Region XX | 80.7 | 4 | L | 9- | 11 | | 0.00 |
4/08 | at Suffolk (9-7) | Region XV | 75.4 | 7 | W | 17- | 4 | | -0.40 |
4/12 | HOWARD (11-3) | Region XX | 78.4 | 5 | W | 16- | 10 | | -0.60 |
4/19 | at Herkimer (15-3) | Region III | 81.8 | 3 | W | 13- | 11 | | -0.80 |
4/21 | at Princeton JV (0-0) | | | | L | 7- | 8 | | 0.00 |
4/29 | ARMY PREP (11-2) | Other | 84.9 | | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.00 |
5/02 | SUFFOLK (9-7) | Region XV | 75.4 | 7 | W | 15- | 7 | | -0.40 |
5/10 | ONONDAGA (16-2) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | W | 15- | 11 | | -1.00 |
5/11 | ESSEX (9-8) | Region XX | 80.7 | 4 | W | 11- | 6 | | -0.70 |
| | 77.3 | | | | | | -4.10 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/01 | H | Army JV | 7- | 4 | 3 | 11 | ––– | -0.77 | | -8.37 |
3/15 | A | Harford | 18- | 5 | 13 | 20 | ––– | 0.35 | -6.53 | |
3/16 | A | Catonsville | 16- | 7 | 9 | 11 | – | 0.35 | -2.30 | |
3/20 | H | Naval Academy Prep | 11- | 10 | 1 | 1 | | -0.77 | | 0.20 |
3/22 | H | Anne Arundel | 14- | 6 | 8 | 9 | | -0.35 | -1.00 | |
3/29 | H | Onondaga | 9- | 12 | -3 | -1 | – | -0.35 | -2.25 | |
4/05 | A | Essex | 9- | 11 | -2 | 3 | –– | 0.35 | -4.75 | |
4/08 | A | Suffolk | 17- | 4 | 13 | 8 | ++ | 0.35 | 4.96 | |
4/12 | H | Howard | 16- | 10 | 6 | 6 | | -0.35 | 0.29 | |
4/19 | A | Herkimer | 13- | 11 | 2 | 2 | | 0.35 | 0.33 | |
4/21 | A | Princeton JV | 7- | 8 | | | | | | |
4/29 | H | Army Prep | 11- | 10 | 1 | 0 | | -0.77 | | 1.32 |
5/02 | H | Suffolk | 15- | 7 | 8 | 9 | | -0.35 | -0.73 | |
5/10 | H | Onondaga | 15- | 11 | 4 | -1 | ++ | -0.35 | 4.75 | |
5/11 | H | Essex | 11- | 6 | 5 | 3 | | -0.35 | 1.55 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -5.69 | -6.85 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/15 | A | Harford | 18- | 5 | 6.53 |
4/08 | A | Suffolk | 17- | 4 | -3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.24 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | -8.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 1 |
| Local Poll Vote | 47. | | Local Poll Rank | 1 |
| Local Power Rating | 83.81 | | Local Power Rank | 2 |
| Local SOS Rating | 77.27 | | Local SOS Rank | 1 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.69 | | Local RPI Rank | 1 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 3 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -4.10 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 1 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 1 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 4-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 2.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 7-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 5.7 |
|
