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Nazareth Golden Flyers (10-6)

Conference: Empire 8

Region: North

State: NY

Coach: Rob Randall

Nazareth Downs RIT to Claim ECAC Upstate Title

ROCHESTER, NY -- The RIT men's lacrosse team was defeated by Nazareth College 16-9 in the title game of the 2008 ECAC Upstate Division III Men's Lacrosse Championship on Sunday afternoon at RIT Field. The Tigers finish their season with an 11-8 record, while the Golden Flyers finish their season with a 10-6 mark. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*			QWF
3/02	SPRINGFIELD (11-7)	Pilgrim	86.7		W	11-	10	0.00
3/11	GENESEO (12-3)	SUNYAC	89.0	13	L	12-	13	0.00
3/15	vs. Elmira # (2-12)	Empire 8	79.6		W	18-	8	0.00
3/18	vs. Wesleyan # (10-5)	NESCAC	89.3	19	W	8-	5	-0.10
3/20	vs. Western New England # (15-5)	Commonwealth	89.6	15	W	15-	10	-0.30
3/26	at Utica College (4-11)	Empire 8	81.0		L	9-	11	0.00
3/29	HARTWICK (5-8)	Empire 8	83.2		W	10-	8	0.00
4/02	at Cortland (17-1)	SUNYAC	94.7	2	L	5-	21	0.00
4/05	at Ithaca (17-2)	Empire 8	90.6	7	L	9-	10	0.00
4/09	ST. JOHN FISHER (11-5)	Empire 8	84.4		W	7-	6	0.00
4/12	at Stevens (8-6)	Empire 8	87.7		L	7-	8	0.00
4/16	ALFRED (7-8)	Empire 8	80.5		W	14-	3	0.00
4/19	RIT (11-8)	Empire 8	88.0		L	7-	18	0.00
4/22	at Keuka (8-5)	Independent	81.4		W	13-	9	0.00
5/08	at Union (12-5)	Liberty	86.7	17	W	15-	5	-0.20
5/11	at RIT (11-8)	Empire 8	88.0		W	16-	9	0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			85.4					-0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/02	H	Springfield	11-	10	1	3		-2.03	-1.85
3/11	H	Geneseo	12-	13	-1	1	–	-2.03	-2.06
3/15	N	Elmira	18-	8	10	9		0.00	0.89
3/18	N	Wesleyan	8-	5	3	-2	++	0.00	4.82
3/20	N	Western New England	15-	10	5	-1	+++	0.00	6.33
3/26	A	Utica College	9-	11	-2	5	–––	2.03	-7.10
3/29	H	Hartwick	10-	8	2	7	––	-2.03	-4.55
4/02	A	Cortland	5-	21	-16	-10	–––	2.03	-6.20
4/05	A	Ithaca	9-	10	-1	-5	+	2.03	3.96
4/09	H	St. John Fisher	7-	6	1	5	––	-2.03	-4.35
4/12	A	Stevens	7-	8	-1	-2		2.03	1.11
4/16	H	Alfred	14-	3	11	9		-2.03	1.61
4/19	H	RIT	7-	18	-11	1	–––	-2.03	12.38
4/22	A	Keuka	13-	9	4	5		2.03	-0.52
5/08	A	Union	15-	5	10	-1	+++	2.03	10.62
5/11	A	RIT	16-	9	7	-3	+++	2.03	9.68
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	N	Elmira	18-	8	0.00
4/02	A	Cortland	5-	21	6.00
4/16	H	Alfred	14-	3	-1.00
4/19	H	RIT	7-	18	0.00
5/08	A	Union	15-	5	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.31

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	52.00	Local TSI Rank	15
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	88.16	Local Power Rank	21
Local SOS Rating	85.41	Local SOS Rank	12
Local RPI Rating	0.60	Local RPI Rank	18
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	22
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.60	Local Quality Win Rank	21
Local Loss Rating	1.20	Local Loss Rank	45
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-6	Ave Goal diff (all )	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.0


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