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Northern Colorado Bears (7-5)

Conference: RMLC 2

Region: East

State: CO

Coach: Andrew Vance

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				QWF
2/29	at Regis (2-5)	RMLC 2	63.1		W	18-	3		0.00
3/09	NORTHERN ARIZONA (4-8)	RMLC 2	68.3		W	13-	5		0.00
3/14	METROPOLITAN STATE (7-3)	RMLC 2	67.4	20	L	11-	12	ot	0.00
3/23	OREGON (12-6)	PNCLL 1	82.6		L	7-	18		0.00
3/28	UTAH VALLEY STATE (6-5)	RMLC 2	71.8	16	W	12-	5		-0.40
3/30	MONTANA STATE (7-3)	RMLC 2	71.7	14	L	14-	15		0.00
4/04	vs. UW - Eau Claire # (7-6)	UMLL 2	63.9		W	14-	5		0.00
4/05	at St. Thomas (16-3)	UMLL 2	75.4	3	L	10-	16		0.00
4/06	vs. St. John's (MN) # (12-4)	UMLL 2	72.4	4	L	8-	15		0.00
4/18	at Colorado Sch. of Mines (7-5)	RMLC 2	67.0	22	W	12-	8		-0.16
4/23	at Wyoming (1-10)	RMLC 2	50.7		W	23-	0		0.00
4/27	at Fort Lewis (12-5)	RMLC 2	75.5	7	W	13-	12	ot	-0.76
# Neutral site			69.3						-1.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	A	Regis	18-	3	15	8	+++	1.50	7.42
3/09	H	Northern Arizona	13-	5	8	5	+	-1.50	2.71
3/14	H	Metropolitan State	11-	12	-1	6	–––	-1.50	-7.27
3/23	H	Oregon	7-	18	-11	-9	–	-1.59		-2.09
3/28	H	Utah Valley State	12-	5	7	2	++	-1.50	5.13
3/30	H	Montana State	14-	15	-1	2	–	-1.50	-2.97
4/04	N	UW - Eau Claire	14-	5	9	8		0.00	0.75
4/05	A	St. Thomas	10-	16	-6	-5		1.50	-1.26
4/06	N	St. John's (MN)	8-	15	-7	0	–––	0.00	-6.73
4/18	A	Colorado Sch. of Mines	12-	8	4	4		1.50	0.39
4/23	A	Wyoming	23-	0	23	20	+	1.50	3.03
4/27	A	Fort Lewis	13-	12	1	-5	++	1.50	5.87
									7.09	-2.09

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/29	A	Regis	18-	3	-5.00
3/23	H	Oregon	7-	18	1.00
4/23	A	Wyoming	23-	0	-3.03
10-goal correction: -0.59

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	19.00		Local TSI Rank	9
Local Poll Vote	313.		Local Poll Rank	13
Local Power Rating	72.14		Local Power Rank	8
Local SOS Rating	69.33		Local SOS Rank	7
Local RPI Rating	0.59		Local RPI Rank	16
Local Trend Rating	2.00		Local Trend Rank	29
Local Quality Win Rating	-1.32		Local Quality Win Rank	12
Local Loss Rating	0.80		Local Loss Rank	38
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	9.3

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