| Conference: UMLL 2 | | State: ND | Coach: Jared O'Neill |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/02 | A | Northern Michigan | 3- | 11 | -8 | -2 | | 1.50 | -6.37 | |
2/02 | N | Ferris State | 19- | 7 | 12 | 6 | +++ | 0.00 | 6.36 | |
2/22 | N | Bethel | 12- | 11 | 1 | 1 | | 0.00 | -0.07 | |
2/23 | N | Carleton | 14- | 9 | 5 | 4 | | 0.00 | 1.01 | |
3/29 | N | St. Thomas | 1- | 13 | -12 | -7 | | 0.00 | -4.52 | |
3/30 | N | Augsburg | 18- | 2 | 16 | 13 | + | 0.00 | 3.27 | |
4/18 | H | Minnesota St. Moorhead | 10- | 3 | 7 | 10 | | -1.50 | -2.64 | |
4/19 | H | North Dakota | 13- | 3 | 10 | 10 | | -1.50 | 0.34 | |
4/23 | A | St. John's (MN) | 11- | 12 | -1 | -6 | ++ | 1.50 | 5.01 | |
5/03 | N | St. John's (MN) | 6- | 10 | -4 | -5 | | 0.00 | 0.51 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 2.87 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
2/02 | N | Ferris State | 19- | 7 | -2.00 |
3/29 | N | St. Thomas | 1- | 13 | 2.00 |
3/30 | N | Augsburg | 18- | 2 | -3.27 |
4/19 | H | North Dakota | 13- | 3 | -0.34 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.36 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 78.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 22 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 67.91 | | Local Power Rank | 20 |
| Local SOS Rating | 65.87 | | Local SOS Rank | 28 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.53 | | Local RPI Rank | 28 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 27 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 37 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -5.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -5.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
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