| Conference: Region III | | State: NY | Coach: Chuck Wilbur |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/15 | at Essex (9-8) | Region XX | 80.7 | 4 | W | 13- | 12 | | -0.70 |
3/22 | MONROE (10-6) | Region III | 76.1 | 8 | W | 20- | 9 | | -0.30 |
3/25 | at Tompkins Cortland (3-9) | Region III | 58.5 | | W | 31- | 1 | | 0.00 |
3/29 | at Nassau (12-3) | Region XV | 83.8 | 1 | W | 12- | 9 | | -1.00 |
4/01 | at Broome (10-5) | Region III | 68.8 | 10 | W | 20- | 5 | | -0.10 |
4/04 | at Cayuga (1-14) | Region III | 56.0 | | W | 31- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/05 | at Hudson Valley (14-5) | Region III | 72.9 | 6 | W | 17- | 9 | | -0.50 |
4/07 | JEFFERSON (8-7) | Region III | 64.3 | | W | 31- | 1 | | 0.00 |
4/09 | DELHI (5-8) | Region III | 62.5 | | W | 30- | 1 | | 0.00 |
4/12 | HERKIMER (15-3) | Region III | 81.8 | 3 | L | 19- | 24 | | 0.00 |
4/19 | MOHAWK VALLEY (4-9) | Region III | 60.5 | | W | 31- | 2 | | 0.00 |
4/23 | ALFRED STATE (8-6) | Region III | 66.1 | | W | 26- | 11 | | 0.00 |
4/25 | at Finger Lakes (10-10) | Region III | 65.8 | | W | 34- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/26 | MERCYHURST NORTH EAST (5-8) | Region III | 61.6 | | W | 29- | 0 | | 0.00 |
4/29 | JEFFERSON (8-7) | Region III | 64.3 | | W | 34- | 5 | | 0.00 |
5/03 | vs. Hudson Valley # (14-5) | Region III | 72.9 | 6 | W | 19- | 9 | | -0.50 |
5/04 | at Herkimer (15-3) | Region III | 81.8 | 3 | W | 14- | 8 | | -0.80 |
5/10 | at Nassau (12-3) | Region XV | 83.8 | 1 | L | 11- | 15 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 68.7 | | | | | | -3.90 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/15 | A | Essex | 13- | 12 | 1 | 4 | – | 0.35 | -2.85 | |
3/22 | H | Monroe | 20- | 9 | 11 | 9 | | -0.35 | 1.82 | |
3/25 | A | Tompkins Cortland | 31- | 1 | 30 | 26 | + | 0.35 | 3.99 | |
3/29 | A | Nassau | 12- | 9 | 3 | 1 | + | 0.35 | 2.25 | |
4/01 | A | Broome | 20- | 5 | 15 | 16 | | 0.35 | -0.73 | |
4/04 | A | Cayuga | 31- | 5 | 26 | 29 | – | 0.35 | -2.58 | |
4/05 | A | Hudson Valley | 17- | 9 | 8 | 12 | – | 0.35 | -3.69 | |
4/07 | H | Jefferson | 31- | 1 | 30 | 21 | +++ | -0.35 | 9.01 | |
4/09 | H | Delhi | 30- | 1 | 29 | 23 | +++ | -0.35 | 6.26 | |
4/12 | H | Herkimer | 19- | 24 | -5 | 3 | ––– | -0.35 | -8.46 | |
4/19 | H | Mohawk Valley | 31- | 2 | 29 | 25 | ++ | -0.35 | 4.25 | |
4/23 | H | Alfred State | 26- | 11 | 15 | 19 | –– | -0.35 | -4.19 | |
4/25 | A | Finger Lakes | 34- | 4 | 30 | 19 | +++ | 0.35 | 11.23 | |
4/26 | H | Mercyhurst North East | 29- | 0 | 29 | 24 | ++ | -0.35 | 5.34 | |
4/29 | H | Jefferson | 34- | 5 | 29 | 21 | +++ | -0.35 | 8.01 | |
5/03 | N | Hudson Valley | 19- | 9 | 10 | 12 | – | 0.00 | -2.04 | |
5/04 | A | Herkimer | 14- | 8 | 6 | 3 | + | 0.35 | 3.24 | |
5/10 | A | Nassau | 11- | 15 | -4 | 1 | –– | 0.35 | -4.75 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 26.11 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/22 | H | Monroe | 20- | 9 | -1.00 |
3/25 | A | Tompkins Cortland | 31- | 1 | -3.99 |
4/01 | A | Broome | 20- | 5 | 0.73 |
4/04 | A | Cayuga | 31- | 5 | 2.58 |
4/07 | H | Jefferson | 31- | 1 | -9.01 |
4/09 | H | Delhi | 30- | 1 | -6.26 |
4/19 | H | Mohawk Valley | 31- | 2 | -4.25 |
4/23 | H | Alfred State | 26- | 11 | 4.19 |
4/25 | A | Finger Lakes | 34- | 4 | 11.23 |
4/26 | H | Mercyhurst North East | 29- | 0 | -5.34 |
4/29 | H | Jefferson | 34- | 5 | -8.01 |
5/03 | N | Hudson Valley | 19- | 9 | 2.04 |
| 10-goal correction: -2.20 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 0.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 2 |
| Local Poll Vote | 47. | | Local Poll Rank | 2 |
| Local Power Rating | 84.90 | | Local Power Rank | 1 |
| Local SOS Rating | 68.66 | | Local SOS Rank | 10 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.66 | | Local RPI Rank | 2 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 4 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -3.90 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 2 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 2 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 16.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 3-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 7-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.0 |
| 
