| Conference: North Coast | Region: South | State: OH | Coach: Sean Ryan |
#13 Denison Beats Battling Bishops for NCAC Crown
Brady Burton (Dublin, Ohio/Jerome) scored eight goals, with four coming in a pivotal second quarter as the Denison Big Red defeated Ohio Wesleyan 16-12 on Saturday at Deeds Field-Piper Stadium. The victory clinches the outright North Coast Athletic Conference championship and runs Denison's winning streak to 10 games. That is the most consecutive wins by a Big Red team since 1985 and two shy of the school record for consecutive wins, set in 1982. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/16 | A | Fontbonne | 13- | 6 | 7 | 8 | | 2.04 | -1.36 | |
3/02 | H | Lynchburg | 5- | 13 | -8 | -3 | | -2.04 | -4.95 | |
3/09 | A | Salisbury | 10- | 14 | -4 | -9 | ++ | 2.04 | 4.96 | |
3/12 | A | Gettysburg | 7- | 12 | -5 | -7 | | 2.04 | 1.87 | |
3/15 | A | Merchant Marine | 13- | 17 | -4 | 3 | | 2.04 | -7.17 | |
3/26 | H | Adrian | 26- | 10 | 16 | 12 | ++ | -2.04 | 4.14 | |
3/29 | A | Elizabethtown | 10- | 3 | 7 | 7 | | 2.04 | 0.45 | |
4/02 | A | Oberlin | 26- | 6 | 20 | 14 | +++ | 2.04 | 6.11 | |
4/05 | A | Saint Vincent | 17- | 2 | 15 | 7 | +++ | 2.04 | 8.05 | |
4/09 | H | Wooster | 11- | 7 | 4 | 4 | | -2.04 | -0.41 | |
4/16 | H | Wittenberg | 11- | 7 | 4 | 9 | | -2.04 | -5.31 | |
4/20 | A | Kenyon | 11- | 13 | -2 | 1 | | 2.04 | -2.55 | |
4/23 | A | Mount St. Joseph | 16- | 5 | 11 | 13 | | 2.04 | -2.42 | |
4/26 | H | Washington & Jefferson | 21- | 4 | 17 | 14 | + | -2.04 | 3.47 | |
5/03 | A | Denison | 12- | 16 | -4 | -6 | | 2.04 | 1.71 | |
5/07 | A | Kenyon | 12- | 8 | 4 | 1 | + | 2.04 | 3.45 | |
5/10 | A | Salisbury | 5- | 13 | -8 | -9 | | 2.04 | 0.96 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 11.01 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/26 | H | Adrian | 26- | 10 | -4.14 |
4/02 | A | Oberlin | 26- | 6 | -6.11 |
4/05 | A | Saint Vincent | 17- | 2 | -5.00 |
4/23 | A | Mount St. Joseph | 16- | 5 | 2.42 |
4/26 | H | Washington & Jefferson | 21- | 4 | -3.47 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.96 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 81.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 24 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 87.98 | | Local Power Rank | 17 |
| Local SOS Rating | 82.99 | | Local SOS Rank | 38 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.59 | | Local RPI Rank | 23 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 51 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 69 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.7 |
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