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Robert Morris Colonials (4-11)

Conference: Colonial

Region: Northeast

State: PA

Coach: Bear Davis

#20 Hofstra Rallies for One-Goal Win Over Robert Morris

MOON TOWNSHIP, PA - Sophomore Dan Stein scored four goals and junior Anthony Muscarella capped a furious Pride rally with the winning goal as #20 Hofstra defeated Robert Morris, 13-12, in a CAA game at Joe Walton Stadium Saturday. The victory improves the Pride's record to 8-5 overall and 5-1 in conference play while the Colonials fell to 4-11 overall and 0-6. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
2/09	SETON HILL (9-7)	Independent	78.3		W	16-	2
2/16	at Penn State (7-7)	ECAC	90.7		L	2-	18
2/23	vs. Manhattan # (6-9)	Metro Atlanti	83.9		L	9-	10	ot
2/24	at Wagner (0-15)	Metro Atlanti	78.6		W	10-	2
3/01	at Bellarmine (7-7)	Great Western	86.9		L	9-	20
3/04	PRESBYTERIAN (0-11)	Independent	78.0		W	16-	5
3/11	at VMI (6-10)	Metro Atlanti	84.2		W	15-	4
3/15	OHIO STATE (11-6)	Great Western	95.3	11	L	5-	12
3/22	at Sacred Heart (7-5)	Colonial	87.9		L	11-	15
3/29	TOWSON (5-9)	Colonial	90.0		L	8-	9
4/05	at Drexel (13-4)	Colonial	92.0	15	L	7-	11
4/08	CANISIUS (10-6)	Metro Atlanti	88.2		L	15-	16	ot
4/12	VILLANOVA (5-10)	Colonial	88.3		L	10-	11	2ot
4/19	at Delaware (9-7)	Colonial	91.1		L	5-	20
4/26	HOFSTRA (10-6)	Colonial	91.9	16	L	12-	13
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			87.2

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/09	H	Seton Hill	16-	2	14	9	++	-1.78		4.50
2/16	A	Penn State	2-	18	-16	-6	–––	1.64	-9.71
2/23	N	Manhattan	9-	10	-1	2	–	0.00	-3.12
2/24	A	Wagner	10-	2	8	6	+	1.64	2.19
3/01	A	Bellarmine	9-	20	-11	-2	–––	1.64	-8.55
3/04	H	Presbyterian	16-	5	11	10		-1.64	1.31
3/11	A	VMI	15-	4	11	0	+++	1.64	10.78
3/15	H	Ohio State	5-	12	-7	-8		-1.64	0.59
3/22	A	Sacred Heart	11-	15	-4	-3		1.64	-0.54
3/29	H	Towson	8-	9	-1	-2		-1.64	1.29
4/05	A	Drexel	7-	11	-4	-8	+	1.64	3.56
4/08	H	Canisius	15-	16	-1	0		-1.64	-0.52
4/12	H	Villanova	10-	11	-1	-1		-1.64	-0.44
4/19	A	Delaware	5-	20	-15	-7	–––	1.64	-8.27
4/26	H	Hofstra	12-	13	-1	-4	+	-1.64	3.21
									-8.21	4.50

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/09	H	Seton Hill	16-	2	-4.00
2/16	A	Penn State	2-	18	6.00
3/01	A	Bellarmine	9-	20	1.00
3/04	H	Presbyterian	16-	5	-1.31
3/11	A	VMI	15-	4	-1.00
4/19	A	Delaware	5-	20	5.00
10-goal correction: 0.38

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	160.00	Local TSI Rank	53
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	86.07	Local Power Rank	47
Local SOS Rating	87.19	Local SOS Rank	53
Local RPI Rating	0.38	Local RPI Rank	53
Local Trend Rating	5.00	Local Trend Rank	56
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	2.20	Local Loss Rank	50
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-11	Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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