| Conference: WCLL 1 | Region: South | State: CA | Coach: Matt Holman |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/03 | CHICO STATE (10-8) | WCLL 1 | 78.8 | 22 | W | 6- | 5 | | -0.16 |
2/09 | at Occidental (3-6) | WCLL 2 | 57.7 | | W | 13- | 0 | | 0.00 |
2/23 | LOYOLA MARYMOUNT (9-7) | WCLL 1 | 79.3 | | L | 6- | 7 | | 0.00 |
2/29 | CHAPMAN (19-2) | WCLL 1 | 87.4 | 2 | L | 6- | 14 | | 0.00 |
3/02 | FORT LEWIS (12-5) | RMLC 2 | 75.5 | | W | 17- | 7 | | 0.00 |
3/08 | SAN DIEGO (4-9) | WCLL 1 | 75.3 | | L | 5- | 6 | | 0.00 |
3/14 | UC SANTA BARBARA (11-7) | WCLL 1 | 82.6 | 11 | L | 3- | 7 | | 0.00 |
3/21 | at Arizona State (16-4) | WCLL 1 | 84.8 | 6 | L | 10- | 17 | | 0.00 |
3/23 | at Arizona (6-10) | WCLL 1 | 79.0 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.00 |
3/29 | USC (5-11) | WCLL 1 | 73.3 | | W | 14- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/02 | vs. Baylor # (5-8) | LSA 1 | 71.2 | | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/03 | at Texas State (8-7) | LSA 1 | 72.2 | | W | 13- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/05 | at Texas (12-5) | LSA 1 | 78.1 | | L | 7- | 10 | | 0.00 |
4/12 | at UC San Diego (1-10) | WCLL 1 | 76.3 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.00 |
4/20 | at Claremont (12-4) | WCLL 1 | 79.6 | 18 | L | 6- | 8 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 75.9 | | | | | | -0.16 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/03 | H | Chico State | 6- | 5 | 1 | 1 | | -1.68 | -0.28 | |
2/09 | A | Occidental | 13- | 0 | 13 | 19 | ––– | 1.59 | | -6.18 |
2/23 | H | Loyola Marymount | 6- | 7 | -1 | 1 | | -1.68 | -1.80 | |
2/29 | H | Chapman | 6- | 14 | -8 | -7 | | -1.68 | -0.75 | |
3/02 | H | Fort Lewis | 17- | 7 | 10 | 5 | ++ | -1.59 | | 5.47 |
3/08 | H | San Diego | 5- | 6 | -1 | 5 | –– | -1.68 | -5.81 | |
3/14 | H | UC Santa Barbara | 3- | 7 | -4 | -2 | | -1.68 | -1.55 | |
3/21 | A | Arizona State | 10- | 17 | -7 | -8 | | 1.68 | 1.07 | |
3/23 | A | Arizona | 8- | 7 | 1 | -2 | + | 1.68 | 3.22 | |
3/29 | H | USC | 14- | 5 | 9 | 7 | + | -1.68 | 2.18 | |
4/02 | N | Baylor | 13- | 5 | 8 | 7 | | 0.00 | 0.71 | |
4/03 | A | Texas State | 13- | 4 | 9 | 5 | ++ | 1.68 | 4.41 | |
4/05 | A | Texas | 7- | 10 | -3 | -1 | | 1.68 | -1.71 | |
4/12 | A | UC San Diego | 10- | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 1.68 | 0.54 | |
4/20 | A | Claremont | 6- | 8 | -2 | -3 | | 1.68 | 0.83 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 1.05 | -0.71 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/09 | A | Occidental | 13- | 0 | 6.18 |
3/02 | H | Fort Lewis | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.41 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 109.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 32 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 78.45 | | Local Power Rank | 33 |
| Local SOS Rating | 75.92 | | Local SOS Rank | 31 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.50 | | Local RPI Rank | 42 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 44 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.16 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 48 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 68 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -8.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.3 |
|
