| Conference: SELC 1 | Region: Southern | State: FL | Coach: John Matzke |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/09 | H | Jacksonville | 18- | 16 | | | | | | |
2/16 | A | North Florida | 12- | 5 | | | | | | |
2/23 | A | Central Florida | 7- | 23 | -16 | -13 | – | 1.68 | -2.72 | |
2/24 | H | Palm Beach Atlantic | 15- | 2 | 13 | 10 | + | -1.59 | | 3.15 |
2/28 | A | Florida | 7- | 21 | -14 | -15 | | 1.68 | 0.83 | |
3/01 | H | U. of Miami | 14- | 16 | -2 | -4 | + | -1.68 | 2.02 | |
3/05 | H | Stonehill | 11- | 12 | -1 | -1 | | -1.68 | -0.27 | |
3/08 | H | Texas State | 16- | 17 | -1 | -2 | | -1.68 | 1.46 | |
3/09 | H | Minnesota St. Mankato | 9- | 8 | 1 | 2 | | -1.68 | -0.86 | |
3/23 | H | California | 6- | 20 | -14 | -10 | –– | -1.68 | -4.13 | |
3/29 | A | Savannah Art & Design | 8- | 17 | -9 | -2 | ––– | 1.59 | | -7.01 |
4/01 | A | Eckerd | 18- | 11 | 7 | 6 | | 1.59 | | 1.35 |
4/04 | H | Auburn | 4- | 15 | -11 | -10 | | -1.68 | -0.56 | |
4/12 | A | Florida State | 10- | 24 | -14 | -16 | | 1.68 | 1.58 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -2.66 | -2.51 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/23 | A | Central Florida | 7- | 23 | 2.72 |
2/24 | H | Palm Beach Atlantic | 15- | 2 | -3.15 |
2/28 | A | Florida | 7- | 21 | -0.83 |
3/23 | H | California | 6- | 20 | 4.00 |
4/04 | H | Auburn | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
4/12 | A | Florida State | 10- | 24 | -1.58 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.15 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 222.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 75 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 68.05 | | Local Power Rank | 78 |
| Local SOS Rating | 72.38 | | Local SOS Rank | 60 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.40 | | Local RPI Rank | 79 |
| Local Trend Rating | 4.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 91 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 89 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -3.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -6.0 |
| 
