| Conference: Pennsylvania | Region: South | State: VA | Coach: Brian Jenkins |
Pacers Make Playoffs with Dramatic Win vs. Shenandoah
Scranton, PA - Marywood University overcame a three-goal deficit fourth quarter deficit to Shenandoah University and Brian Roerden scored the game-winning goal with 38 seconds to play to give the first-year Pacers a dramatic 8-7 victory and a berth in the Pennsylvania Athletic Conference playoffs. With the win, Marywood closes out its regular season with a 9-4 record and 5-3 mark in the PAC while the Hornets, who had their postseason hopes dashed with the loss, finish the season 9-3 overall and 5-3 in the conference. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/05 | H | Randolph-Macon | 9- | 8 | 1 | -3 | + | -2.04 | 3.69 | |
3/15 | A | Mt. St. Vincent | 19- | 5 | 14 | 7 | +++ | 2.04 | 7.00 | |
3/18 | H | Immaculata | 18- | 4 | 14 | 6 | +++ | -2.04 | 7.71 | |
3/22 | H | Mount St. Joseph | 7- | 6 | 1 | 4 | | -2.04 | -3.42 | |
3/26 | H | Hood | 11- | 10 | 1 | 6 | | -2.04 | -5.49 | |
4/01 | A | Cabrini | 8- | 23 | -15 | -18 | + | 2.04 | 2.63 | |
4/05 | H | Misericordia | 13- | 6 | 7 | 9 | | -2.04 | -2.04 | |
4/09 | H | Eastern | 9- | 13 | -4 | -1 | | -2.04 | -3.42 | |
4/12 | A | Centenary | 9- | 8 | 1 | -1 | + | 2.04 | 2.30 | |
4/19 | A | Alvernia | 9- | 4 | 5 | 6 | | 2.04 | -0.62 | |
4/23 | H | Neumann | 24- | 9 | 15 | 6 | +++ | -2.04 | 8.89 | |
4/26 | A | Marywood | 7- | 8 | -1 | -1 | | 2.04 | 0.07 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 17.29 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/15 | A | Mt. St. Vincent | 19- | 5 | -4.00 |
3/18 | H | Immaculata | 18- | 4 | -4.00 |
4/01 | A | Cabrini | 8- | 23 | -2.63 |
4/23 | H | Neumann | 24- | 9 | -5.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -1.30 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 329.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 108 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 74.90 | | Local Power Rank | 110 |
| Local SOS Rating | 72.38 | | Local SOS Rank | 133 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.48 | | Local RPI Rank | 84 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 60 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 12 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -15.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -15.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 6.3 |
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