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St. John Fisher Cardinals (11-5)

Conference: Empire 8

Region: North

State: NY

Coach: John C. Johnson

No. 16 Nazareth Edges St. John Fisher in Empire 8

ROCHESTER, N.Y. -- Sophomore Mark DeCirce scored the game-winning goal for Nazareth with 5:34 remaining in the fourth quarter to lift the Golden Flyers to a 7-6 victory over the visiting Cardinals in a pivotal Empire 8 conference game Wednesday. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
2/27	at Greensboro (5-10)	Independent	78.8		W	12-	4
2/29	at Guilford (2-12)	Old Dominion	73.8		W	13-	6
3/06	PLATTSBURGH (8-8)	SUNYAC	83.2		W	9-	8
3/11	MANHATTANVILLE (8-8)	Middle Atlant	75.2		W	17-	4
3/15	OSWEGO (3-12)	SUNYAC	79.1		W	10-	6
3/19	vs. Elmira # (2-12)	Empire 8	79.2		W	12-	10
3/22	at Hartwick (5-8)	Empire 8	82.8		L	7-	8
3/26	ITHACA (17-3)	Empire 8	90.1	7	L	7-	12
3/30	STEVENS (8-6)	Empire 8	87.4		W	7-	6
4/02	RIT (11-8)	Empire 8	87.6		W	12-	11	ot
4/09	at Nazareth (10-6)	Empire 8	87.8		L	6-	7
4/12	at Alfred (7-8)	Empire 8	80.1		W	5-	3
4/15	KEUKA (8-5)	Independent	81.1		W	6-	3
4/19	UTICA COLLEGE (4-11)	Empire 8	80.6		W	12-	5
4/25	at Ithaca (17-3)	Empire 8	90.1	7	L	9-	17
5/08	at RIT (11-8)	Empire 8	87.6		L	6-	16
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			82.0

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	Greensboro	12-	4	8	3	++	2.04	4.82
2/29	A	Guilford	13-	6	7	8		2.04	-1.21
3/06	H	Plattsburgh	9-	8	1	3		-2.04	-1.86
3/11	H	Manhattanville	17-	4	13	11	+	-2.04	2.11
3/15	H	Oswego	10-	6	4	7	–	-2.04	-2.94
3/19	N	Elmira	12-	10	2	5	–	0.00	-2.80
3/22	A	Hartwick	7-	8	-1	-1		2.04	-0.16
3/26	H	Ithaca	7-	12	-5	-4		-2.04	-0.97
3/30	H	Stevens	7-	6	1	-1	+	-2.04	2.28
4/02	H	RIT	12-	11	1	-1	+	-2.04	2.49
4/09	A	Nazareth	6-	7	-1	-6	++	2.04	4.79
4/12	A	Alfred	5-	3	2	2		2.04	0.11
4/15	H	Keuka	6-	3	3	5	–	-2.04	-2.00
4/19	H	Utica College	12-	5	7	5		-2.04	1.55
4/25	A	Ithaca	9-	17	-8	-8		2.04	0.11
5/08	A	RIT	6-	16	-10	-6	––	2.04	-4.43
									1.87	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/11	H	Manhattanville	17-	4	-2.11
5/08	A	RIT	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.13

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	157.00	Local TSI Rank	50
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	84.05	Local Power Rank	48
Local SOS Rating	81.98	Local SOS Rank	54
Local RPI Rating	0.54	Local RPI Rank	52
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	61
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.00	Local Loss Rank	32
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5	Ave Goal diff (all )	1.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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