| Conference: Empire 8 | Region: North | State: NY | Coach: John C. Johnson |
No. 16 Nazareth Edges St. John Fisher in Empire 8
ROCHESTER, N.Y. -- Sophomore Mark DeCirce scored the game-winning goal for Nazareth with 5:34 remaining in the fourth quarter to lift the Golden Flyers to a 7-6 victory over the visiting Cardinals in a pivotal Empire 8 conference game Wednesday. [full story]
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| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score* | | QWF |
2/27 | at Greensboro (5-10) | Independent | 78.8 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.00 |
2/29 | at Guilford (2-12) | Old Dominion | 73.8 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.00 |
3/06 | PLATTSBURGH (8-8) | SUNYAC | 83.2 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/11 | MANHATTANVILLE (8-8) | Middle Atlant | 75.2 | | W | 17- | 4 | | 0.00 |
3/15 | OSWEGO (3-12) | SUNYAC | 79.1 | | W | 10- | 6 | | 0.00 |
3/19 | vs. Elmira # (2-12) | Empire 8 | 79.2 | | W | 12- | 10 | | 0.00 |
3/22 | at Hartwick (5-8) | Empire 8 | 82.8 | | L | 7- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/26 | ITHACA (17-3) | Empire 8 | 90.1 | 7 | L | 7- | 12 | | 0.00 |
3/30 | STEVENS (8-6) | Empire 8 | 87.4 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.00 |
4/02 | RIT (11-8) | Empire 8 | 87.6 | | W | 12- | 11 | ot | 0.00 |
4/09 | at Nazareth (10-6) | Empire 8 | 87.8 | | L | 6- | 7 | | 0.00 |
4/12 | at Alfred (7-8) | Empire 8 | 80.1 | | W | 5- | 3 | | 0.00 |
4/15 | KEUKA (8-5) | Independent | 81.1 | | W | 6- | 3 | | 0.00 |
4/19 | UTICA COLLEGE (4-11) | Empire 8 | 80.6 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/25 | at Ithaca (17-3) | Empire 8 | 90.1 | 7 | L | 9- | 17 | | 0.00 |
5/08 | at RIT (11-8) | Empire 8 | 87.6 | | L | 6- | 16 | | 0.00 |
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site | | 82.0 | | | | | | 0.00 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/27 | A | Greensboro | 12- | 4 | 8 | 3 | ++ | 2.04 | 4.82 | |
2/29 | A | Guilford | 13- | 6 | 7 | 8 | | 2.04 | -1.21 | |
3/06 | H | Plattsburgh | 9- | 8 | 1 | 3 | | -2.04 | -1.86 | |
3/11 | H | Manhattanville | 17- | 4 | 13 | 11 | + | -2.04 | 2.11 | |
3/15 | H | Oswego | 10- | 6 | 4 | 7 | | -2.04 | -2.94 | |
3/19 | N | Elmira | 12- | 10 | 2 | 5 | | 0.00 | -2.80 | |
3/22 | A | Hartwick | 7- | 8 | -1 | -1 | | 2.04 | -0.16 | |
3/26 | H | Ithaca | 7- | 12 | -5 | -4 | | -2.04 | -0.97 | |
3/30 | H | Stevens | 7- | 6 | 1 | -1 | + | -2.04 | 2.28 | |
4/02 | H | RIT | 12- | 11 | 1 | -1 | + | -2.04 | 2.49 | |
4/09 | A | Nazareth | 6- | 7 | -1 | -6 | ++ | 2.04 | 4.79 | |
4/12 | A | Alfred | 5- | 3 | 2 | 2 | | 2.04 | 0.11 | |
4/15 | H | Keuka | 6- | 3 | 3 | 5 | | -2.04 | -2.00 | |
4/19 | H | Utica College | 12- | 5 | 7 | 5 | | -2.04 | 1.55 | |
4/25 | A | Ithaca | 9- | 17 | -8 | -8 | | 2.04 | 0.11 | |
5/08 | A | RIT | 6- | 16 | -10 | -6 | | 2.04 | -4.43 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 1.87 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/11 | H | Manhattanville | 17- | 4 | -2.11 |
5/08 | A | RIT | 6- | 16 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.13 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 157.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 50 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 84.05 | | Local Power Rank | 48 |
| Local SOS Rating | 81.98 | | Local SOS Rank | 54 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.54 | | Local RPI Rank | 52 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 61 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.00 | | Local Loss Rank | 32 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.7 |
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