College Computer Ratings

St. Thomas Tommies (16-3)

Conference: UMLL 2

State: MN

Coach: Pete Moosbrugger

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				QWF
2/09	vs. North Dakota # (5-8)	UMLL 2	59.7		W	20-	4		0.00
2/15	at Emory (7-4)	SELC 2	71.9	8	W	4-	3		-0.72
2/16	vs. UNC - Charlotte # (9-4)	SELC 2	69.4	12	W	11-	10	3ot	-0.56
2/18	vs. Kennesaw State # (5-8)	SELC 2	61.5		W	7-	3		0.00
3/29	vs. Minnesota St. Moorhead # (1-8)	UMLL 2	59.8		W	21-	0		0.00
3/29	vs. North Dakota State # (6-4)	UMLL 2	67.9		W	13-	1		0.00
3/30	vs. Grand Valley State # (20-2)	CCLA 2	78.2	2	L	12-	13	ot	0.00
4/05	NORTHERN COLORADO (7-5)	RMLC 2	72.1	13	W	16-	10		-0.52
4/06	DAYTON (13-4)	CCLA 2	74.4	5	W	18-	9		-0.84
4/08	AUGSBURG (1-9)	UMLL 2	55.2		W	22-	4		0.00
4/13	vs. UW - Eau Claire # (7-6)	UMLL 2	63.9		W	12-	3		0.00
4/16	MINNESOTA (9-8)	UMLL 1	74.1		W	15-	13		0.00
4/19	at Carleton (5-4)	UMLL 2	63.9		W	19-	7		0.00
4/20	BETHEL (5-5)	UMLL 2	66.8		W	13-	5		0.00
4/21	ST. JOHN'S (MN) (12-4)	UMLL 2	72.4	4	W	10-	5		-0.88
5/03	vs. Bethel # (5-5)	UMLL 2	66.8		W	19-	6		0.00
5/04	vs. St. John's (MN) # (12-4)	UMLL 2	72.4	4	L	7-	8		0.00
5/14	vs. Elon # (11-5)	SELC 2	70.5	6	W	19-	10		-0.80
5/16	vs. Grand Valley State # (20-2)	CCLA 2	78.2	2	L	11-	13		0.00
# Neutral site			68.7						-4.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/09	N	North Dakota	20-	4	16	16		0.00	0.36
2/15	A	Emory	4-	3	1	2		1.50	-0.95
2/16	N	UNC - Charlotte	11-	10	1	6	––	0.00	-4.97
2/18	N	Kennesaw State	7-	3	4	14	–––	0.00	-9.88
3/29	N	Minnesota St. Moorhead	21-	0	21	16	++	0.00	5.38
3/29	N	North Dakota State	13-	1	12	7	++	0.00	4.52
3/30	N	Grand Valley State	12-	13	-1	-3		0.00	1.78
4/05	H	Northern Colorado	16-	10	6	5		-1.50	1.26
4/06	H	Dayton	18-	9	9	2	+++	-1.50	6.55
4/08	H	Augsburg	22-	4	18	22	–	-1.50	-3.71
4/13	N	UW - Eau Claire	12-	3	9	11	–	0.00	-2.49
4/16	H	Minnesota	15-	13	2	3		-1.59		-0.86
4/19	A	Carleton	19-	7	12	10	+	1.50	2.03
4/20	H	Bethel	13-	5	8	10	–	-1.50	-2.05
4/21	H	St. John's (MN)	10-	5	5	4		-1.50	0.53
5/03	N	Bethel	19-	6	13	9	++	0.00	4.45
5/04	N	St. John's (MN)	7-	8	-1	3	–	0.00	-3.97
5/14	N	Elon	19-	10	9	5	++	0.00	4.12
5/16	N	Grand Valley State	11-	13	-2	-3		0.00	0.78
									3.75	-0.86