| Conference: Region XV | | State: NY | Coach: Brendan Chamberlain |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/01 | A | Howard | 13- | 14 | -1 | -3 | + | 0.35 | 2.37 | |
3/14 | H | Bridgton Academy | 9- | 10 | -1 | 3 | –– | -0.77 | | -4.20 |
3/15 | N | Mercyhurst North East | 19- | 4 | 15 | 14 | | 0.00 | 1.17 | |
3/20 | N | Army Prep | 4- | 18 | -14 | -9 | –– | 0.00 | | -4.52 |
3/22 | A | Harford | 20- | 8 | 12 | 11 | | 0.35 | 0.85 | |
3/25 | A | Army JV | 18- | 6 | 12 | 1 | +++ | 0.77 | | 10.55 |
3/28 | H | Essex | 2- | 7 | -5 | -5 | | -0.35 | -0.06 | |
4/08 | H | Nassau | 4- | 17 | -13 | -8 | –– | -0.35 | -4.96 | |
4/11 | H | Delaware Tech. | 18- | 8 | 10 | 10 | | -0.35 | 0.39 | |
4/13 | A | Dean | 23- | 0 | 23 | 24 | | 0.35 | -0.99 | |
4/19 | N | Naval Academy Prep | 4- | 12 | -8 | -8 | | 0.00 | | 0.35 |
4/21 | H | Stony Brook Club | 23- | 8 | 15 | 11 | ++ | -1.05 | | 4.16 |
4/26 | H | Catonsville | 9- | 8 | 1 | 4 | – | -0.35 | -2.62 | |
4/27 | N | Finger Lakes | 21- | 6 | 15 | 10 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.36 | |
5/02 | A | Nassau | 7- | 15 | -8 | -9 | | 0.35 | 0.73 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 2.23 | 6.34 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/15 | N | Mercyhurst North East | 19- | 4 | -1.17 |
3/20 | N | Army Prep | 4- | 18 | 4.00 |
3/22 | A | Harford | 20- | 8 | -0.85 |
3/25 | A | Army JV | 18- | 6 | -2.00 |
4/08 | H | Nassau | 4- | 17 | 3.00 |
4/11 | H | Delaware Tech. | 18- | 8 | -0.39 |
4/13 | A | Dean | 23- | 0 | 0.99 |
4/21 | H | Stony Brook Club | 23- | 8 | -4.16 |
4/27 | N | Finger Lakes | 21- | 6 | -5.36 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.40 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 21.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 7 |
| Local Poll Vote | 17. | | Local Poll Rank | 7 |
| Local Power Rating | 75.42 | | Local Power Rank | 7 |
| Local SOS Rating | 71.53 | | Local SOS Rank | 7 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.54 | | Local RPI Rank | 9 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 12 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.20 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 13 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 6 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.7 |
| 
