| Conference: LSA 2 | | State: TX | Coach: Bill Bowman |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/02 | A | Baylor | 5- | 11 | -6 | -2 | – | 1.59 | | -3.51 |
2/08 | A | Texas | 6- | 16 | -10 | -9 | | 1.59 | | -0.61 |
2/10 | H | Texas - Arlington | 20- | 3 | 17 | 24 | ––– | -1.50 | -6.66 | |
2/16 | H | Sam Houston State | 25- | 3 | 22 | 32 | ––– | -1.50 | -9.85 | |
2/23 | H | Texas Tech | 2- | 13 | -11 | -1 | ––– | -1.59 | | -9.50 |
2/26 | H | Westminster | 5- | 9 | -4 | -8 | ++ | -1.50 | 4.14 | |
3/01 | H | Stephen F. Austin | 25- | 3 | 22 | 15 | +++ | -1.50 | 7.36 | |
3/08 | H | Austin College | 19- | 1 | 18 | 22 | – | -1.50 | -3.92 | |
3/30 | A | St. Edward's | 11- | 1 | 10 | 7 | + | 1.50 | 3.25 | |
4/04 | A | Hendrix (D-III) | 8- | 9 | | | | | | |
4/05 | A | Harding | 10- | 16 | -6 | 2 | ––– | 1.50 | -7.89 | |
4/12 | A | Texas State | 6- | 7 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.59 | | 2.51 |
4/20 | H | Trinity (TX) | 21- | 4 | 17 | 17 | | -1.50 | 0.34 | |
5/02 | N | Texas - Arlington | 27- | 3 | 24 | 22 | | 0.00 | 1.84 | |
5/03 | N | St. Edward's | 9- | 5 | 4 | 8 | –– | 0.00 | -4.26 | |
5/13 | N | Fort Lewis | 12- | 8 | 4 | -5 | +++ | 0.00 | 9.25 | |
5/14 | N | Grand Valley State | 13- | 23 | -10 | -8 | – | 0.00 | -2.10 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -8.51 | -11.12 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/08 | A | Texas | 6- | 16 | 0.00 |
2/10 | H | Texas - Arlington | 20- | 3 | 6.66 |
2/16 | H | Sam Houston State | 25- | 3 | 9.85 |
2/23 | H | Texas Tech | 2- | 13 | 1.00 |
3/01 | H | Stephen F. Austin | 25- | 3 | -7.36 |
3/08 | H | Austin College | 19- | 1 | 3.92 |
3/30 | A | St. Edward's | 11- | 1 | 0.00 |
4/20 | H | Trinity (TX) | 21- | 4 | -0.34 |
5/02 | N | Texas - Arlington | 27- | 3 | -1.84 |
5/14 | N | Grand Valley State | 13- | 23 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.70 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 73.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 21 |
| Local Poll Vote | 282. | | Local Poll Rank | 15 |
| Local Power Rating | 70.26 | | Local Power Rank | 14 |
| Local SOS Rating | 63.72 | | Local SOS Rank | 57 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.60 | | Local RPI Rank | 13 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 14 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.76 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 16 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 26 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
| 
