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Tennessee Wesleyan Bulldogs (6-9)

Conference: SELC 2

State: TN

Coach: Nathan Young

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				QWF
2/09	GEORGIA STATE (2-6)	Other	68.6		L	7-	20		0.00
2/12	LEES-MCRAE (3-10)	Carolinas	73.3		L	4-	17		0.00
2/16	at Limestone (D-II) (0-0)				L	2-	26		0.00
2/22	SOUTHERN VIRGINIA (2-9)	SELC 2	56.5		W	17-	7		0.00
2/23	MISSOURI BAPTIST (6-4)	Other	75.8		W	12-	8		0.00
2/24	DAVENPORT (11-2)	Other	83.8		L	8-	19		0.00
3/05	at Savannah Art & Design (8-5)	SELC 2	68.4	11	L	8-	15		0.00
3/07	vs. Alabama # (1-8)	SELC 2	57.3		W	21-	12		0.00
3/09	vs. Georgia Southern # (0-8)	SELC 2	54.1		W	22-	8		0.00
3/15	at Furman (2-7)	SELC 2	58.4		W	1-	0		0.00
3/26	at Mars Hill (11-6)	Deep South	79.3		L	3-	32		0.00
4/05	EMORY (7-4)	SELC 2	71.9	8	L	3-	15		0.00
4/06	at Kennesaw State (5-8)	SELC 2	61.5		W	18-	3		0.00
4/11	TENNESSEE (11-8)	SELC 1	73.9		L	14-	15		0.00
4/18	vs. UNC - Charlotte # (9-4)	SELC 2	69.4	12	L	6-	14		0.00
# Neutral site			67.8						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/09	H	Georgia State	7-	20	-13	-2	–––	-1.35		-11.30
2/12	H	Lees-McRae	4-	17	-13	-6	–––	-1.71		-6.91
2/16	A	Limestone (D-II)	2-	26
2/22	H	Southern Virginia	17-	7	10	10		-1.50	-0.50
2/23	H	Missouri Baptist	12-	8	4	-9	+++	-1.35		12.89
2/24	H	Davenport	8-	19	-11	-17	++	-1.35		5.89
3/05	A	Savannah Art & Design	8-	15	-7	-4	–	1.50	-2.57
3/07	N	Alabama	21-	12	9	8		0.00	0.74
3/09	N	Georgia Southern	22-	8	14	11	+	0.00	2.60
3/26	A	Mars Hill	3-	32	-29	-15	–––	1.71		-13.51
4/05	H	Emory	3-	15	-12	-5	–––	-1.50	-7.08
4/06	A	Kennesaw State	18-	3	15	3	+++	1.50	12.48
4/11	H	Tennessee	14-	15	-1	-7	++	-1.59		5.78
4/18	N	UNC - Charlotte	6-	14	-8	-4	––	0.00	-4.10
									1.57	-7.17

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/09	H	Georgia State	7-	20	3.00
2/12	H	Lees-McRae	4-	17	3.00
2/16	A	Limestone (D-II)	2-	26
2/22	H	Southern Virginia	17-	7	0.50
2/24	H	Davenport	8-	19	-5.89
3/09	N	Georgia Southern	22-	8	-2.60
3/26	A	Mars Hill	3-	32	13.51
4/05	H	Emory	3-	15	2.00
4/06	A	Kennesaw State	18-	3	-5.00
10-goal correction: 0.61

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	109.00		Local TSI Rank	33
Local Poll Vote	n/a		Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	65.52		Local Power Rank	31
Local SOS Rating	67.76		Local SOS Rank	17
Local RPI Rating	0.45		Local RPI Rank	57
Local Trend Rating	4.00		Local Trend Rank	79
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a		Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	0.60		Local Loss Rank	29
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0

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