| Conference: NESCAC | Region: North | State: CT | Coach: Jim Finlay |
#15 Wesleyan Tops Trinity in NESCAC Opening Round
MIDDLETOWN, Conn. -- Defeating Trinity (6-9) for the second time this season and for the 11th time in a row since 2000, Wesleyan (10-4) advanced to the NESCAC tournament semifinals for the sixth consecutive season behind a 11-5 victory at home today. Wesleyan will meet fourth-seeded Bowdoin in one semi-final at Middlebury College Saturday, May 3 while top-seeded and host Middlebury takes on sixth-seeded Williams, which upset Tufts in its first-round matchup. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/08 | A | Drew | 15- | 8 | 7 | 1 | ++ | 2.04 | 5.84 | |
3/12 | H | Western Connecticut | 13- | 6 | 7 | 7 | | -2.04 | -0.43 | |
3/15 | H | Bates | 7- | 5 | 2 | 3 | | -2.04 | -0.57 | |
3/19 | A | Villa Julie | 5- | 12 | -7 | -6 | | 2.04 | -0.61 | |
3/22 | N | Colby | 7- | 9 | -2 | 2 | | 0.00 | -4.00 | |
3/26 | A | Wheaton | 6- | 8 | -2 | 4 | | 2.04 | -5.85 | |
3/29 | H | Tufts | 6- | 10 | -4 | 1 | | -2.04 | -4.69 | |
4/02 | A | Amherst | 6- | 4 | 2 | -3 | ++ | 2.04 | 5.41 | |
4/05 | H | Bowdoin | 8- | 10 | -2 | 1 | | -2.04 | -2.74 | |
4/12 | A | Middlebury | 6- | 5 | 1 | -6 | +++ | 2.04 | 7.02 | |
4/16 | H | Wesleyan | 5- | 7 | -2 | 0 | | -2.04 | -1.60 | |
4/19 | A | Williams | 6- | 14 | -8 | -5 | | 2.04 | -3.03 | |
4/23 | H | Eastern Connecticut | 17- | 6 | 11 | 6 | ++ | -2.04 | 5.30 | |
4/26 | A | Connecticut College | 5- | 7 | -2 | -2 | | 2.04 | 0.27 | |
4/27 | A | Wesleyan | 5- | 11 | -6 | -4 | | 2.04 | -1.52 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -1.19 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
4/23 | H | Eastern Connecticut | 17- | 6 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.07 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 99.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 30 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 86.55 | | Local Power Rank | 32 |
| Local SOS Rating | 85.87 | | Local SOS Rank | 8 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.54 | | Local RPI Rank | 54 |
| Local Trend Rating | 4.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 129 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.65 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 20 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 108 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.0 |
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