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Trinity Bantams (6-9)

Conference: NESCAC

Region: North

State: CT

Coach: Jim Finlay

#15 Wesleyan Tops Trinity in NESCAC Opening Round

MIDDLETOWN, Conn. -- Defeating Trinity (6-9) for the second time this season and for the 11th time in a row since 2000, Wesleyan (10-4) advanced to the NESCAC tournament semifinals for the sixth consecutive season behind a 11-5 victory at home today. Wesleyan will meet fourth-seeded Bowdoin in one semi-final at Middlebury College Saturday, May 3 while top-seeded and host Middlebury takes on sixth-seeded Williams, which upset Tufts in its first-round matchup. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*			QWF
3/08	at Drew (11-7)	Landmark	83.7		W	15-	8	0.00
3/12	WESTERN CONNECTICUT (13-7)	Little East	81.5		W	13-	6	0.00
3/15	BATES (3-10)	NESCAC	86.3		W	7-	5	0.00
3/19	at Villa Julie (13-4)	Capital	91.1	11	L	5-	12	0.00
3/22	vs. Colby # (6-8)	NESCAC	84.9		L	7-	9	0.00
3/26	at Wheaton (8-9)	Pilgrim	81.0		L	6-	8	0.00
3/29	TUFTS (9-6)	NESCAC	88.2		L	6-	10	0.00
4/02	at Amherst (8-7)	NESCAC	88.2		W	6-	4	0.00
4/05	BOWDOIN (12-7)	NESCAC	88.2	20	L	8-	10	0.00
4/12	at Middlebury (13-3)	NESCAC	90.9	8	W	6-	5	-0.65
4/16	WESLEYAN (10-5)	NESCAC	89.3	19	L	5-	7	0.00
4/19	at Williams (10-6)	NESCAC	89.8	14	L	6-	14	0.00
4/23	EASTERN CONNECTICUT (10-7)	Little East	83.2		W	17-	6	0.00
4/26	at Connecticut College (10-6)	NESCAC	87.1		L	5-	7	0.00
4/27	at Wesleyan (10-5)	NESCAC	89.3	19	L	5-	11	0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			86.1					-0.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	A	Drew	15-	8	7	1	+++	2.03	6.14
3/12	H	Western Connecticut	13-	6	7	8		-2.03	-0.63
3/15	H	Bates	7-	5	2	3		-2.03	-0.67
3/19	A	Villa Julie	5-	12	-7	-7		2.03	-0.11
3/22	N	Colby	7-	9	-2	2	–	0.00	-3.84
3/26	A	Wheaton	6-	8	-2	4	––	2.03	-5.82
3/29	H	Tufts	6-	10	-4	1	––	-2.03	-4.54
4/02	A	Amherst	6-	4	2	-3	++	2.03	5.33
4/05	H	Bowdoin	8-	10	-2	1	–	-2.03	-2.80
4/12	A	Middlebury	6-	5	1	-6	+++	2.03	6.96
4/16	H	Wesleyan	5-	7	-2	-1		-2.03	-1.29
4/19	A	Williams	6-	14	-8	-5	–	2.03	-3.08
4/23	H	Eastern Connecticut	17-	6	11	6	++	-2.03	5.42
4/26	A	Connecticut College	5-	7	-2	-2		2.03	0.16
4/27	A	Wesleyan	5-	11	-6	-5		2.03	-1.23
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/23	H	Eastern Connecticut	17-	6	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.07

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	98.00	Local TSI Rank	29
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	86.86	Local Power Rank	32
Local SOS Rating	86.05	Local SOS Rank	7
Local RPI Rating	0.54	Local RPI Rank	54
Local Trend Rating	4.00	Local Trend Rank	129
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.65	Local Quality Win Rank	20
Local Loss Rating	1.80	Local Loss Rank	108
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-9	Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-0	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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