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Trinity Bantams (6-9)

Conference: NESCACRegion: NorthState: CTCoach: Jim Finlay

#15 Wesleyan Tops Trinity in NESCAC Opening Round

MIDDLETOWN, Conn. -- Defeating Trinity (6-9) for the second time this season and for the 11th time in a row since 2000, Wesleyan (10-4) advanced to the NESCAC tournament semifinals for the sixth consecutive season behind a 11-5 victory at home today. Wesleyan will meet fourth-seeded Bowdoin in one semi-final at Middlebury College Saturday, May 3 while top-seeded and host Middlebury takes on sixth-seeded Williams, which upset Tufts in its first-round matchup.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score* QWF
3/08at Drew (11-7)Landmark83.7W15- 8 0.00  
3/12WESTERN CONNECTICUT (13-7)Little East81.5W13- 6 0.00  
3/15BATES (3-10)NESCAC86.3W7- 5 0.00  
3/19at Villa Julie (13-4)Capital91.111L5-12 0.00  
3/22vs. Colby # (6-8)NESCAC84.9L7- 9 0.00  
3/26at Wheaton (8-9)Pilgrim81.0L6- 8 0.00  
3/29TUFTS (9-6)NESCAC88.2L6-10 0.00  
4/02at Amherst (8-7)NESCAC88.2W6- 4 0.00  
4/05BOWDOIN (12-7)NESCAC88.220L8-10 0.00  
4/12at Middlebury (13-3)NESCAC90.98W6- 5 -0.65  
4/16WESLEYAN (10-5)NESCAC89.319L5- 7 0.00  
4/19at Williams (10-6)NESCAC89.814L6-14 0.00  
4/23EASTERN CONNECTICUT (10-7)Little East83.2W17- 6 0.00  
4/26at Connecticut College (10-6)NESCAC87.1L5- 7 0.00  
4/27at Wesleyan (10-5)NESCAC89.319L5-11 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 86.1     -0.65  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/08ADrew15-87   1       +++2.03       6.14
3/12HWestern Connecticut13-67   8       -2.03       -0.63
3/15HBates7-52   3       -2.03       -0.67
3/19AVilla Julie5-12-7   -7       2.03       -0.11
3/22NColby7-9-2   2       0.00       -3.84
3/26AWheaton6-8-2   4       ––2.03       -5.82
3/29HTufts6-10-4   1       ––-2.03       -4.54
4/02AAmherst6-42   -3       ++2.03       5.33
4/05HBowdoin8-10-2   1       -2.03       -2.80
4/12AMiddlebury6-51   -6       +++2.03       6.96
4/16HWesleyan5-7-2   -1       -2.03       -1.29
4/19AWilliams6-14-8   -5       2.03       -3.08
4/23HEastern Connecticut17-611   6       ++-2.03       5.42
4/26AConnecticut College5-7-2   -2       2.03       0.16
4/27AWesleyan5-11-6   -5       2.03       -1.23
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/23HEastern Connecticut17-6-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.07

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 98.00   Local TSI Rank 29
Local Poll Vote n/a   Local Poll Rank n/a
Local Power Rating 86.86   Local Power Rank 32
Local SOS Rating 86.05   Local SOS Rank 7
Local RPI Rating 0.54   Local RPI Rank 54
Local Trend Rating 4.00   Local Trend Rank 129
Local Quality Win Rating -0.65   Local Quality Win Rank 20
Local Loss Rating 1.80   Local Loss Rank 108
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 6-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.0



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