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Tufts Jumbos (9-6)

Conference: NESCAC

Region: North

State: MA

Coach: Mike Daly

#18 Tufts Knocked Out of NESCAC Tourney by Williams

MEDFORD -- Williams College junior goalie Michael Gerbush (Glen Head, NY) stopped 19 of the 25 shots on net that he faced, and the Ephs out-scored Tufts 12-3 over the final three quarters, leading the visitors to a 14-6 win over the Jumbos in the first round of the NESCAC mens lacrosse tournament on Sunday afternoon at Bello Field. [full story]

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Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score*				QWF
3/08	SKIDMORE (7-7)	Liberty	87.3		W	12-	3		0.00
3/11	EASTERN CONNECTICUT (10-7)	Little East	82.9		W	13-	12	2ot	0.00
3/15	WILLIAMS (10-6)	NESCAC	89.5	14	W	7-	4		-0.35
3/18	at Roanoke (8-6)	Old Dominion	87.9		L	8-	20		0.00
3/22	WESLEYAN (10-5)	NESCAC	89.0	19	L	4-	12		0.00
3/26	CONNECTICUT COLLEGE (10-6)	NESCAC	86.8		L	5-	9		0.00
3/29	at Trinity (6-9)	NESCAC	86.6		W	10-	6		0.00
4/02	at Western New England (15-5)	Commonwealth	89.2	15	W	11-	7		-0.30
4/05	at Colby (6-8)	NESCAC	84.6		W	13-	8		0.00
4/08	at Endicott (18-3)	Commonwealth	87.0	16	L	7-	10		0.00
4/12	BOWDOIN (12-7)	NESCAC	87.8	20	W	19-	4		-0.05
4/19	at Bates (3-10)	NESCAC	86.0		W	16-	10		0.00
4/22	AMHERST (8-7)	NESCAC	87.9		W	10-	8		0.00
4/26	at Middlebury (13-3)	NESCAC	90.5	8	L	4-	9		0.00
4/27	WILLIAMS (10-6)	NESCAC	89.5	14	L	6-	14		0.00
* Click the score for the game story.			86.8						-0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	H	Skidmore	12-	3	9	3	+++	-2.04	6.38
3/11	H	Eastern Connecticut	13-	12	1	7	–––	-2.04	-6.05
3/15	H	Williams	7-	4	3	0	+	-2.04	2.54
3/18	A	Roanoke	8-	20	-12	-2	–––	2.04	-9.97
3/22	H	Wesleyan	4-	12	-8	1	–––	-2.04	-8.94
3/26	H	Connecticut College	5-	9	-4	3	–––	-2.04	-7.16
3/29	A	Trinity	10-	6	4	-1	++	2.04	4.69
4/02	A	Western New England	11-	7	4	-3	+++	2.04	7.37
4/05	A	Colby	13-	8	5	1	+	2.04	3.70
4/08	A	Endicott	7-	10	-3	-1		2.04	-1.88
4/12	H	Bowdoin	19-	4	15	2	+++	-2.04	12.91
4/19	A	Bates	16-	10	6	0	+++	2.04	6.16
4/22	H	Amherst	10-	8	2	2		-2.04	-0.02
4/26	A	Middlebury	4-	9	-5	-5		2.04	-0.32
4/27	H	Williams	6-	14	-8	0	–––	-2.04	-8.46
									0.96	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/18	A	Roanoke	8-	20	2.00
4/12	H	Bowdoin	19-	4	-5.00
10-goal correction: -0.20

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	47.00	Local TSI Rank	14
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	87.90	Local Power Rank	19
Local SOS Rating	86.82	Local SOS Rank	4
Local RPI Rating	0.59	Local RPI Rank	22
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	63
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.70	Local Quality Win Rank	19
Local Loss Rating	1.20	Local Loss Rank	51
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6	Ave Goal diff (all )	0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-4	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7