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Tufts Jumbos (9-6)

Conference: NESCAC

Region: North

State: MA

Coach: Mike Daly

#18 Tufts Knocked Out of NESCAC Tourney by Williams

MEDFORD -- Williams College junior goalie Michael Gerbush (Glen Head, NY) stopped 19 of the 25 shots on net that he faced, and the Ephs out-scored Tufts 12-3 over the final three quarters, leading the visitors to a 14-6 win over the Jumbos in the first round of the NESCAC mens lacrosse tournament on Sunday afternoon at Bello Field. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
3/08	SKIDMORE (7-7)	Liberty	87.6		W	12-	3		0.00
3/11	EASTERN CONNECTICUT (10-7)	Little East	83.2		W	13-	12	2ot	0.00
3/15	WILLIAMS (10-6)	NESCAC	89.8	14	W	7-	4		-0.35
3/18	at Roanoke (8-6)	Old Dominion	88.2		L	8-	20		0.00
3/22	WESLEYAN (10-5)	NESCAC	89.3	19	L	4-	12		0.00
3/26	CONNECTICUT COLLEGE (10-6)	NESCAC	87.1		L	5-	9		0.00
3/29	at Trinity (6-9)	NESCAC	86.9		W	10-	6		0.00
4/02	at Western New England (15-5)	Commonwealth	89.6	15	W	11-	7		-0.30
4/05	at Colby (6-8)	NESCAC	84.9		W	13-	8		0.00
4/08	at Endicott (18-3)	Commonwealth	87.3	16	L	7-	10		0.00
4/12	BOWDOIN (12-7)	NESCAC	88.2	20	W	19-	4		-0.05
4/19	at Bates (3-10)	NESCAC	86.3		W	16-	10		0.00
4/22	AMHERST (8-7)	NESCAC	88.2		W	10-	8		0.00
4/26	at Middlebury (13-3)	NESCAC	90.9	8	L	4-	9		0.00
4/27	WILLIAMS (10-6)	NESCAC	89.8	14	L	6-	14		0.00
* Click the score for the game story.			87.0						-0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	H	Skidmore	12-	3	9	3	++	-2.03	5.87
3/11	H	Eastern Connecticut	13-	12	1	7	–––	-2.03	-6.06
3/15	H	Williams	7-	4	3	1	+	-2.03	2.37
3/18	A	Roanoke	8-	20	-12	-3	–––	2.03	-9.35
3/22	H	Wesleyan	4-	12	-8	1	–––	-2.03	-8.78
3/26	H	Connecticut College	5-	9	-4	3	–––	-2.03	-7.39
3/29	A	Trinity	10-	6	4	-1	++	2.03	4.54
4/02	A	Western New England	11-	7	4	-3	+++	2.03	6.80
4/05	A	Colby	13-	8	5	1	+	2.03	3.70
4/08	A	Endicott	7-	10	-3	-2		2.03	-0.94
4/12	H	Bowdoin	19-	4	15	2	+++	-2.03	12.71
4/19	A	Bates	16-	10	6	0	++	2.03	5.90
4/22	H	Amherst	10-	8	2	2		-2.03	-0.22
4/26	A	Middlebury	4-	9	-5	-4		2.03	-0.53
4/27	H	Williams	6-	14	-8	1	–––	-2.03	-8.63
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/18	A	Roanoke	8-	20	2.00
4/12	H	Bowdoin	19-	4	-5.00
10-goal correction: -0.20

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	45.00	Local TSI Rank	13
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	88.21	Local Power Rank	18
Local SOS Rating	87.01	Local SOS Rank	3
Local RPI Rating	0.59	Local RPI Rank	22
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	63
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.70	Local Quality Win Rank	19
Local Loss Rating	1.20	Local Loss Rank	51
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6	Ave Goal diff (all )	0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-4	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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