| Conference: SELC 1 | Region: Southern | State: FL | Coach: Ryan Winters |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/01 | A | U. of Miami | 17- | 5 | 12 | 6 | +++ | 1.68 | 6.23 | |
2/08 | H | Georgia | 13- | 9 | 4 | 0 | ++ | -1.68 | 4.01 | |
2/10 | H | Boston College | 7- | 8 | -1 | 1 | – | -1.68 | -2.21 | |
2/15 | A | Tennessee | 17- | 11 | 6 | 6 | | 1.68 | 0.37 | |
2/28 | H | South Florida | 21- | 7 | 14 | 15 | | -1.68 | -0.83 | |
3/04 | H | Loyola Marymount | 11- | 12 | -1 | 4 | –– | -1.68 | -4.54 | |
3/08 | A | UCLA | 11- | 4 | 7 | 7 | | 1.68 | 0.18 | |
3/12 | A | Chapman | 6- | 17 | -11 | -8 | – | 1.68 | -3.14 | |
3/13 | A | USC | 14- | 7 | 7 | 6 | | 1.68 | 0.79 | |
3/22 | H | California | 12- | 9 | 3 | 3 | | -1.68 | -0.28 | |
3/24 | H | Santa Clara | 10- | 9 | 1 | 3 | – | -1.68 | -2.22 | |
3/26 | H | UC Santa Barbara | 10- | 8 | 2 | 0 | | -1.68 | 1.71 | |
4/04 | H | Central Florida | 13- | 12 | 1 | 3 | – | -1.68 | -2.22 | |
4/11 | A | Florida State | 7- | 8 | -1 | -2 | | 1.68 | 1.43 | |
4/18 | N | Auburn | 8- | 11 | -3 | 1 | –– | 0.00 | -4.03 | |
5/13 | N | Chapman | 10- | 13 | -3 | -6 | + | 0.00 | 3.18 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -1.58 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/01 | A | U. of Miami | 17- | 5 | -2.00 |
2/28 | H | South Florida | 21- | 7 | 0.83 |
3/12 | A | Chapman | 6- | 17 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.01 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 36.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 12 |
| Local Poll Vote | 429. | | Local Poll Rank | 15 |
| Local Power Rating | 81.20 | | Local Power Rank | 15 |
| Local SOS Rating | 78.17 | | Local SOS Rank | 15 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.58 | | Local RPI Rank | 15 |
| Local Trend Rating | 3.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 61 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.40 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 19 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 45 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.3 |
|
