| Conference: GRLC 1 | Region: 1A | State: IL | Coach: Doug Shanahan |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/23 | N | Indiana | 5- | 6 | -1 | 5 | ––– | 0.00 | -6.10 | |
3/02 | N | Marquette | 17- | 6 | 11 | 17 | –– | 0.00 | -5.64 | |
3/07 | N | Texas A&M | 8- | 11 | -3 | -1 | – | 0.00 | -2.29 | |
3/09 | N | Simon Fraser | 9- | 13 | -4 | -5 | | 0.00 | 0.85 | |
3/19 | A | Arizona State | 10- | 19 | -9 | -7 | – | 1.68 | -2.36 | |
3/21 | A | Arizona | 7- | 8 | -1 | 0 | | 1.68 | -0.69 | |
3/28 | A | Michigan | 2- | 19 | -17 | -12 | –– | 1.68 | -4.77 | |
3/29 | A | Michigan State | 7- | 6 | 1 | -1 | | 1.68 | 1.56 | |
4/04 | N | Texas Tech | 20- | 10 | 10 | 7 | + | 0.00 | 3.22 | |
4/05 | A | Missouri | 16- | 6 | 10 | 6 | ++ | 1.68 | 4.03 | |
4/06 | A | Kansas | 17- | 2 | 15 | 12 | + | 1.68 | 3.21 | |
4/10 | A | Illinois State | 17- | 8 | 9 | 9 | | 1.68 | 0.46 | |
4/12 | H | Central Michigan | 13- | 8 | 5 | 8 | – | -1.68 | -3.05 | |
4/19 | H | Lindenwood | 14- | 8 | 6 | 2 | ++ | -1.68 | 4.47 | |
4/20 | H | Nebraska | 25- | 5 | 20 | 23 | – | -1.68 | -3.06 | |
4/26 | H | Missouri State | 28- | 6 | 22 | 14 | +++ | -1.68 | 7.55 | |
5/03 | N | Illinois State | 15- | 3 | 12 | 10 | | 0.00 | 1.79 | |
5/04 | A | Lindenwood | 13- | 14 | -1 | -2 | | 1.68 | 0.82 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/02 | N | Marquette | 17- | 6 | 5.64 |
3/28 | A | Michigan | 2- | 19 | 4.77 |
4/04 | N | Texas Tech | 20- | 10 | 0.00 |
4/05 | A | Missouri | 16- | 6 | 0.00 |
4/06 | A | Kansas | 17- | 2 | -3.21 |
4/20 | H | Nebraska | 25- | 5 | 3.06 |
4/26 | H | Missouri State | 28- | 6 | -7.55 |
5/03 | N | Illinois State | 15- | 3 | -1.79 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.05 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 78.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 24 |
| Local Poll Vote | 201. | | Local Poll Rank | 21 |
| Local Power Rating | 80.38 | | Local Power Rank | 18 |
| Local SOS Rating | 74.26 | | Local SOS Rank | 42 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.56 | | Local RPI Rank | 22 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 10 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.44 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 39 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 60 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -10.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 11.0 |
| 
