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Union Dutchmen (12-5)

Conference: Liberty

Region: North

State: NY

Coach: Paul Wehrum

Nazareth Dominates No. 17 Union in ECAC Upstate

SCHENECTADY, N.Y. � Nazareth senior Aaron Civalier (Rochester, N.Y.) scored four goals and added an assist as the fourth-seeded Golden Flyers upset top-seeded Union College, 15-5, in the ECAC Division III Upstate Men's Lacrosse Championships semifinal game at Frank Bailey Field Thursday afternoon. Nazareth (9-6) led 8-2 at halftime and was backed by 17 saves from sophomore goaltender Todd Dermody (Selden, N.Y.). Union concludes its historic season with a 12-5 record, the most wins in program history. Nazareth will face second-seeded RIT in the ECAC Division III Upstate Men's Lacrosse Championship title game on Sunday at noon at RIT Field. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
3/02	UTICA COLLEGE (4-11)	Empire 8	81.0		W	8-	4		0.00
3/05	CAZENOVIA (2-10)	Independent	68.6		W	20-	2		0.00
3/08	RIT (11-8)	Empire 8	88.0		W	8-	3		0.00
3/21	at Susquehanna (3-12)	Landmark	75.9		W	13-	5		0.00
3/25	vs. McDaniel # (5-10)	Centennial	85.1		L	7-	10		0.00
3/29	at Rensselaer (9-6)	Liberty	86.6		W	10-	9		0.00
4/02	OSWEGO (3-12)	SUNYAC	79.5		W	12-	5		0.00
4/05	CLARKSON (9-4)	Liberty	87.5	18	L	8-	9	ot	0.00
4/09	at Ithaca (17-2)	Empire 8	90.6	7	W	10-	9	ot	-0.70
4/12	SKIDMORE (7-7)	Liberty	87.6		W	9-	5		0.00
4/16	VASSAR (4-11)	Liberty	76.8		W	14-	5		0.00
4/19	at St. Lawrence (11-3)	Liberty	89.4	10	L	3-	17		0.00
4/23	at Hamilton (6-8)	Liberty	83.6		W	12-	8		0.00
4/26	MERCHANT MARINE (8-9)	Landmark	83.0		W	15-	4		0.00
5/02	at Clarkson (9-4)	Liberty	87.5	18	W	8-	7		-0.15
5/04	at St. Lawrence (11-3)	Liberty	89.4	10	L	9-	10		0.00
5/08	NAZARETH (10-6)	Empire 8	88.2		L	5-	15		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			83.2						-0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/02	H	Utica College	8-	4	4	8	–	-2.03	-3.75
3/05	H	Cazenovia	20-	2	18	20		-2.03	-1.65
3/08	H	RIT	8-	3	5	0	++	-2.03	5.02
3/21	A	Susquehanna	13-	5	8	9		2.03	-1.02
3/25	N	McDaniel	7-	10	-3	1	–	0.00	-3.72
3/29	A	Rensselaer	10-	9	1	-2	+	2.03	3.17
4/02	H	Oswego	12-	5	7	9		-2.03	-1.83
4/05	H	Clarkson	8-	9	-1	1	–	-2.03	-2.00
4/09	A	Ithaca	10-	9	1	-6	+++	2.03	7.37
4/12	H	Skidmore	9-	5	4	1	+	-2.03	2.84
4/16	H	Vassar	14-	5	9	12	–	-2.03	-3.13
4/19	A	St. Lawrence	3-	17	-14	-6	–––	2.03	-8.16
4/23	A	Hamilton	12-	8	4	1	+	2.03	3.20
4/26	H	Merchant Marine	15-	4	11	6	++	-2.03	5.40
5/02	A	Clarkson	8-	7	1	-3	++	2.03	4.06
5/04	A	St. Lawrence	9-	10	-1	-6	++	2.03	4.84
5/08	H	Nazareth	5-	15	-10	1	–––	-2.03	10.62
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/05	H	Cazenovia	20-	2	1.65
4/19	A	St. Lawrence	3-	17	4.00
4/26	H	Merchant Marine	15-	4	-1.00
5/08	H	Nazareth	5-	15	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.27

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	99.00	Local TSI Rank	31
Local Poll Vote	53.	Local Poll Rank	17
Local Power Rating	86.72	Local Power Rank	33
Local SOS Rating	83.16	Local SOS Rank	38
Local RPI Rating	0.57	Local RPI Rank	30
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	64
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.85	Local Quality Win Rank	16
Local Loss Rating	1.00	Local Loss Rank	33
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-5	Ave Goal diff (all )	2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3


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