| Conference: Liberty | Region: North | State: NY | Coach: Paul Wehrum |
Nazareth Dominates No. 17 Union in ECAC Upstate
SCHENECTADY, N.Y. – Nazareth senior Aaron Civalier (Rochester, N.Y.) scored four goals and added an assist as the fourth-seeded Golden Flyers upset top-seeded Union College, 15-5, in the ECAC Division III Upstate Men's Lacrosse Championships semifinal game at Frank Bailey Field Thursday afternoon. Nazareth (9-6) led 8-2 at halftime and was backed by 17 saves from sophomore goaltender Todd Dermody (Selden, N.Y.). Union concludes its historic season with a 12-5 record, the most wins in program history. Nazareth will face second-seeded RIT in the ECAC Division III Upstate Men's Lacrosse Championship title game on Sunday at noon at RIT Field. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/02 | H | Utica College | 8- | 4 | 4 | 8 | | -2.04 | -3.79 | |
3/05 | H | Cazenovia | 20- | 2 | 18 | 20 | | -2.04 | -2.17 | |
3/08 | H | RIT | 8- | 3 | 5 | 1 | ++ | -2.04 | 4.15 | |
3/21 | A | Susquehanna | 13- | 5 | 8 | 9 | | 2.04 | -0.67 | |
3/25 | N | McDaniel | 7- | 10 | -3 | 2 | | 0.00 | -4.50 | |
3/29 | A | Rensselaer | 10- | 9 | 1 | -2 | + | 2.04 | 2.93 | |
4/02 | H | Oswego | 12- | 5 | 7 | 9 | | -2.04 | -2.27 | |
4/05 | H | Clarkson | 8- | 9 | -1 | 1 | | -2.04 | -2.29 | |
4/09 | A | Ithaca | 10- | 9 | 1 | -6 | +++ | 2.04 | 6.77 | |
4/12 | H | Skidmore | 9- | 5 | 4 | 1 | + | -2.04 | 2.89 | |
4/16 | H | Vassar | 14- | 5 | 9 | 12 | | -2.04 | -2.98 | |
4/19 | A | St. Lawrence | 3- | 17 | -14 | -5 | | 2.04 | -9.27 | |
4/23 | A | Hamilton | 12- | 8 | 4 | 1 | + | 2.04 | 2.94 | |
4/26 | H | Merchant Marine | 15- | 4 | 11 | 6 | ++ | -2.04 | 5.34 | |
5/02 | A | Clarkson | 8- | 7 | 1 | -3 | + | 2.04 | 3.79 | |
5/04 | A | St. Lawrence | 9- | 10 | -1 | -5 | + | 2.04 | 3.73 | |
5/08 | H | Nazareth | 5- | 15 | -10 | 1 | | -2.04 | -10.63 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -6.02 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/05 | H | Cazenovia | 20- | 2 | 2.17 |
4/19 | A | St. Lawrence | 3- | 17 | 4.00 |
4/26 | H | Merchant Marine | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
5/08 | H | Nazareth | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.30 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 101.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 31 |
| Local Poll Vote | 53. | | Local Poll Rank | 17 |
| Local Power Rating | 86.38 | | Local Power Rank | 33 |
| Local SOS Rating | 82.95 | | Local SOS Rank | 40 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.57 | | Local RPI Rank | 30 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 64 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.85 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 16 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.00 | | Local Loss Rank | 33 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.3 |
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