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Ursinus Bears (7-9)

Conference: Centennial

Region: South

State: PA

Coach: C. Glenn Carter

Muhlenberg Capitalizes on EMOs to Upend Ursinus

COLLEGEVILLE, Pa. � Visiting Muhlenberg went 4-for-6 on extra-man opportunities on Saturday as the Mules (10-4, 5-3 Centennial) advanced to the Centennial Conference playoffs with a 9-8 win over Ursinus (7-9, 4-4 Centennial) in men's lacrosse action. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
2/25	at Moravian (4-12)	Landmark	73.1		W	17-	2
3/05	DREW (11-7)	Landmark	83.7		W	13-	6
3/08	at Villa Julie (13-4)	Capital	91.1	11	L	6-	17
3/12	DENISON (14-3)	North Coast	91.9	12	L	4-	7
3/15	SKIDMORE (7-7)	Liberty	87.6		L	4-	11
3/19	SWARTHMORE (9-8)	Centennial	84.0		W	13-	3
3/22	at Franklin & Marshall (8-5)	Centennial	86.6		W	11-	8
3/26	at Washington College (14-4)	Centennial	90.4	5	L	6-	8
3/29	MCDANIEL (5-10)	Centennial	85.1		W	7-	4
4/02	at Messiah (11-6)	Middle Atlant	84.1		L	8-	11
4/05	at Rensselaer (9-6)	Liberty	86.6		L	5-	9
4/09	HAVERFORD (11-5)	Centennial	88.8	9	L	5-	6
4/12	at Gettysburg (17-2)	Centennial	92.8	3	L	7-	10
4/16	SUSQUEHANNA (3-12)	Landmark	75.9		W	14-	1
4/19	at Dickinson (7-7)	Centennial	86.2		W	12-	10
4/26	MUHLENBERG (10-5)	Centennial	87.0		L	8-	9
* Click the score for the game story.			85.0

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/25	A	Moravian	17-	2	15	12	+	2.03	2.67
3/05	H	Drew	13-	6	7	5		-2.03	1.94
3/08	A	Villa Julie	6-	17	-11	-7	––	2.03	-4.25
3/12	H	Denison	4-	7	-3	-3		-2.03	-0.33
3/15	H	Skidmore	4-	11	-7	2	–––	-2.03	-8.78
3/19	H	Swarthmore	13-	3	10	5	++	-2.03	4.88
3/22	A	Franklin & Marshall	11-	8	3	-2	++	2.03	4.53
3/26	A	Washington College	6-	8	-2	-6	+	2.03	3.62
3/29	H	McDaniel	7-	4	3	3		-2.03	-0.37
4/02	A	Messiah	8-	11	-3	1	––	2.03	-4.48
4/05	A	Rensselaer	5-	9	-4	-2	–	2.03	-2.45
4/09	H	Haverford	5-	6	-1	0		-2.03	-1.06
4/12	A	Gettysburg	7-	10	-3	-8	++	2.03	5.42
4/16	H	Susquehanna	14-	1	13	14		-2.03	-0.70
4/19	A	Dickinson	12-	10	2	-1	+	2.03	2.87
4/26	H	Muhlenberg	8-	9	-1	3	–	-2.03	-3.52
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/25	A	Moravian	17-	2	-2.67
3/08	A	Villa Julie	6-	17	1.00
3/19	H	Swarthmore	13-	3	0.00
4/16	H	Susquehanna	14-	1	0.70
10-goal correction: -0.06

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	100.00	Local TSI Rank	32
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	87.01	Local Power Rank	30
Local SOS Rating	85.00	Local SOS Rank	19
Local RPI Rating	0.55	Local RPI Rank	47
Local Trend Rating	3.00	Local Trend Rank	98
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.80	Local Loss Rank	110
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9	Ave Goal diff (all )	1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.7


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