| Conference: LSA 1 | Region: South | State: TX | Coach: Noah Fink |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/08 | H | Southwestern | 16- | 6 | 10 | 9 | | -1.60 | | 1.17 |
2/15 | H | SMU | 13- | 9 | 4 | 6 | – | -1.68 | -2.18 | |
2/22 | N | Texas Tech | 10- | 7 | 3 | 4 | | 0.00 | -1.25 | |
2/23 | H | Illinois State | 14- | 2 | 12 | 9 | + | -1.68 | 2.63 | |
3/01 | A | Texas State | 13- | 7 | 6 | 4 | + | 1.68 | 2.43 | |
3/08 | A | Colorado | 6- | 10 | -4 | -4 | | 1.68 | 0.44 | |
3/11 | A | Colorado State | 3- | 13 | -10 | -8 | – | 1.68 | -2.22 | |
3/19 | H | Chico State | 8- | 9 | -1 | 0 | | -1.68 | -1.08 | |
3/21 | H | Minnesota | 11- | 8 | 3 | 5 | | -1.68 | -1.99 | |
3/22 | A | Rice | 18- | 8 | 10 | 8 | | 1.68 | 1.51 | |
4/04 | H | Texas A&M | 9- | 12 | -3 | -2 | | -1.68 | -1.44 | |
4/05 | H | San Diego State | 10- | 7 | 3 | 1 | + | -1.68 | 2.05 | |
4/13 | H | Louisiana State | 15- | 2 | 13 | 21 | ––– | -1.68 | -8.39 | |
4/25 | N | Texas State | 13- | 2 | 11 | 5 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.75 | |
5/02 | N | SMU | 15- | 6 | 9 | 5 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.50 | |
5/03 | N | Texas A&M | 6- | 10 | -4 | -3 | | 0.00 | -0.77 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 1.17 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/08 | H | Southwestern | 16- | 6 | 0.00 |
2/23 | H | Illinois State | 14- | 2 | -2.00 |
3/11 | A | Colorado State | 3- | 13 | 0.00 |
3/22 | A | Rice | 18- | 8 | 0.00 |
4/13 | H | Louisiana State | 15- | 2 | 8.39 |
4/25 | N | Texas State | 13- | 2 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.34 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 112.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 33 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 78.14 | | Local Power Rank | 34 |
| Local SOS Rating | 72.62 | | Local SOS Rank | 57 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.57 | | Local RPI Rank | 19 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 19 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.00 | | Local Loss Rank | 37 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 5.3 |
|
