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Villanova Wildcats (5-10)

Conference: Colonial

Region: Northeast

State: PA

Coach: Michael Corrado

No. 11 Drexel Defeats Villanova in CAA Semifinals

Philadelphia � In a fashion reminiscent of the teams' last meeting just four days before, Drexel pulled out to a sizeable lead and held on for the victory over Villanova in the semifinals of the CAA Championship. Drexel led 7-1 at halftime after outshooting Villanova 21-12 in the first 30 minutes of play. Colin Ambler led the Dragons' attack with three goals and two assists. The Dragons (13-3) capitalized on all three of their extra-man opportunities in the game and the team's stifling defense allowed the Wildcats (5-10) just one goal when the teams were at even strength. Bruce Bickford made seven saves between the posts for Drexel. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
2/17	at Syracuse (13-2)	Independent	97.8	3	L	6-	21
2/24	LAFAYETTE (4-9)	Patriot	86.5		W	9-	6
3/01	at Penn (6-7)	Ivy League	89.9		L	6-	7
3/04	NOTRE DAME (14-2)	Great Western	96.4	5	L	6-	16
3/11	at Penn State (7-7)	ECAC	90.9		L	3-	12
3/15	at Lehigh (6-9)	Patriot	88.0		L	8-	9
3/18	OHIO STATE (11-5)	Great Western	96.0	11	L	8-	15
3/22	at Delaware (9-7)	Colonial	91.3		L	4-	8
3/29	SACRED HEART (7-5)	Colonial	88.1		W	7-	6
4/05	at Manhattan (6-9)	Metro Atlanti	84.2		W	7-	2
4/09	HOFSTRA (10-6)	Colonial	92.0	16	L	6-	7	2ot
4/12	at Robert Morris (4-11)	Colonial	86.3		W	11-	10	2ot
4/18	at Towson (5-9)	Colonial	90.1		W	7-	4
4/26	DREXEL (13-4)	Colonial	92.1	15	L	7-	10
4/30	at Drexel (13-4)	Colonial	92.1	15	L	5-	11
* Click the score for the game story.			91.2

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/17	A	Syracuse	6-	21	-15	-12	–	1.70	-2.93
2/24	H	Lafayette	9-	6	3	3		-1.70	-0.06
3/01	A	Penn	6-	7	-1	-3	+	1.70	2.29
3/04	H	Notre Dame	6-	16	-10	-7	–	-1.70	-3.41
3/11	A	Penn State	3-	12	-9	-5	––	1.70	-4.31
3/15	A	Lehigh	8-	9	-1	-2		1.70	0.51
3/18	H	Ohio State	8-	15	-7	-6		-1.70	-0.72
3/22	A	Delaware	4-	8	-4	-5		1.70	1.02
3/29	H	Sacred Heart	7-	6	1	3		-1.70	-1.78
4/05	A	Manhattan	7-	2	5	3	+	1.70	2.49
4/09	H	Hofstra	6-	7	-1	-2		-1.70	1.44
4/12	A	Robert Morris	11-	10	1	1		1.70	0.03
4/18	A	Towson	7-	4	3	-4	+++	1.70	6.63
4/26	H	Drexel	7-	10	-3	-2		-1.70	-0.80
4/30	A	Drexel	5-	11	-6	-6		1.70	-0.40
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/17	A	Syracuse	6-	21	2.93
3/04	H	Notre Dame	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.20

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	103.00	Local TSI Rank	34
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	88.50	Local Power Rank	38
Local SOS Rating	91.22	Local SOS Rank	28
Local RPI Rating	0.48	Local RPI Rank	32
Local Trend Rating	3.00	Local Trend Rank	43
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	2.00	Local Loss Rank	47
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-10	Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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