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Villa Julie Mustangs (13-4)

Conference: Capital

Region: South

State: MD

Coach: Paul Cantabene

No. 10 Mustangs Drown Ducks and Honor Seniors

Owings Mills, MD - Villa Julie (13-4) hosted their last home game of the season against Stevens Institute of Technology (8-6). Villa overpowered the SIT Ducks 15-12 as they honored their five seniors. The Mustangs took 50 shots, earned 37 groundballs, and won 19 of 28 face-offs to SIT's 33 shots and 27 groundballs. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
2/23	ST. MARY'S (7-8)	Capital	84.1		W	13-	10
3/01	MESSIAH (11-6)	Middle Atlant	84.1		W	19-	13
3/05	at Gettysburg (17-2)	Centennial	92.8	3	L	9-	10
3/08	URSINUS (7-9)	Centennial	87.0		W	17-	6
3/12	WHEATON (8-9)	Pilgrim	81.0		W	17-	5
3/15	at Mary Washington (7-7)	Capital	83.9		W	15-	9
3/19	TRINITY (6-9)	NESCAC	86.9		W	12-	5
3/22	at Lynchburg (16-3)	Old Dominion	93.3	4	L	8-	14
3/29	at Wesley (9-6)	Capital	82.3		W	15-	4
4/02	YORK (10-7)	Capital	83.3		W	19-	5
4/05	SALISBURY (20-0)	Capital	94.9	1	L	12-	13
4/09	at Marymount (6-10)	Capital	80.2		W	14-	3
4/11	at Hood (0-17)	Capital	70.7		W	30-	6
4/14	MARYMOUNT (6-10)	Capital	80.2		W	19-	3
4/17	MARY WASHINGTON (7-7)	Capital	83.9		W	15-	5
4/20	at Salisbury (20-0)	Capital	94.9	1	L	10-	20
5/03	STEVENS (8-6)	Empire 8	87.7		W	15-	12
* Click the score for the game story.			84.4

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/23	H	St. Mary's	13-	10	3	10	–––	-2.03	-6.70
3/01	H	Messiah	19-	13	6	10	––	-2.03	-4.26
3/05	A	Gettysburg	9-	10	-1	-4	+	2.03	2.70
3/08	H	Ursinus	17-	6	11	7	++	-2.03	4.25
3/12	H	Wheaton	17-	5	12	13		-2.03	-0.75
3/15	A	Mary Washington	15-	9	6	6		2.03	-0.29
3/19	H	Trinity	12-	5	7	7		-2.03	0.11
3/22	A	Lynchburg	8-	14	-6	-3	–	2.03	-2.73
3/29	A	Wesley	15-	4	11	8	+	2.03	3.47
4/02	H	York	19-	5	14	11	+	-2.03	3.21
4/05	H	Salisbury	12-	13	-1	-2		-2.03	1.02
4/09	A	Marymount	14-	3	11	10		2.03	1.04
4/11	A	Hood	30-	6	24	20	++	2.03	4.09
4/14	H	Marymount	19-	3	16	14		-2.03	1.99
4/17	H	Mary Washington	15-	5	10	10		-2.03	-0.35
4/20	A	Salisbury	10-	20	-10	-6	–	2.03	-3.92
5/03	H	Stevens	15-	12	3	6	–	-2.03	-2.89
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/08	H	Ursinus	17-	6	-1.00
3/12	H	Wheaton	17-	5	0.75
3/29	A	Wesley	15-	4	-1.00
4/02	H	York	19-	5	-3.21
4/09	A	Marymount	14-	3	-1.04
4/11	A	Hood	30-	6	-4.09
4/14	H	Marymount	19-	3	-1.99
4/17	H	Mary Washington	15-	5	0.35
4/20	A	Salisbury	10-	20	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.66

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	31.00	Local TSI Rank	9
Local Poll Vote	160.	Local Poll Rank	11
Local Power Rating	91.13	Local Power Rank	6
Local SOS Rating	84.39	Local SOS Rank	25
Local RPI Rating	0.63	Local RPI Rank	9
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	27
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	0.80	Local Loss Rank	18
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-4	Ave Goal diff (all )	6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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