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Wesleyan Cardinals (10-5)

Conference: NESCAC

Region: North

State: CT

Coach: John Raba

Bowdoin Holds off Late Charge from No. 15 Wesleyan

MIDDLEBURY, Vt. � Bowdoin held off Wesleyan's furious fourth quarter comeback, beating the Cardinals 11-9 in the second semifinal game held at Middlebury College on Saturday afternoon. The Polar Bears will take on Williams, an 11-10 upset winner over Middlebury, in the NESCAC Championship game at noon on Sunday. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
3/08	BABSON (6-10)	Pilgrim	80.3		W	19-	2		0.00
3/10	at Endicott (18-3)	Commonwealth	87.3	16	L	5-	6	ot	0.00
3/18	vs. Nazareth # (10-6)	Empire 8	88.2		L	5-	8		0.00
3/22	at Tufts (9-6)	NESCAC	88.2		W	12-	4		0.00
3/25	MERCHANT MARINE (8-9)	Landmark	83.0		W	8-	2		0.00
3/29	BOWDOIN (12-7)	NESCAC	88.2	20	W	13-	5		-0.05
4/02	CONNECTICUT COLLEGE (10-6)	NESCAC	87.1		W	10-	5		0.00
4/05	at Williams (10-6)	NESCAC	89.8	14	L	7-	10		0.00
4/09	AMHERST (8-7)	NESCAC	88.2		W	9-	8		0.00
4/12	COLBY (6-8)	NESCAC	84.9		W	13-	12		0.00
4/16	at Trinity (6-9)	NESCAC	86.9		W	7-	5		0.00
4/19	MIDDLEBURY (13-3)	NESCAC	90.9	8	L	8-	11		0.00
4/26	at Bates (3-10)	NESCAC	86.3		W	14-	10		0.00
4/27	TRINITY (6-9)	NESCAC	86.9		W	11-	5		0.00
5/03	vs. Bowdoin # (12-7)	NESCAC	88.2	20	L	9-	11		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			86.1						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	H	Babson	19-	2	17	12	++	-2.03	5.32
3/10	A	Endicott	5-	6	-1	-1		2.03	-0.19
3/18	N	Nazareth	5-	8	-3	2	––	0.00	-4.82
3/22	A	Tufts	12-	4	8	-1	+++	2.03	8.78
3/25	H	Merchant Marine	8-	2	6	9	–	-2.03	-2.82
3/29	H	Bowdoin	13-	5	8	4	++	-2.03	4.46
4/02	H	Connecticut College	10-	5	5	5		-2.03	0.36
4/05	A	Williams	7-	10	-3	-2		2.03	-0.82
4/09	H	Amherst	9-	8	1	3	–	-2.03	-2.47
4/12	H	Colby	13-	12	1	7	––	-2.03	-5.61
4/16	A	Trinity	7-	5	2	1		2.03	1.29
4/19	H	Middlebury	8-	11	-3	1	–	-2.03	-3.84
4/26	A	Bates	14-	10	4	1	+	2.03	2.65
4/27	H	Trinity	11-	5	6	5		-2.03	1.23
5/03	N	Bowdoin	9-	11	-2	2	–	0.00	-3.51
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/08	H	Babson	19-	2	-5.32
10-goal correction: -0.35

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	41.00	Local TSI Rank	11
Local Poll Vote	40.	Local Poll Rank	19
Local Power Rating	89.31	Local Power Rank	14
Local SOS Rating	86.07	Local SOS Rank	6
Local RPI Rating	0.60	Local RPI Rank	21
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	66
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.05	Local Quality Win Rank	39
Local Loss Rating	1.00	Local Loss Rank	34
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-5	Ave Goal diff (all )	3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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