| Conference: NESCAC | Region: North | State: CT | Coach: John Raba |
Bowdoin Holds off Late Charge from No. 15 Wesleyan
MIDDLEBURY, Vt. – Bowdoin held off Wesleyan's furious fourth quarter comeback, beating the Cardinals 11-9 in the second semifinal game held at Middlebury College on Saturday afternoon. The Polar Bears will take on Williams, an 11-10 upset winner over Middlebury, in the NESCAC Championship game at noon on Sunday. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/08 | H | Babson | 19- | 2 | 17 | 11 | +++ | -2.04 | 6.01 | |
3/10 | A | Endicott | 5- | 6 | -1 | 0 | | 2.04 | -0.98 | |
3/18 | N | Nazareth | 5- | 8 | -3 | 1 | | 0.00 | -4.20 | |
3/22 | A | Tufts | 12- | 4 | 8 | -1 | +++ | 2.04 | 8.94 | |
3/25 | H | Merchant Marine | 8- | 2 | 6 | 8 | | -2.04 | -2.27 | |
3/29 | H | Bowdoin | 13- | 5 | 8 | 3 | ++ | -2.04 | 4.82 | |
4/02 | H | Connecticut College | 10- | 5 | 5 | 4 | | -2.04 | 0.74 | |
4/05 | A | Williams | 7- | 10 | -3 | -3 | | 2.04 | -0.47 | |
4/09 | H | Amherst | 9- | 8 | 1 | 3 | | -2.04 | -2.12 | |
4/12 | H | Colby | 13- | 12 | 1 | 6 | | -2.04 | -5.48 | |
4/16 | A | Trinity | 7- | 5 | 2 | 0 | | 2.04 | 1.60 | |
4/19 | H | Middlebury | 8- | 11 | -3 | 0 | | -2.04 | -3.50 | |
4/26 | A | Bates | 14- | 10 | 4 | 1 | + | 2.04 | 3.07 | |
4/27 | H | Trinity | 11- | 5 | 6 | 4 | | -2.04 | 1.52 | |
5/03 | N | Bowdoin | 9- | 11 | -2 | 1 | | 0.00 | -3.14 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 4.55 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/08 | H | Babson | 19- | 2 | -6.01 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.40 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 39.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 11 |
| Local Poll Vote | 40. | | Local Poll Rank | 19 |
| Local Power Rating | 88.99 | | Local Power Rank | 14 |
| Local SOS Rating | 85.88 | | Local SOS Rank | 6 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.60 | | Local RPI Rank | 19 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 66 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.05 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 39 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.00 | | Local Loss Rank | 34 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.7 |
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