Mon Nov 3 15:12:52 EST 2008
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat- ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the games, the power rating error was within 1 goal. Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference <1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5 MD1 2.86 423 99 84 78 57 39 68 MD2 3.22 267 52 43 59 37 25 52 MD3 3.06 1146 264 204 178 149 123 232 JUCO 3.15 181 46 29 36 14 13 43 USLIA A 3.17 769 161 136 130 114 67 162 USLIA B 3.84 543 106 87 68 72 60 150 OUFLA 3.13 431 108 84 67 61 45 67 NCLL 2.20 138 41 30 25 21 14 7 5.79 157 33 9 12 12 14 77 2.80 241 57 56 42 24 27 35 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 3.09 4016 936 737 653 520 396 782 total games............... = 4016 ave error (goals)......... = 3.09 total upsets.............. = 531 % of games within 1 goal.. = 23.31 % of games within 2 goals. = 41.66 % of games within 3 goals. = 57.92 % of games within 4 goals. = 70.87 % of games within 5 goals. = 80.73 % of games > 5 goals. = 19.47
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