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Tue Jul 1 11:20:03 EDT 2008
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average
Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings
predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for
all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on
average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat-
ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown
under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this
means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the
games, the power rating error was within 1 goal.
Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR
Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference
<1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5
MD1 2.86 423 99 84 78 57 39 68
MD2 3.22 267 52 43 59 37 25 52
MD3 3.06 1146 264 204 178 149 123 232
JUCO 3.15 181 46 29 36 14 13 43
USLIA A 3.17 769 161 136 130 114 67 162
USLIA B 3.84 543 106 87 68 72 60 150
OUFLA 3.13 431 108 84 67 61 45 67
NCLL 2.20 138 41 30 25 21 14 7
5.79 157 33 9 12 12 14 77
2.80 242 59 55 43 24 25 36
0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL 3.09 4017 938 736 654 520 394 783
total games............... = 4017
ave error (goals)......... = 3.09
total upsets.............. = 531
% of games within 1 goal.. = 23.35
% of games within 2 goals. = 41.67
% of games within 3 goals. = 57.95
% of games within 4 goals. = 70.90
% of games within 5 goals. = 80.71
% of games > 5 goals. = 19.49
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