| State: NY | Coach: Dave Bollinger |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
4/05 | A | Erie | 10- | 3 | 7 | 10 | | 1.06 | -2.59 | |
4/06 | A | Mercyhurst-North East | 17- | 16 | 1 | 3 | | 1.06 | -2.05 | |
4/09 | A | Monroe | 2- | 10 | -8 | -14 | ++ | 1.06 | 5.67 | |
4/12 | H | Jefferson | 19- | 12 | 7 | 0 | +++ | -1.06 | 6.52 | |
4/13 | H | Erie | 16- | 1 | 15 | 12 | + | -1.06 | 3.29 | |
4/16 | H | Herkimer | 7- | 17 | -10 | -6 | | -1.06 | -4.30 | |
4/19 | A | Finger Lakes | 12- | 7 | 5 | 5 | | 1.06 | -0.04 | |
4/25 | A | Herkimer | 3- | 19 | -16 | -8 | | 1.06 | -8.17 | |
5/03 | A | Herkimer | 3- | 14 | -11 | -8 | | 1.06 | -3.17 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -4.83 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
4/13 | H | Erie | 16- | 1 | -3.29 |
4/16 | H | Herkimer | 7- | 17 | 0.00 |
4/25 | A | Herkimer | 3- | 19 | 6.00 |
5/03 | A | Herkimer | 3- | 14 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.41 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 31.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 12 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 64.37 | | Local Power Rank | 9 |
| Local SOS Rating | 64.70 | | Local SOS Rank | 11 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.44 | | Local RPI Rank | 9 |
| Local Trend Rating | 3.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 9 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -inf | | Local Quality Win Rank | 2 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 6 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -11.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -7.3 |
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