| Conference: America East | Region: Northeast | State: MA | Coach: Liz Robertshaw |
#1 Penn Tops #7 Boston U. to Punch Ticket to Final Four
PHILADELPHIA - Saturday's NCAA quarterfinal game between second-seeded Penn and No. 7 seed Boston University was not a work of art. The teams combined for 30 turnovers -- 15 apiece -- and put home just 13 goals between them despite taking 51 combined shots. But the Quakers are advancing to the NCAA semifinal round because they once again did what they do best -- play solid defense, with the ultimate backstop in senior goalkeeper Sarah Waxman. On Drexel's Vidas Field, Penn knocked off BU, 8-5. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/27 | A | Massachusetts | 11- | 7 | 4 | 8 | | 1.38 | -3.65 | |
3/05 | A | Brown | 16- | 4 | 12 | 7 | ++ | 1.38 | 5.30 | |
3/09 | A | Northwestern | 10- | 19 | -9 | -6 | | 1.38 | -2.57 | |
3/12 | A | Vanderbilt | 17- | 7 | 10 | 0 | +++ | 1.38 | 9.60 | |
3/15 | H | George Mason | 15- | 19 | -4 | 5 | | -1.38 | -8.64 | |
3/19 | H | Yale | 10- | 7 | 3 | 5 | | -1.38 | -1.84 | |
3/21 | A | Binghamton | 19- | 8 | 11 | 13 | | 1.38 | -2.47 | |
3/22 | A | Albany | 15- | 2 | 13 | 8 | ++ | 1.38 | 4.62 | |
3/26 | H | Boston College | 17- | 10 | 7 | 7 | | -1.38 | -0.35 | |
3/29 | H | Vermont | 15- | 8 | 7 | 9 | | -1.38 | -2.05 | |
4/02 | A | Harvard | 18- | 6 | 12 | 5 | +++ | 1.38 | 6.54 | |
4/06 | A | Stanford | 14- | 11 | 3 | 3 | | 1.38 | -0.13 | |
4/09 | H | Stony Brook | 19- | 9 | 10 | 10 | | -1.38 | -0.06 | |
4/12 | H | New Hampshire | 7- | 6 | 1 | 4 | | -1.38 | -3.42 | |
4/19 | A | UMBC | 14- | 5 | 9 | 9 | | 1.38 | -0.49 | |
4/23 | A | Dartmouth | 15- | 9 | 6 | 3 | + | 1.38 | 3.39 | |
4/25 | H | Albany | 17- | 6 | 11 | 11 | | -1.38 | -0.14 | |
4/27 | H | New Hampshire | 9- | 8 | 1 | 4 | | -1.38 | -3.42 | |
5/03 | H | Sacred Heart | 15- | 3 | 12 | 15 | | -1.38 | -2.74 | |
5/11 | H | New Hampshire | 16- | 8 | 8 | 4 | + | -1.38 | 3.58 | |
5/17 | A | Penn | 5- | 8 | -3 | -2 | | 1.38 | -1.16 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -0.09 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/05 | A | Brown | 16- | 4 | -2.00 |
3/12 | A | Vanderbilt | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
3/21 | A | Binghamton | 19- | 8 | 2.47 |
3/22 | A | Albany | 15- | 2 | -3.00 |
4/02 | A | Harvard | 18- | 6 | -2.00 |
4/09 | H | Stony Brook | 19- | 9 | 0.06 |
4/25 | H | Albany | 17- | 6 | 0.14 |
5/03 | H | Sacred Heart | 15- | 3 | 2.74 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.08 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 18.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 10 |
| Local Poll Vote | 269. | | Local Poll Rank | 7 |
| Local Power Rating | 94.84 | | Local Power Rank | 8 |
| Local SOS Rating | 87.83 | | Local SOS Rank | 23 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.66 | | Local RPI Rank | 3 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 3 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -2.24 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 10 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 5 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 18-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 5.7 |
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