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Boston University Terriers (18-3)

Conference: America East

Region: Northeast

State: MA

Coach: Liz Robertshaw

#1 Penn Tops #7 Boston U. to Punch Ticket to Final Four

PHILADELPHIA - Saturday's NCAA quarterfinal game between second-seeded Penn and No. 7 seed Boston University was not a work of art. The teams combined for 30 turnovers -- 15 apiece -- and put home just 13 goals between them despite taking 51 combined shots. But the Quakers are advancing to the NCAA semifinal round because they once again did what they do best -- play solid defense, with the ultimate backstop in senior goalkeeper Sarah Waxman. On Drexel's Vidas Field, Penn knocked off BU, 8-5. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
2/27	at Massachusetts (7-11)	Atlantic 10	85.8		W	11-	7		0.00
3/05	at Brown (6-10)	Ivy League	86.8		W	16-	4		0.00
3/09	at Northwestern (21-1)	Amer. Lac. Co	99.9	1	L	10-	19		0.00
3/12	at Vanderbilt (13-6)	Amer. Lac. Co	93.1	11	W	17-	7		-0.52
3/15	GEORGE MASON (12-5)	Colonial	91.6	16	L	15-	19		0.00
3/19	YALE (11-5)	Ivy League	91.4	17	W	10-	7		-0.24
3/21	at Binghamton (5-11)	America East	80.0		W	19-	8		0.00
3/22	at Albany (8-9)	America East	85.1		W	15-	2		0.00
3/26	BOSTON COLLEGE (7-10)	Atlantic Coas	88.9		W	17-	10		0.00
3/29	VERMONT (8-9)	America East	87.2		W	15-	8		0.00
4/02	at Harvard (9-7)	Ivy League	88.0		W	18-	6		0.00
4/06	at Stanford (12-8)	MPSF	90.3	18	W	14-	11		-0.19
4/09	STONY BROOK (9-6)	America East	86.2		W	19-	9		0.00
4/12	NEW HAMPSHIRE (13-6)	America East	91.8	13	W	7-	6		-0.43
4/19	at UMBC (4-12)	America East	84.0		W	14-	5		0.00
4/23	at Dartmouth (7-9)	Ivy League	90.9		W	15-	9		0.00
4/25	ALBANY (8-9)	America East	85.1		W	17-	6		0.00
4/27	NEW HAMPSHIRE (13-6)	America East	91.8	13	W	9-	8	ot	-0.43
5/03	SACRED HEART (12-8)	Northeast	81.5		W	15-	3		0.00
5/11	NEW HAMPSHIRE (13-6)	America East	91.8	13	W	16-	8		-0.43
5/17	at Penn (17-2)	Ivy League	95.3	2	L	5-	8		0.00
* Click the score for the game story.			87.8						-2.24

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	Massachusetts	11-	7	4	8	–	1.38	-3.65
3/05	A	Brown	16-	4	12	7	++	1.38	5.30
3/09	A	Northwestern	10-	19	-9	-6	–	1.38	-2.57
3/12	A	Vanderbilt	17-	7	10	0	+++	1.38	9.60
3/15	H	George Mason	15-	19	-4	5	–––	-1.38	-8.64
3/19	H	Yale	10-	7	3	5		-1.38	-1.84
3/21	A	Binghamton	19-	8	11	13	–	1.38	-2.47
3/22	A	Albany	15-	2	13	8	++	1.38	4.62
3/26	H	Boston College	17-	10	7	7		-1.38	-0.35
3/29	H	Vermont	15-	8	7	9	–	-1.38	-2.05
4/02	A	Harvard	18-	6	12	5	+++	1.38	6.54
4/06	A	Stanford	14-	11	3	3		1.38	-0.13
4/09	H	Stony Brook	19-	9	10	10		-1.38	-0.06
4/12	H	New Hampshire	7-	6	1	4	–	-1.38	-3.42
4/19	A	UMBC	14-	5	9	9		1.38	-0.49
4/23	A	Dartmouth	15-	9	6	3	+	1.38	3.39
4/25	H	Albany	17-	6	11	11		-1.38	-0.14
4/27	H	New Hampshire	9-	8	1	4	–	-1.38	-3.42
5/03	H	Sacred Heart	15-	3	12	15	–	-1.38	-2.74
5/11	H	New Hampshire	16-	8	8	4	+	-1.38	3.58
5/17	A	Penn	5-	8	-3	-2		1.38	-1.16
									-0.09	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/05	A	Brown	16-	4	-2.00
3/12	A	Vanderbilt	17-	7	0.00
3/21	A	Binghamton	19-	8	2.47
3/22	A	Albany	15-	2	-3.00
4/02	A	Harvard	18-	6	-2.00
4/09	H	Stony Brook	19-	9	0.06
4/25	H	Albany	17-	6	0.14
5/03	H	Sacred Heart	15-	3	2.74
10-goal correction: -0.08

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	18.00	Local TSI Rank	10
Local Poll Vote	269.	Local Poll Rank	7
Local Power Rating	94.84	Local Power Rank	8
Local SOS Rating	87.83	Local SOS Rank	23
Local RPI Rating	0.66	Local RPI Rank	3
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	3
Local Quality Win Rating	-2.24	Local Quality Win Rank	10
Local Loss Rating	0.60	Local Loss Rank	5
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-3	Ave Goal diff (all )	5.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.7


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