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Bridgewater State Bears (15-5)

Conference: NEWLARegion: New EnglandState: MACoach: Erika Smith

Elms Felled by Bridgewater State

CHICOPEE, MA, April 12, 2008 – Elms College senior midfielder Caitlin Childs (Hingham, MA) scored her team-leading 22nd goal of the year, but Bridgewater State freshman attack Jenny Jones (Framingham, MA) netted a game-high five goals and the Bears had 11 different players score en route to a 24-3 win over the Blazers in Saturday's New England Women's Lacrosse Alliance (NEWLA) game at Leary Field.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score* QWF
3/14vs. Univ of New England # (7-11)Comm. Coast68.1W16-12 0.00  
3/17vs. Allegheny # (7-9)North Coast71.3L17-18 0.00  
3/22THOMAS (1-8)NEWLA46.0W25- 0 0.00  
3/24WHEATON (7-10)NEWMAC73.4L12-17 0.00  
3/27at Salve Regina (5-12)Comm. Coast61.8W23-12 0.00  
3/29CASTLETON STATE (10-8)NEWLA63.5W18-10 0.00  
4/01WESTFIELD STATE (8-7)NEWLA61.4W24-11 0.00  
4/03TUFTS (10-5)NESCAC83.819L6-19 0.00  
4/06BECKER (2-10)NEWLA46.6W26- 3 0.00  
4/12at Elms (4-9)NEWLA51.2W24- 3 0.00  
4/15WORCESTER STATE (9-6)NEWLA61.7W21- 6 0.00  
4/17MOUNT HOLYOKE (2-13)NEWMAC67.2W22-13 0.00  
4/19at Fitchburg State (5-9)NEWLA53.9W22- 3 0.00  
4/22at Eastern Connecticut (11-7)Little East74.2L13-16 0.00  
4/24RHODE ISLAND COLLEGE (3-12)Little East59.7W22- 2 0.00  
4/26PLYMOUTH STATE (1-11)Little East62.1W21- 9 0.00  
4/30WESTFIELD STATE (8-7)NEWLA61.4W22- 8 0.00  
5/03CASTLETON STATE (10-8)NEWLA63.5W19- 5 0.00  
5/10KEENE STATE (13-8)Little East70.6W18-13ot0.00  
5/11WESTERN NEW ENGLAND (17-5)Comm. Coast75.2L10-18 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 63.7     0.00  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/14NUniv of New England16-124   4       0.00       -0.39
3/17NAllegheny17-18-1   1       0.00       -2.27
3/22HThomas25-025   28       -1.63       -2.60
3/24HWheaton12-17-5   1       ––-1.63       -5.60
3/27ASalve Regina23-1211   9       1.63       1.84
3/29HCastleton State18-108   11       -1.63       -2.72
4/01HWestfield State24-1113   12       -1.63       0.70
4/03HTufts6-19-13   -11       -1.63       -2.42
4/06HBecker26-323   27       ––-1.63       -4.18
4/12AElms24-321   20       1.63       1.11
4/15HWorcester State21-615   12       +-1.63       3.36
4/17HMount Holyoke22-139   7       -1.63       2.00
4/19AFitchburg State22-319   17       +1.63       2.41
4/22AEastern Connecticut13-16-3   -3       1.63       0.40
4/24HRhode Island College22-220   14       ++-1.63       5.90
4/26HPlymouth State21-912   11       -1.63       1.33
4/30HWestfield State22-814   12       -1.63       1.70
5/03HCastleton State19-514   11       +-1.63       3.28
5/10HKeene State18-135   3       +-1.63       2.40
5/11HWestern New England10-18-8   -2       –––-1.63       -6.26
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/22HThomas25-02.60
3/27ASalve Regina23-12-1.00
4/01HWestfield State24-11-0.70
4/03HTufts6-192.42
4/06HBecker26-34.18
4/12AElms24-3-1.11
4/15HWorcester State21-6-3.36
4/19AFitchburg State22-3-2.41
4/24HRhode Island College22-2-5.90
4/26HPlymouth State21-9-1.33
4/30HWestfield State22-8-1.70
5/03HCastleton State19-5-3.28
10-goal correction: -0.58

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating296.00   Local TSI Rank 97
Local Poll Vote n/a   Local Poll Rank n/a
Local Power Rating 71.63   Local Power Rank 78
Local SOS Rating 63.67   Local SOS Rank 145
Local RPI Rating 0.52   Local RPI Rank 71
Local Trend Rating 1.00   Local Trend Rank 3
Local Quality Win Rating n/a   Local Quality Win Rank n/a
Local Loss Rating 1.00   Local Loss Rank 23
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 9.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -13.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.7



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