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California Golden Bears (9-9)

Conference: MPSF

Region: West/Midwest

State: CA

Coach: Theresa Sherry

Cal Edged by Oregon in MPSF Third-Place Game

BERKELEY, Calif. - California held an 8-7 lead over Oregon in the 46th minute of their MPSF Championship third-place game on an overcast Friday afternoon at Memorial Stadium, but the fourth-seeded Ducks scored the game's last two goals to claim victory over the second-seeded host. The Golden Bears, who are not expected to receive an at-large bid to the 16-team NCAA Tournament, likely ended their season with a 9-9 record. Oregon, which is also not a strong contender to receive an at-large NCAA Tournament berth, likely ended its year with a 13-7 record. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*			QWF
2/17	NORTHWESTERN (18-1)	Amer. Lac. Co	99.9	1	L	9-	16	0.00
2/23	STANFORD (12-8)	MPSF	90.8	18	W	11-	9	-0.15
3/02	OHIO STATE (10-8)	Amer. Lac. Co	89.4		L	7-	10	0.00
3/06	vs. Temple # (13-7)	Atlantic 10	88.2		W	10-	7	0.00
3/08	vs. Notre Dame # (12-7)	Big East	93.8	10	L	8-	18	0.00
3/11	PENN (15-1)	Ivy League	95.4	1	L	7-	12	0.00
3/14	QUINNIPIAC (10-6)	Northeast	83.5		W	14-	8	0.00
3/20	GEORGE WASHINGTON (5-11)	Atlantic 10	86.4		W	13-	11	0.00
3/28	at William & Mary (10-9)	Colonial	88.8		L	10-	16	0.00
3/30	at UMBC (4-12)	America East	84.5		W	11-	9	0.00
4/02	at St. Mary's (CA) (2-16)	MPSF	74.8		W	15-	2	0.00
4/05	at UC Davis (7-11)	MPSF	80.3		W	21-	10	0.00
4/12	at Oregon (13-7)	MPSF	89.9		W	12-	8	0.00
4/18	at Connecticut (1-15)	Big East	82.6		W	16-	13	0.00
4/21	at Columbia (5-10)	Ivy League	84.6		L	7-	11	0.00
4/26	DENVER (13-6)	MPSF	91.3	19	L	8-	12	0.00
5/01	STANFORD (12-8)	MPSF	90.8	18	L	8-	11	0.00
5/02	OREGON (13-7)	MPSF	89.9		L	8-	9	0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			86.7					-0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/17	H	Northwestern	9-	16	-7	-12	++	-1.36	4.83
2/23	H	Stanford	11-	9	2	-1	+	-1.36	3.28
3/02	H	Ohio State	7-	10	-3	0	–	-1.36	-3.17
3/06	N	Temple	10-	7	3	0	+	0.00	3.12
3/08	N	Notre Dame	8-	18	-10	-6	––	0.00	-4.38
3/11	H	Penn	7-	12	-5	-6		-1.36	1.07
3/14	H	Quinnipiac	14-	8	6	6		-1.36	-0.26
3/20	H	George Washington	13-	11	2	3		-1.36	-1.02
3/28	A	William & Mary	10-	16	-6	-2	–	1.36	-3.70
3/30	A	UMBC	11-	9	2	2		1.36	-0.21
4/02	A	St. Mary's (CA)	15-	2	13	12		1.36	0.91
4/05	A	UC Davis	21-	10	11	6	++	1.36	4.58
4/12	A	Oregon	12-	8	4	-3	+++	1.36	7.33
4/18	A	Connecticut	16-	13	3	5		1.36	-1.50
4/21	A	Columbia	7-	11	-4	3	–––	1.36	-6.51
4/26	H	Denver	8-	12	-4	-2	–	-1.36	-2.26
5/01	H	Stanford	8-	11	-3	-1		-1.36	-1.72
5/02	H	Oregon	8-	9	-1	-1		-1.36	-0.39
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/08	N	Notre Dame	8-	18	0.00
4/02	A	St. Mary's (CA)	15-	2	-0.91
4/05	A	UC Davis	21-	10	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.11

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	112.00	Local TSI Rank	35
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	87.96	Local Power Rank	35
Local SOS Rating	86.70	Local SOS Rank	36
Local RPI Rating	0.52	Local RPI Rank	36
Local Trend Rating	4.00	Local Trend Rank	69
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.15	Local Quality Win Rank	28
Local Loss Rating	1.80	Local Loss Rank	40
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-9	Ave Goal diff (all )	0.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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