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NCAA Selection Criteria Conf. Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy


Cortland Red Dragons (14-6)

Conference: SUNYACRegion: New YorkState: NYCoach: E. Sewruk/J. Gates

#8 Union Edges #18 Cortland in NCAA Second Round

Ewing NJ -- The College of New Jersey and Union College (NY) will meet for the first time in women's lacrosse as both teams advanced to the regional championship in the 2008 NCAA Division III Tournament with wins on Saturday.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score* QWF
3/02at Union (15-4)Liberty Leagu86.38L8- 9 0.00  
3/08at Randolph-Macon (6-11)Old Dominion75.7W9- 6 0.00  
3/15at Salisbury (22-0)Capital89.91L9-22 0.00  
3/18at Rochester (5-9)Liberty Leagu75.2W13- 7 0.00  
3/20ITHACA (9-8)Empire Eight78.8W12-11ot0.00  
3/22COLLEGE OF NEW JERSEY (17-1)Independent88.02L4-16 0.00  
3/26HAMILTON (19-1)Liberty Leagu88.14L7-15 0.00  
4/01at William Smith (13-4)Liberty Leagu79.817L11-12 0.00  
4/05FREDONIA (11-6)SUNYAC76.1W14- 4 0.00  
4/08at Potsdam (5-9)SUNYAC68.6W19- 7 0.00  
4/12at Brockport (14-4)SUNYAC82.0W16-14ot0.00  
4/15MORRISVILLE (4-10)SUNYAC61.7W20- 3 0.00  
4/17at Hartwick (3-11)Empire Eight68.0W20- 1 0.00  
4/19BUFFALO STATE (9-4)SUNYAC80.0W14- 7 0.00  
4/22at Oneonta (10-7)SUNYAC74.3W13- 7 0.00  
4/26at Geneseo (10-5)SUNYAC78.1W14-11 0.00  
4/29OSWEGO (5-11)SUNYAC67.8W22- 2 0.00  
5/02FREDONIA (11-6)SUNYAC76.1W16- 7 0.00  
5/03BROCKPORT (14-4)SUNYAC82.0W14-13 0.00  
5/10vs. Union # (15-4)Liberty Leagu86.38L12-13 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 78.0     0.00  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/02AUnion8-9-1   -5       ++1.64       4.39
3/08ARandolph-Macon9-63   5       1.64       -2.17
3/15ASalisbury9-22-13   -9       1.64       -3.56
3/18ARochester13-76   5       1.64       0.80
3/20HIthaca12-111   5       -1.64       -4.00
3/22HCollege of New Jersey4-16-12   -5       –––-1.64       -7.49
3/26HHamilton7-15-8   -4       -1.64       -3.75
4/01AWilliam Smith11-12-1   1       1.64       -1.66
4/05HFredonia14-410   8       -1.64       1.90
4/08APotsdam19-712   12       1.64       -0.06
4/12ABrockport16-142   -2       +1.64       3.59
4/15HMorrisville20-317   21       ––-1.64       -4.33
4/17AHartwick20-119   13       ++1.64       5.66
4/19HBuffalo State14-77   4       +-1.64       3.26
4/22AOneonta13-76   6       1.64       -0.34
4/26AGeneseo14-113   2       1.64       1.33
4/29HOswego22-220   17       +-1.64       3.46
5/02HFredonia16-79   8       -1.64       0.90
5/03HBrockport14-131   2       -1.64       -0.68
5/10NUnion12-13-1   -4       +0.00       2.75
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/15ASalisbury9-223.00
3/22HCollege of New Jersey4-162.00
4/05HFredonia14-40.00
4/08APotsdam19-70.06
4/15HMorrisville20-34.33
4/17AHartwick20-1-5.66
4/29HOswego22-2-3.46
10-goal correction: 0.01

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 45.00   Local TSI Rank 13
Local Poll Vote 69.   Local Poll Rank 18
Local Power Rating 82.25   Local Power Rank 16
Local SOS Rating 78.01   Local SOS Rank 19
Local RPI Rating 0.64   Local RPI Rank 11
Local Trend Rating 1.00   Local Trend Rank 13
Local Quality Win Rating n/a   Local Quality Win Rank n/a
Local Loss Rating 1.20   Local Loss Rank 47
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -6.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.0



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