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TSI Poll Computer Rating  RPI  Strength of Schedule Quality Wins Losses Trend

NCAA Selection Criteria Conf. Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy


Duke Blue Devils (12-7)

Conference: Atlantic CoastRegion: SouthState: NCCoach: Kerstin Kimel

#12 Duke Holds off #6 Hoya's Rally in First Round Tilt

Washington, D.C. – Georgetown senior Patty Piotrowicz (Plymouth Meeting, Pa.) scored a career-high four goals but it wasn't enough as the visiting Duke Blue Devils got past the No. 6 seeded Hoyas, 10-8 in NCAA Tournament First Round action on a rainy Sunday afternoon at the Multi-Sport Field. Duke junior goalie Kim Imbesi made nine saves including three in the final 1:30 to hold off Georgetown's rally.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score* QWF
2/15DENVER (13-6)MPSF91.319W16-11 -0.10  
2/17vs. Stanford # (12-8)MPSF90.818W16- 9 -0.15  
2/22at Richmond (9-9)Atlantic 1088.3W17- 6 0.00  
2/24at William & Mary (10-9)Colonial88.8W18- 8 0.00  
3/01MARYLAND (18-2)Atlantic Coas98.63W14-13 -0.90  
3/08at Princeton (13-4)Ivy League95.48L8-13 0.00  
3/11VERMONT (8-9)America East87.7W20- 6 0.00  
3/15GEORGETOWN (12-7)Big East94.16W12-11 -0.75  
3/22at North Carolina (13-6)Atlantic Coas94.911L14-16 0.00  
3/29VIRGINIA (14-4)Atlantic Coas97.63L9-13 0.00  
4/03NOTRE DAME (12-7)Big East93.810L8-12 0.00  
4/06NORTHWESTERN (18-1)Amer. Lac. Co99.91L11-15 0.00  
4/12BOSTON COLLEGE (7-10)Atlantic Coas89.3W16- 6 0.00  
4/14at Virginia Tech (4-14)Atlantic Coas87.5W18-11 0.00  
4/20at Vanderbilt (13-6)Amer. Lac. Co93.59L10-11 0.00  
4/24vs. Virginia Tech # (4-14)Atlantic Coas87.5W19- 6 0.00  
4/25at Virginia (14-4)Atlantic Coas97.63L9-10 0.00  
5/04at Dartmouth (7-9)Ivy League91.4W17-11 0.00  
5/11at Georgetown (12-7)Big East94.16W10- 8 -0.75  
5/17at Maryland (18-2)Atlantic Coas98.63-    
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site		 91.8     -2.65  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/15HDenver16-115   7       -1.36       -1.54
2/17NStanford16-97   6       0.00       1.37
2/22ARichmond17-611   7       ++1.36       4.34
2/24AWilliam & Mary18-810   6       ++1.36       4.02
3/01HMaryland14-131   -2       +-1.36       2.79
3/08APrinceton8-13-5   -1       ––1.36       -4.39
3/11HVermont20-614   10       +-1.36       3.68
3/15HGeorgetown12-111   4       –-1.36       -2.86
3/22ANorth Carolina14-16-2   0       –1.36       -2.09
3/29HVirginia9-13-4   0       –-1.36       -3.99
4/03HNotre Dame8-12-4   4       –––-1.36       -8.02
4/06HNorthwestern11-15-4   -4       -1.36       -0.45
4/12HBoston College16-610   8       -1.36       1.76
4/14AVirginia Tech18-117   8       1.36       -0.85
4/20AVanderbilt10-11-1   2       –1.36       -2.63
4/24NVirginia Tech19-613   9       +0.00       3.79
4/25AVirginia9-10-1   -3       1.36       1.73
5/04ADartmouth17-116   4       +1.36       2.49
5/11AGeorgetown10-82   1       1.36       0.86
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/22ARichmond17-6-1.00
2/24AWilliam & Mary18-80.00
3/11HVermont20-6-3.68
4/12HBoston College16-60.00
4/24NVirginia Tech19-6-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.40

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 8.00   Local TSI Rank 7
Local Poll Vote 195.   Local Poll Rank 12
Local Power Rating 95.94   Local Power Rank 5
Local SOS Rating 91.78   Local SOS Rank 2
Local RPI Rating 0.62   Local RPI Rank 10
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 23
Local Quality Win Rating -2.65   Local Quality Win Rank 6
Local Loss Rating 1.40   Local Loss Rank 27
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 12-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 5-7   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.3

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