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Eastern Connecticut Warriors (11-7)

Conference: Little East

Region: New England

State: CT

Coach: Christine Hutchison

#9 Colby Routs Eastern Connecticut in NCAA Opener

WATERVILLE, Maine -- On the same day she was chosen New England Small College Athletic Conference Player of the Year, junior midfielder Kate Sheridan (Hingham, Mass.) had five goals and two assists to power the Colby College women's lacrosse team to a 19-3 win over Eastern Connecticut State in a first round NCAA Division III Tournament game Wednesday at Bill Alfond Field. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
3/07	at Wesleyan (CT) (7-9)	NESCAC	81.1		L	7-	13
3/12	at Trinity (CT) (11-7)	NESCAC	84.2	12	L	3-	17
3/14	MOUNT HOLYOKE (2-13)	NEWMAC	67.2		W	20-	11
3/17	vs. Babson # (16-3)	NEWMAC	84.5	11	L	6-	18
3/19	vs. Amherst # (15-4)	NESCAC	84.0	10	L	3-	19
3/27	MONTCLAIR STATE (9-8)	Skyline	75.6		W	10-	9
3/29	SOUTHERN MAINE (8-9)	Little East	68.4		W	14-	8
4/02	at Western Connecticut (4-14)	Little East	61.3		W	22-	8
4/06	PLYMOUTH STATE (1-11)	Little East	62.1		W	20-	5
4/10	at Mass.-Dartmouth (9-6)	Little East	66.7		W	14-	10
4/15	CONNECTICUT COLLEGE (7-8)	NESCAC	77.9		L	12-	13
4/17	at Wellesley (10-8)	NEWMAC	76.2		L	14-	15
4/19	at Keene State (13-8)	Little East	70.6		W	13-	12
4/22	BRIDGEWATER STATE (15-5)	NEWLA	71.6		W	16-	13
4/26	RHODE ISLAND COLLEGE (3-12)	Little East	59.7		W	17-	5
5/01	MASS.-DARTMOUTH (9-6)	Little East	66.7		W	20-	3
5/03	SOUTHERN MAINE (8-9)	Little East	68.4		W	17-	10
5/07	at Colby (13-6)	NESCAC	85.4	8	L	3-	19
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			72.7

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/07	A	Wesleyan (CT)	7-	13	-6	-9	+	1.63	2.65
3/12	A	Trinity (CT)	3-	17	-14	-12	–	1.63	-2.05
3/14	H	Mount Holyoke	20-	11	9	9		-1.63	0.23
3/17	N	Babson	6-	18	-12	-10		0.00	-1.93
3/19	N	Amherst	3-	19	-16	-10	––	0.00	-5.78
3/27	H	Montclair State	10-	9	1	0		-1.63	0.96
3/29	H	Southern Maine	14-	8	6	7		-1.63	-1.02
4/02	A	Western Connecticut	22-	8	14	11	+	1.63	2.93
4/06	H	Plymouth State	20-	5	15	12	+	-1.63	2.56
4/10	A	Mass.-Dartmouth	14-	10	4	6	–	1.63	-2.34
4/15	H	Connecticut College	12-	13	-1	-2		-1.63	1.08
4/17	A	Wellesley	14-	15	-1	-4	+	1.63	2.65
4/19	A	Keene State	13-	12	1	1		1.63	-0.12
4/22	H	Bridgewater State	16-	13	3	3		-1.63	-0.40
4/26	H	Rhode Island College	17-	5	12	16	–	-1.63	-3.87
5/01	H	Mass.-Dartmouth	20-	3	17	10	+++	-1.63	7.41
5/03	H	Southern Maine	17-	10	7	7		-1.63	-0.02
5/07	A	Colby	3-	19	-16	-13	–	1.63	-2.92
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	A	Trinity (CT)	3-	17	2.05
3/17	N	Babson	6-	18	2.00
3/19	N	Amherst	3-	19	6.00
4/02	A	Western Connecticut	22-	8	-2.93
4/06	H	Plymouth State	20-	5	-2.56
4/26	H	Rhode Island College	17-	5	3.87
5/01	H	Mass.-Dartmouth	20-	3	-7.41
5/07	A	Colby	3-	19	2.92
10-goal correction: 0.22

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	191.00	Local TSI Rank	60
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	74.20	Local Power Rank	68
Local SOS Rating	72.68	Local SOS Rank	65
Local RPI Rating	0.54	Local RPI Rank	56
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	13
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.40	Local Loss Rank	67
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-7	Ave Goal diff (all )	1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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